Chart Pattern
- Cup and Handle Breakout forming on higher timeframes.
- Higher Highs and Higher Lows, indicating a strong uptrend.
- Parabolic SAR supporting the uptrend.
- Price trading above 200-SMA, 150-SMA, and 50-SMA.
- RSI at 68.20, nearing overbought levels but still bullish.
Upcoming Events Impacting EUR/USD
- US CPI & FOMC Meeting (Potential High Impact)
- ECB Interest Rate Decision (May impact further upside)
- US Job Data (NFP & Unemployment Rate)
Observations
- Momentum remains strong, as indicated by the RSI and volume spike.
- Breakout from prior resistance near 1.0720, confirming bullish sentiment.
- Price extended away from moving averages, indicating the need for a pullback.
- Potential resistance near 1.1000 psychological level.
Final Takeaway
- Short-term traders: Wait for a minor pullback near support for a better risk-reward.
- Long-term traders: Uptrend intact; trailing stop recommended.
- Risk: Overbought RSI may trigger short-term selling.
Breakout Strategy (Bullish)
- Entry: On pullback near 1.0850-1.0870 (previous breakout zone).
- Stoploss: Below 1.0790 (-0.5%).
- Target 1: 1.0940 (+0.5%) | Target 2: 1.0995 (+1%) | Target 3: 1.1050 (+1.5%).
Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)
- Entry: If price closes below 1.0800 with strong selling pressure.
- Stoploss: 1.0865 (above resistance).
- Target 1: 1.0745 (-0.5%) | Target 2: 1.0690 (-1%) | Target 3: 1.0635 (-1.5%).
No comments:
Post a Comment