Monday, December 2, 2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

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* GBP increased against USD by 0.02 percent yesterday while GBPINR appreciated by 0.15 percent.

* Opinion polls suggest a victory for Prime Minister Boris Johnson, the Conservative candidate in this general election but British politics remains unpredictable, and a number of outcomes are possible. Meanwhile, manufacturing PMI from UK came in at 48.9 for Nov’19 against market expectations of 48.3.

* GBPINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

EURINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

EURINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

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* EURINR appreciated by 0.56 percent yesterday while EURINR depreciated by 0.37 percent the same time frame.

* Christine Lagarde said the European Central Bank will be “resolute” in restoring euro-zone price stability under her presidency, while stressing that an upcoming strategy review will be wide-ranging,
including climate change as well as inflation. ECB will continue to hold its stance of an accommodative monetary policy which has been a key driver for demand recovery.

* EURINR is expected to depreciate today’s session.

USDINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

USDINR : Fundamental View : 03.12.2019

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* Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.18 percent yesterday while the Dollar index decreased by 0.42 percent during the same time frame. India’s Q2 GDP growth comes in at 4.5% against market
expectations of 4.7%. Manufacturing PMI from India came in at 51.2 for Nov’19 against market expectations of 49.8.

* On the trade war front, China held off from retaliating against the U.S. after President Trump signed a bill supporting Hong Kong’s anti-Beijing protesters, as both sides remained confident they can sign a partial trade deal in the coming weeks, officials in the U.S. and China said. Jerome Powell spoke at the “The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy” in Zurich and addressed that the Central Bank is strongly committed towards its 2 percent inflation target. The remarks are further indication that the Central Bank is highly unlikely to cut rates anytime soon. CB Consumer Confidence Index
fell in November to 125.5, although the October number was upwardly revised to 126.1.

* USDINR is expected to depreciate in today’s session

EURINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

EURINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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* The EURINR closed on a dull note by 0.01% during its previous trading session.

* But, the pair has sustained above its Ichimoku Cloud and has not tested it yet which signals that the
counter has upside momentum.

* Moreover, It has closed above the 20*50 Day EMA, which signals bullish strength.

* Additionally, the pair’s Stochastic (6) has made a positive crossover which indicates bullishness.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect a bullish move in EURINR towards 79.40 level.

GBPINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

GBPINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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* GBPINR closed on a flat note 0.05% signaling indecision during it’s last trading session.

* But, on the daily timeframe the pair has started trading above its Parabolic SAR which signals positive strength in the counter.

* Moreover, the pair has sustained above its 20*50 EMA confirming bullish momentum in the pair.

* Also, the pair’s daily Heikin Ashi has formed a strong green candle which signifies control to the bulls.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bullish move in GBPINR future towards 92.90 level. 

JPYINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

JPYINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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* During it’s previous session JPYINR prices and closed on a negative note, declining by 0.13% for the day.

* Also, On the daily chart the pair has sustained below its Ichimoku Cloud, which confirms bearish strength in the counter.

* Moreover, the price has been trading below the 20*50 EMA, which confirms that the pair is in a downtrend and lower levels can be expected in the near term.

* Additionally, Heikin ashi Candle of the pair has formed a series of red candles which signals weakness in the pair.

* So based on the above mixed technical structure, we expect sideways to bearish move in JPYINR towards 65.45.

USDINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

USDINR : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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* The USDINR pair faced pressure, falling by 0.11% during the last trading session.

* But, the pair has sustained above its Ichimoku Cloud which confirms the uptrend.

* Furthermore, momentum indicator Stochastic (6) has shown a positive crossover, which indicates bullishness in the prices.

* Additionally, the pair’s daily Heikin Ashi Candle has formed a strong green candle which indicates that the bulls have control.

* Hence, we expect bullish move in USDINR future towards 72.02 level.

Today's Stock News - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Stock News - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ALLCARGO LOGISTICS: The board of the company will meet on Thursday to mull over raising up to 1.95 bln rupees by issuing non-convertible debentures on private placement basis.

* APOLLO TYRES: Entered Saudi Arabia through a tie-up with Al-Jomaih Tyres Co. The company is looking at the large and growing truck-bus radial and passenger car tyre market, aiming to capture a sizeable market share in each of the segments in the next couple of years.

* BANK OF BARODA: The capital raising committee of the bank's whole-time directors will meet
Thursday to consider raising funds through issue of capital debt instruments.
- The Reserve Bank of India has conveyed its approval for the appointment of Dass Gupta &
Associates and J Kala & Associates as statutory central auditors of the bank for 2019-20 (Apr-Mar).

* BIOCON: The company and Mylan have launched trastuzumab Ogivri, a biosimilar of Herceptin brand, in the US. 

* CADILA HEALTHCARE: The board has approved merger of four wholly-owned subsidiaries--Zydus Technologies, Alidac Pharmaceuticals, Liva Pharmaceuticals, and Dialforhealth India with the company.

* COX & KINGS: IFCI sold 1.5% stake or 2.6 mln shares in the company at 1.8 rupees apiece in a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* CROMPTON GREAVES CONSUMER ELECTRICAL: US private equity firm, Advent International and Singapore's Temasek Holdings today are set to sell up to $185-mln worth of shares in the company.

* DEWAN HOUSING FINANCE CORP: The National Company Law Tribunal has admitted the Reserve Bank of India's plea for initiation of corporate insolvency proceedings against the company under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, the first mortgage lender to be referred to the tribunal by the regulator.

* GLENMARK PHARMACEUTICALS: Integrated Core Strategies Asia sold 0.64% stake, or 1.83 mln shares, in the company at 329.57 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* GRANULES INDIA: Expects revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 20% and sees a steady operating margin at over 21% in the next 2-3 years.

* HDFC BANK: Kotak Mahindra Asset Management Co Managing Director Nilesh Shah was critical of MSCI Emerging Market Index for not including the bank in its index, citing the high levels of foreign holding in the bank.
- Is working to address a technical glitch that led to inconvenience for some of its customers in
accessing net banking services.

* IDBI BANK: Plans to raise 15 bln rupees from asset sales, with a major portion from the divestment of its stake in a life insurance joint venture.

* IFCI: Has received bids for sale of its entire stake in National Stock Exchange.

* INDIABULLS HOUSING FINANCE: Integrated Core Strategies Asia PTE sold 1.2% stake or 5.1 mln shares in the company at 293.66 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* JAYPEE INFRATECH: YES BANK has filed a plea in the Allahabad Bench of the National Company Law Tribunal to initiate insolvency proceedings against the company's arm Jaypee Healthcare.
- Mumbai-based Suraksha Realty, which is in the race with NBCC INDIA to acquire the company, is
likely to offer additional cash and land to lenders, and higher delay compensation to homebuyers to make its final resolution more lucrative for financial creditors.

* KEI INDUSTRIES: The board will meet on Thursday to consider raising funds through issue of share by way of qualified institutional placement.

* KOLTE PATIL DEVELOPERS: Has completed the second-tranche payment of 700 mln rupees to ICICI Venture Funds Management Co to acquire a 50% stake in Life Republic Township Project in Pune.

* MANAPPURAM FINANCE: The board will meet on Wednesday or a later date to finalise the price, tenure, and other terms for the issue of foreign currency denominated bonds under the euro medium term note programme.

* MANPASAND BEVERAGES: Registrar of Companies, Ahmedabad, has granted the company a onemonth extension for holding its annual general meeting for the year ended March.

* MCLEOD RUSSEL INDIA: HDFC Mutual Fund sold 2.47 mln shares of the company, representing 2.36% stake, through the open market on Thursday.
- The Calcutta High Court has quashed the ad-interim order of injunction that restrained
EVEREADY INDUSTRIES and the company, which are part of the Williamson Magor Group, from
transferring or encumbering any of their tangible and intangible assets.

* NBCC INDIA: Supreme Court on Monday directed the company to commence and complete the work of eight projects involving 11,258 home units in Noida and Greater Noida, and start handing over possession to the buyers.

* NMDC: Iron ore production in November was down 10.6% on year at 2.94 mln tn, while sales remained unchanged at 2.79 mln tn.

* ONE POINT ONE SOLUTIONS: HSBC Small Cap Fund sold 2.2% stake or 562,459 mln shares in the company at 8.07 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* RBL BANK: The capital raising committee of the board of the bank on Monday set the floor price for its qualified institutional placement issue, which opened today, at 352.57 rupees per share.

* RELIANCE HOME FINANCE: SBI Mutual Fund has written down its entire exposure to the debt
securities issued by the company held in eight schemes.

* RELIANCE INDUSTRIES: Subsidiary Reliance Jio Infocomm's all new JioFiber customers, who have put in the 2,500-rupee refundable deposit, are now being charged in big metropolitan markets, and commercial billing on a pan-India basis should be operational in a couple of weeks.

* SADBHAV ENGINEERING: Subsidiary Sadbhav Gadag Highway has achieved financial closure for a 9.95-bln-rupee project and submitted documents to the Karnataka State Highways Improvement Project.

* SOUTH WEST PINNACLE EXPLORATION: Has received an order worth 82.5 mln rupees from DEEP INDUSTRIES for air drilling rig services in Jharkhand.

* SUN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES: Said a US court had accepted claims of certain plaintiffs related to a case with respect to arm Ranbaxy Laboratories.

* SYNGENE INTERNATIONAL: Has appointed Sibaji Biswas as chief financial officer with effect from Dec 18.

* TATA MOTORS: Has received orders for over 2,300 buses from five states--Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh.

* THE NEW INDIA ASSURANCE CO: Gross premium collection rose 11.3% on year in October, in line with the industry's average growth of 11.5%. For ICICI LOMBARD GENERAL INSURANCE CO the premium income increased 8.7% to 13.64 bln rupees.

* UNITED SPIRITS: Company's board of directors approved the merger of its arm Pioneer Distilleries with the company.

* YES BANK: Integrated Core Strategies Asia sold 1.5% stake or 34.8 mln shares in the bank at 66.12 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.
- Capital International has committed to invest at least $120 mln in the bank with the possibility of
raising that in the future.

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Today's Sector News - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Sector News - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am
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* AUTOMOBILE: Hyundai Motor India's total sales in November rose 7% on year to 60,500 units.
- Honda Cars India's domestic sales plunged more than 50% on year in November to 6,459 units, and
decreased nearly 36% from October.

* COMMODITIES: Onion prices hit another historic high on Monday due to a supply crunch and as also because of a forecast of rains in Maharashtra and Karnataka over the next couple of days.
- The government owed about 337 bln rupees of subsidy arrears to fertiliser companies as of Nov 1
and the figure could balloon to 600 bln rupees by the end of this financial year, the Fertiliser Association of India said.

* ECONOMY: The government will consider a cut in personal income tax on its own merit and will not try to reduce them only to bring a parity with the corporate tax rates, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said.

* FINANCE: Altico Capital India has defaulted on payment of 725 mln rupees, which was due on Saturday.

* REAL ESTATE: Debt stress in the realty sector is spread across 50 developers, making the sector less vulnerable to fallout from the potential closure of few developers unlike the telecom or steel sector wherein a single major company represents a sizeable portion of the overall stress, according to ANAROCK Property Consultants.

* REGULATORY: ICICI Venture Funds Management Co, Dynamic India Fund IV, India Advantage Fund III, India Advantage Fund IV and Dynamic India Fund III have settled a case with the Securities and Exchange Board of India for violation of norms by payment of 52.19 mln rupees.

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Today Commodity Pivot Table : 03.12.2019

Today Commodity Pivot Table : 03.12.2019


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Diamond : Technical View : 03.12.2019

Diamond : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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On an hourly chart, the price closed with positive note during the last session.

Moreover, It has sustained above the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signifies power to the bulls.

Furthermore, the price has sustained above the Falling Trendline, which adds support in the counter.

Momentum indicators MACD has crossed above the zero level, which indicates bullishness.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Crudeoil : Technical View : 03.12.2019

Crudeoil : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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On the daily chart, the price gained 1.06% in the last session.

However, the price has shifted below the Parabolic SAR, which indicates bearish trend may remain continue.

Furthermore, the price has also shifted below the 200 SMA which suggest falling prices.

In addition, momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained below it’s 50 level which is negative for Crude Oil.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bearish move in the counter

Copper : Technical View : 03.12.2019

Copper : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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On a four hourly chart, the price has closed with flat note during the last session.

Moreover, the price has pulled back from the lower Bollinger Band, which provides support to the counter.

Furthermore, the price has shifted above the horizontal trend line, which indicates control in the hands of the bulls.

On the other hand, momentum indicator RSI(14) has been moving with positive crossover, which may indicate bullish indication.

As per the above technical structure; we expect bullish move in the counter.

Gold : Technical View : 03.12.2019

Gold : Technical View : 03.12.2019

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On the daily chart, the price has been trading below the falling trend line and drifted 0.17% during the last session.

Moreover, the price has been trading below the median line of the Bollinger Band, which adds bearish strength in the counter.

Furthermore, the price has shifted below the 21*50 days SMA’s and Parabolic Sar, which signify negative sentiments for the counter.

Additionally, RSI(14) has sustained below the 50 level, which suggests falling prices in the near term.

As per the above technical structure; we expect a bearish move in the counter.


Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View  - 03.12.2019: 09.00 Am
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Pre-Session: Sensex, Nifty likely to open in red; MPC meet in focus
03/12/2019 08:17
Indian benchmarks are expected to start the day on a negative note on Tuesday.Investors will shift their focus to the three-day Monetary Policy Committee meeting of the RBI that begins today even though concerns over the health of the domestic economy may keep investor sentiment in check. Analysts see the MPC slashing rates by up to 25 basis points (bps), along with a marginal cut in FY20 gross domestic product (GDP) growth forecast.

Also, the price hikes announced by Bharti Airtel and Vodafone Idea across prepaid segments will come into effect from today.

Apart from this, oil price, rupee's trajectory, and foreign fund flow will also influence market direction.

On Monday, the 30-share benchmark index ended at 40802.17 up by 8.36 points or by 0.02 % and then NSE Nifty was at 12048.2 down by -7.85 points.


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This Week JPYINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

This Week JPYINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

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* After two weeks of positive move last week, JPYINR pair witnessed sharp sell off after opening on a flat note at 66.05 and tumbled till the low of 65.36 and later it reclaimed slight and settled at 65.74.

* JPYINR pair has once again retested the ascending trend line support and reverted back from the same. As pair is strongly holding above the trend line therefore, the positive trend still remains intact. Going forward, JPYINR pair may re-bounce from the current levels and could head till 66.80 then 67.60 on immediate basis.

* The momentum indicator RSI (14) has been on downward note for last few weeks and stochastic
indicator has slipped into oversold zone indicating chances of re-bounce.

* For the week, the trend line support of 65.00 will hold a key level and we expect JPYINR pair to re-bounce from current levels and recommend buying around 65.40 mark. 

This Week GBPINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

This Week GBPINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

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* In the last week, GBPINR pair opened the session with minor losses at 92.24 and from there it
reclaimed higher till 93.02 and finally settled at 92.75 mark.

* The GBPINR pair is strongly continuing its rally for last few weeks and extended till the 61.8%
retracement level of 93.02 and settled above the immediate resistance of 92.00. Ahead pair
surpassing above 93.02 will propel towards 95.30 then long term trend line resistance of 96.60.

* The momentum indicator RSI is slowly inching higher and currently stood at 63.50 mark and
stochastic indicator have already moved into over bought zone on weekly charts.

* Thus for the week, 92.00 mark will hold as a key immediate support and resistance is placed at
93.03. Pair surpassing above 93.03 will extend till immediate swing high of 95.40 mark. Hence we
recommend buying on minor dips around 92.30. 

This Week EURINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

This Week EURINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

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* EUINR pair started the week on a flat note at 79.20 and from there it slipped till the low of 78.73 mark. In the later session it managed to recovery and finally

* Settled at 79.21 mark forming Doji candle stick pattern.

* The pair has continued to quote in narrow range of 78. 50 - 79.80 mark and as long as it trades within the range the short term trend remain indecisive. However, on the broader chart, pair has given bearish break down of the Head and shoulder pattern thus going forward, slip below the immediate support of 78.50 will take the pair till 77.20 then 76.50 levels.

* The momentum indicator RSI has been stuck in a sideways range and stochastic indicator is also on
mixed note.

* Thus for the week, the immediate resistance is placed at 79.60 and we advise selling around above
mentioned levels of 79.60 for immediate targets of 78.60 then 78.00 levels. 

This Week USDINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

This Week USDINR - Outlook : 02.12.2019

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* In the last week USDINR traded on a very volatile note, after opening at 71.74 it slipped till the low of 71.40 and from there it slowly reclaimed higher till 72.04 and finally settled with minor gains at 71.90.

* Currently, USDINR pair is witnessing resistance around 72.15 of the long term trend line, which
tested was tested in the penultimate week. On the other hand the pair has given bullish break out by
penetrating the descending triangle pattern in the prior weeks. Hence, surpass above the trend line
resistance of 72.30 will propel till 73.60 then 75.00.

* The momentum indicator RSI has moved slightly in the last week and stochastic indicator has made
fresh positive crossover signifying bullish signs.

* Hence, immediate resistance on the higher side is placed at 72.40 and surpass above that will extend towards the triangle pattern targets of 73.60 and higher. Thus we continue hold our bullish view and advice buying around 71.40 levels for the week. 

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

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* GBP increased against USD by 0.64 percent last week while GBPINR depreciated by 0.54 percent.

* The formal launch of the Conservative Party’s election pledge centred on the key manifesto of PM Boris Johnson’s campaign: making Brexit happen. The UK released the November Nationwide
Housing Price Index, which was up by 0.5% MoM and by 0.8% YoY, beating the market’s expectations.

* GBPINR is expected to depreciate in today’s session.

EURINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

EURINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

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* EURINR depreciated by 0.1 percent last week while EURINR appreciated by 0.19 percent the same time frame.

* CPI from Germany came in at -0.8 percent for Oct’19 against market expectations of -0.7 percent. The outlook for Germany's economy brightened as the monthly index issued by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) climbed by 1.5 points to 91.5 points in Nov’19. Private households in Germany continued to benefit from rising incomes. Both the employment level and wages in Germany continued to rise.

* EURINR is expected to depreciate today’s session

USDINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

USDINR : Fundamental View : 02.12.2019

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* Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.1 percent last week while the Dollar index increased by 0.08 percent during the same time frame. India’s Q2 GDP growth comes in at 4.5% against market expectations of
4.7%.

* On the trade war front, China held off from retaliating against the U.S. after President Trump signed a bill supporting Hong Kong’s anti-Beijing protesters, as both sides remained confident they can sign a partial trade deal in the coming weeks, officials in the U.S. and China said. Jerome Powell spoke at the “The Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy” in Zurich and addressed that the Central Bank is strongly committed towards its 2 percent inflation target. The remarks are further indication that the Central Bank is highly unlikely to cut rates anytime soon. CB Consumer Confidence Index
fell in November to 125.5, although the October number was upwardly revised to 126.1.

* USDINR is expected to depreciate in today’s session.

EURINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

EURINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

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* The EURINR closed flat by 0.06% during its previous trading session.

* But, the pair has taken support of the lower Bollinger band and moved positively which signifies that the counter has upside momentum.

* Moreover, It has closed above the 200 Day EMA, which signals bullish strength.

* Additionally, the pair’s Heikin Ashi has formed a fresh green candle which indicates bullish control.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect a bullish move in EURINR towards 79.40 level.

GBPINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

GBPINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

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* GBPINR closed on a dull note signaling indecision during it’s last trading session.

* But, on the daily timeframe the pair has started trading above its Parabolic SAR which signals positivity for the near term.

* Moreover, the pair has sustained above its 20*50 EMA confirming power to the bulls.

* Also, the pair’s daily Heikin Ashi has formed a strong green candle which signifies bullishness.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bullish move in GBPINR future towards 92.94 level.

JPYINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

JPYINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

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* During it’s previous session JPYINR prices showed indecision and closed on a flat note by 0.04% for the day.

* Also the pair formed a spinning top candle on the daily chart, As well as it sustained below its Ichimoku Cloud, which confirms bearish bias in the counter.

* Moreover, the price has been trading below the 20*50 EMA, which confirms that the pair is in a downtrend.

* Additionally, momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained below its 50 level which signals weakness in JPYINR.

* So based on the above mixed technical structure, we expect sideways to bearish move in JPYINR  towards 65.54 level.

USDINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

USDINR : Technical View : 02.12.2019

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* The USDINR pair shined forming a strong green candle and rose by 0.14% during the last trading session.

* Also, the pair has sustained above its Ichimoku Cloud which signals bullish power in the counter.

* Furthermore, momentum indicator Stochastic (6) has shown a positive crossover, which indicates prices to rise in the near term.

* Additionally, the pair’s daily Heikin Ashi Candle has formed a strong green candle which indicates that the uptrend has strength.

* Hence, we expect bullish move in USDINR future towards 72.10 level.