Tuesday, November 26, 2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

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* GBP decreased against USD by 0.26 percent yesterday while GBPINR appreciated by 0.56 percent.

* The formal launch of the Conservative Party’s election pledge centred on the key manifesto of PM Boris Johnson’s campaign: making Brexit happen. Johnson claimed that his party is the sole party in the General elections who can get the job done. Johnson promised to bring his Brexit deal back to parliament before Christmas and get it passed if its party get majority votes in the General elections.

* GBPINR is expected to appreciate in today’s session.

EURINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

EURINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

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* EURINR appreciated by 0.05 percent yesterday while EURINR appreciated by 0.25 percent the same time frame. The meeting minutes suggested a wait-and-see stance that the ECB has taken after the monetary easing announced in September. After all, they have to wait for the effect of the last easing round to show on the economy. There is also a call for unity, which shows how fragmented the governing council is at the moment.

* EURINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

USDINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

USDINR : Fundamental View : 27.11.2019

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* Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.3 percent yesterday while the Dollar index decreased by 0.07 percent during the same time frame. CPI from India came in at 4.62 percent which is higher than RBI’s medium target of 4 percent.


* Jerome Powell spoke at the “The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy” in Zurich and addressed that the Central Bank is strongly committed towards its 2 percent inflation target. The remarks are
further indication that the Central Bank is highly unlikely to cut rates anytime soon. On the trade war front, the United States and China are close to agreement on the first phase of the trade deal,
U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday, after top negotiators from the two countries spoke by telephone and agreed to keep working on remaining issues. Also, China has promised US for more
protection on intellectual property. CB Consumer Confidence Index fell in November to 125.5, although the October number was upwardly revised to 126.1.


* USDINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

EURINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

EURINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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* On the daily chart, the EURINR fell by 0.31% during the previous trading session.

* Also, the pair has started trading below the Parabolic SAR which signifies weakness in the counter.

* Moreover, It has closed below the 50*200 days EMA’s, which is bearish for the counter.

* Moreover, a momentum indicator Stochastic (6) has shown a negative crossover which indicates power to the bears.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect a bearish move in EURINR towards 78.53 level.

GBPINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

GBPINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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* GBPINR witnessed pressure and closed on a negative note by 0.45% during it’s last trading session.

* Moreover, on the daily timeframe the pair has closed below its 20 EMA which signifies bearishness.,

* Moreover, the pair has started trading below it’s Parabolic SAR which suggests control to the bears.

* Also, momentum indicator RSI(14) has retreated after touching the overbought levels which suggests lower prices to come in the near term.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bearish move in GBPINR future towards 91.75 level. 

JPYINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

JPYINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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* During it’s previous session JPYINR closed on a negative note by 0.45%.

* Also, On the daily chart, the pair has closed below its Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests prices to be lower in the near term.

* Moreover, the price has closed below the 20*50 EMA, which indicates power to the bears.

* Additionally, a momentum indicator Stochastic (6) has shown a negative crossover, which is weak for the pair.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bearish move in JPYINR towards 65.41 level.

USDINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

USDINR : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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* The USDINR pair experienced pressure and fell by 0.32% during the last trading session.

* Also, the pair has started trading below its Parabolic SAR, which is negative for the counter.

* Furthermore, momentum indicator MACD has shown a fresh negative crossover, which confirms bearishness.

* Additionally, a momentum indicator RSI(14) has started declining from the overbought levels which confirms weakness.

* Hence, we expect bearish move in USDINR future towards 71.30 level.

Today's Stock News - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Stock News - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ALLCARGO LOGISTICS: Today's board meeting to consider raising up to 1.95 bln rupees through nonconvertible debentures has been cancelled due to unavailability of directors.

* BHARAT PETROLEUM CORP: Moody's Investors Service has placed the company's "Baa2" issuer and senior unsecured ratings on review for downgrade after the government decided to sell its entire stake of 
53.29%, and transfer the management control to a strategic buyer.

* BHARTI AIRTEL: Bharat Sanchar Nigam has sought the telecom department's intervention after the company allegedly threatened to disconnect the state-run telco's customers if it does not treat the company and TATA TELESERVICES MAHARASHTRA's consumer mobility business as a merged entity.

* CARE RATINGS: Ishares Core Emerging Markets Mauritius Co has sold 235,520 or 0.8% stake in the company at 450.74 rupees apiece via a bulk deal on National Stock Exchange.

* CG POWER AND INDUSTRIAL SOLUTIONS: SEBI has asked the company to provide its ousted chairman Gautam Thapar and others information they had sought on audit findings of financial irregularities in the company during their tenure.

* COFFEE DAY ENTERPRISES: Even as 24 suitors have gone ahead and signed a non-disclosure
agreement with the company to pick up a majority stake in Coffee Day Global, which runs the Cafe Coffee Day chain, the founder-family and the management are likely to delay the sale.

* COLGATE PALMOLIVE (INDIA): Integrated Core Strategies (Asia) sold 0.6% stake or 1.5 mln shares in the company at 1,493.72 rupees per share via bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* CONTAINER CORP OF INDIA: The company signed a settlement agreement with Jalandhar-based Kohinoor India on Wednesday and paid 918,933 rupees to the latter in the final settlement.

* FORTIS HEALTHCARE: The company's board has appointed Sim Heng Joo Joe as an additional
director.

* GLENMARK PHARMACEUTICALS: Integrated Core Strategies (Asia) has bought 3.4 mln shares or 1.2% stake in the company at 341.56 rupees per share through a bulk deal on National Stock Exchange.

* GOA CARBON: The company has temporarily shut operations at its Bilaspur unit in Chhattisgarh from Tuesday for maintenance work.

* ICICI BANK: Integrated Core Strategies (Asia) has sold 48.09 mln shares or 1% stake in the bank at 510.10 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* INDIABULLS HOUSING FINANCE: Blackrock Fund Advisors A/c Ishares India Index Mauritius
Company sold 0.7% stake, or 3 mln shares, in the company at 259.05 rupees per share through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* INFO EDGE (INDIA): Morgan Stanley Mauritius Co sold 782,299 shares, or 0.6% stake, in the company at 2,631.70 rupees per share through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* INFOSYS: The company has launched Cyber Next platform-based offerings in partnership with
Microsoft.

* INTERGLOBE AVIATION: Indigo, which recently announced induction of 300 Airbus A320neos, could see some slowdown in capacity addition in the near term as a result of the directive from the Directorate General of Civil Aviation.

* L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS: The committee of directors will meet on Friday to approve raising up to 600 mln rupees through cumulative compulsorily redeemable non-convertible preference shares on a private placement basis.

* MANAPPURAM FINANCE: International credit rating agencies Fitch Ratings and S&P have assigned '(EXP) BB-' rating to the company's proposed dollar-denominated senior notes.

* MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA: Has said its popular entry level small car Alto has crossed 3.8 mln sales milestone.

* MINDTREE: Cofounder Rostow Ravanan plans to start a Software as a Service company, also known as SaaS, that will focus on the healthcare and manufacturing sectors.

* OIL & NATURAL GAS CORP: Has been granted a one-year exemption from mandatory local sourcing of certain grades of seamless line pipes.

* RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS: The Department of Telecommunications has veered around to the view that Reliance Jio Infocomm needs to shoulder some of the company's over 211.4 bln rupees adjusted gross revenues-based dues.

* RELIANCE INFRASTRUCTURE: Pimco Rae Fundamental Emerging Markets Fund has bought 2.34 mln shares or 0.9% stake in the company at 26.96 rupees via bulk deal on National Stock Exchange.

* SBI LIFE INSURANCE CO: Goldman Sachs Investments Mauritius I sold 0.5% stake or 5.3 mln shares of the company at 959.7 rupees per share via bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* SUZLON ENERGY: May head to National Company Law Tribunal as lenders see no possibility of
resolution.

* TATA COMMUNICATIONS: The company has appointed Amur Swaminathan Lakshminarayanan as managing director and chief executive officer for five years.

* TATA MOTORS: The company will launch its flagship sports utility vehichle--Tata Gravitas--in
February.

* TATA STEEL: An Indian antitrust investigation has found that units of the company, Sweden's SKF and Germany's Schaeffler colluded on the pricing of bearings, opening them up to potential fines.

* ULTRATECH CEMENT: Plans to raise 2.5 bln rupees through bonds maturing in three years.

* VODAFONE IDEA: Integrated Core Strategies (Asia) has bought 165 mln shares or 0.6% stake in the company at 6.03 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* YES BANK: Board will meet on Friday to consider raising funds by issuing equity or equity-linked
securities, through permissible modes.
- Integrated Core Strategies (Asia) bought 1.9% stake or 47 mln shares in the bank at 63.32 rupees
apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.
- The bank sold 1.7 mln shares, or 0.7% stake, in RELIANCE CAPITAL at 16.51 rupees per share
through a bulk deal on NSE.

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Today's Sector News - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Sector News - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* AUTOMOBILE: Honda Motorcycle & Scooter India has commenced operations at its Manesar plant with permanent employees joining work even as sacked contractual employees continued with their protest at the site.

* BANKING: Oman India Joint Investment Fund II has invested 840 mln rupees in Capital Small Finance Bank for 9.90% stake, said Edelweiss Financial Services, the bank's financial advisor for the transaction.
- The Reserve Bank of India has announced the revised framework on bilateral currency swap
arrangement with central banks in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation countries, which would facilitate funding for foreign exchange liquidity requirements.

* E-COMMERCE: The Tata Group has infused 2.31 bln rupees in Tata CLiQ, so far this fiscal and has increased authorised share capital of the venture to 15 bln rupees from 11.5 bln rupees, indicating more funds will be infused into the business.

* FINANCE: Ess Kay Fincorp has raised $33 mln in equity investment from its existing private equity investors--TPG Growth, Northwest Venture Partners and Evolvence India.

* INSURANCE: Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India has proposed changes to the structure of motor insurance policies to bring the norms in line with global best practices.

* STEEL: The Enforcement Directorate has alleged that Bhushan Power & Steel acquired assets worth 275.59 bln rupees during a period when funds out of loans received from banks were "diverted and routed back as equity" by the company.

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Diamond : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Diamond : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Diamond prices dropped in yesterday’s session to settled at 3576.65 after the OECD says the global outlook is unstable. World GDP growth fell to 2.9 percent this year its lowest rate since the financial crisis - and is expected to remain stuck at 3 percent over the next two years. While down side will be limited as support can be seen in today's session with the all-import Thanksgiving shopping weekend that kicks off the holiday shopping period almost upon us, there are high hopes for a strong finish
to the year. Every holiday survey is predicting positive gains that should have retailers feeling positive. However, there are indicators that not all is well.

De Beers restricting supply through flexible buyback policy at $295M Sep. sight. US sustaining market for commercial-quality, medium-priced fancies under 1 ct. Chinese consumers seeking fancy shapes at better prices. Off-make, poorly cut fancies illiquid and hard to sell, even at very deep discounts.

Consumers shifting to lower-ticket items amid trade war uncertainty and stock market volatility. US polished-diamond imports dropped 21% to $1.6 billion in July, according to the latest data from the Commerce Department. Shortages in RapSpec A3+, nonfluorescent goods as manufacturers maintain low production.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -56.76% to settled at 23250 while prices down -8.3 rupees, now Diamond 1Ct is getting support at 3573 and below same could see a test of 3569 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 3582, a move above could see prices testing 3587.

Rubber : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Rubber : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Rubber on ICEX settled down -0.8% at 13290 on profit booking after prices gained amid expectations of a fall in global output due to a severe pest attack in major producing countries such as Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia. Further downside also seen limited due to higher demand from domestic stockists and an ongoing supply crunch in the market.

Thailand is pushing to export natural rubber to boost farmers’ income, the country’s commerce minister said. The minister also said Thailand had recently sold 100,000 tonnes of rubber worth 7.5 billion baht to India, and that he would travel to Turkey and Germany to negotiate more deals. Thailand, Indonesia and Malaysia face lower output of natural rubber as they battle an outbreak of the fungal disease pestalotiopsis, which causes leaves to turn yellow and spotted, amid a peak rubber-tapping period between October and December.

The disease threatens to cut output in affected areas by around half, and has been reported in more than 450,000 hectares of rubber plantations across the three countries.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed remain unchanged in open interest by 0% to settled at 297 while prices down -107 rupees, now Rubber is getting support at 13250 and below same could see a test of 13200 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 13350, a move above could see prices testing 13400.

Steellong : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Steellong : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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Steellong on ICEX settled down -0.97% at 27600 as fears of tight supply eased amid favourable environmental conditions. The northwest province of Shaanxi withdrew its heavy pollution alert, after top steelmaking province Hebei lifted its second-level smog alert. Top trade negotiators from China and the United States held a phone call on Tuesday morning, China's Commerce Ministry said, as the two sides try to hammer out a preliminary "phase one" deal in a trade war that has dragged on for 16 months.

Steel consumption in north China has yet to show a significant decline, with demand releasing steadily in the south as construction sites stepped up operation before the Chinese New Year holiday. An estimated 75,000 mt of stainless steel production will be impacted as a large stainless steel producer in east China commenced annual maintenance on November 21, according to sources.

The company has an annualised capacity of 2 million mt. Operation of the integrated RKEF
production line will not be affected during the regular overhaul. Social inventories of hot-rolled coil (HRC) in China trended lower for a sixth straight week, as demand ramped up further after prices of ferrous futures jumped on the issuing of smog alerts across northern regions and mine accidents. Data showed that stocks of HRC across social warehouses decreased by 4.7% from a week ago to 1.77 million mt as of Thursday November 21.

Technically market is under long liquidation as market has witnessed drop in open interest by -13.53% to settled at 684 while prices down -270 rupees, now Steellong is getting support at 27460 and below same could see a test of 27310 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 27810, a move above could see prices testing 28010.

Crudeoil : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Crudeoil : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price closed with positively and gain 01.70% in the last session.

Moreover, the price has been trading above the Parabolic SAR, which indicates bullish trend may remain continue.

Furthermore, the price is also trading above the 200 SMA which suggest rising prices.

In addition, momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained above it’s 50 level which is positive for Crude Oil.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Copper : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Copper : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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On a four hourly chart, the price has shown good recovery and closed with the gain of 0.48% during the last session.

Moreover, the price has shifted above it’s Parabolic SAR, which confirms strength in the counter.

However, the price has sustained below the 50*20 day's EMA, which indicates control in the hands of the bears.

On the other hand, momentum indicator RSI(14) has retreated from the over sold levels , which may indicate bullish indication.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Gold : Technical View : 27.11.2019

Gold : Technical View : 27.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price weakened and slipped 0.09% in the previous trading session.

Moreover, the price has closed below the 20*50 day’s SMA, which adds more bearishness in the counter.

Furthermore, the price has sustained below the Falling Trendline, which signifies negative strength in the counter.

Additionally, a momentum indicator RSI(14) has been moving with negative crossover, which adds strength to move more downwards.

As per the above technical structure; we can expect a bearish move in the counter.

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View  - 27.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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Pre-Session: Sensex, Nifty likely to open flat on Wednesday
27/11/2019 08:42
Indian benchmarks may remain volatile today as investors adjust their positions ahead of the weekly and monthly (November series) expiry of the Futures and Options contracts, slated for Thursday. That apart, stock-specific development, and progress in US-China trade negotiations are expected to determine the market movement on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, Asian shares ticked higher on Wednesday as more upbeat signals from Sino-US trade talks fanned hopes of an imminent end to tariff hostilities. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.14 per cent, Australian shares added 0.46 per cent, and Japan's Nikkei rose 0.41 per cent.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones rose 0.2 per cent, the S&P 500 gained 0.22 per cent, and the Nasdaq Composite added 0.18 per cent during the overnight trade on Tuesday.

After ending the previous session modestly higher, the price of crude oil saw some further upside during trading on Tuesday. Crude for January delivery climbed $0.40 to $48.41 a barrel after ending Monday's trading up $0.24 at $58.01 a barrel. Whereas, the rupee appreciated 24 paise to close at Rs 71.49 per US dollar.

On Tuesday, the 30-share benchmark index ended at 40821.3 down by -67.93 points or by -0.17 % and then NSE Nifty was at 12037.7 down by -36.05 points.


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