Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

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Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Realty Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Realty Sector Analysis – 14.03.2025 

K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)

MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting the Nifty Realty Index  

- Interest rate trends – RBI’s monetary policy impacts real estate demand and borrowing costs.  

- Government policies & incentives – Housing schemes, infrastructure development, and regulatory changes influence sector growth.  

- Real estate demand – Urbanization, migration trends, and affordable housing demand shape market movement.  

- Global economic factors – Inflation, liquidity conditions, and foreign investment affect realty stocks.  

- Raw material costs – Steel, cement, and labor costs influence project profitability and margins.  

Key Watch  

- Support & resistance levels  

  - Immediate support: 800  

  - Major support: 692 (150-DMA), 630 (200-DMA)  

  - Resistance levels: 1001 (50-DMA)  

- Technical indicators  

  - RSI: 35.01 (Near oversold zone)  

  - MACD: Bearish crossover, indicating weakness  

  - ADX: 23.94, showing moderate trend strength  

Upcoming Events  

- RBI’s interest rate decision and impact on home loans  

- Government policies on real estate development  

- FDI & institutional investment trends in real estate  

- Inflation and raw material cost updates affecting construction  

Volume Analysis  

- Recent price corrections have been accompanied by low trading volumes, suggesting weak momentum.  

- Institutional investors are cautious, awaiting trend confirmation.  

- A surge in volume near support levels could signal potential buying interest.  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations  

- Primary trend: Bullish (Higher highs & higher lows indicate a long-term uptrend)  

- Short-term trend: Corrective (Pullback from recent highs, testing key support levels)  

- Long-term trend: Remains bullish if 692 support holds  

Stocks to Watch  

- DLF – Strong fundamentals with expansion plans  

- Godrej Properties – Focused on premium & mid-segment housing  

- Oberoi Realty – High-end real estate development potential  

- Macrotech Developers (Lodha) – Benefiting from rising demand in metro cities  

- Brigade Enterprises – Growth in commercial real estate sector  

Market Insights  

- Short-term view: Market is in a consolidation phase, testing key support zones.  

- Long-term view: Growth outlook remains positive due to rising housing demand and government infrastructure push.  

Final Takeaway  

- Nifty Realty is in a long-term uptrend but experiencing a short-term correction.  

- 800 is a crucial support level to watch for a possible rebound.  

- Global liquidity, interest rates, and real estate demand will determine future price movements.  

Breakout Strategy (Bullish)  

- Buy above 1001, targeting 1200+  

- Look for increasing volume and RSI moving above 50  

Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)  

- Sell if it breaks below 800, targeting 692 & 630  

- Confirmation needed from MACD & RSI for stronger downside momentum

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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Metal Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Metal Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

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Metal Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Metal Index Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Nifty Metal Sector Analysis – 14.03.2025

K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)

MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting the Nifty Metal Index  

1. Global commodity prices – Fluctuations in steel, aluminum, and base metal prices influence profitability.  

2. Government infrastructure push – Increased infrastructure spending boosts metal demand.  

3. China’s economic recovery – China’s demand and production policies impact global metal prices.  

4. Steel & aluminum price trends – Supply chain disruptions and pricing volatility affect earnings.  

5. Currency movements – USD/INR fluctuations influence raw material imports and export competitiveness.  

Key Watch  

- Support & resistance levels  

  - Immediate support – 8,777  

  - Major support – 7,316 (150-day moving average), 6,912 (200-day moving average)  

  - Resistance levels – 9,189 (50-day moving average), 10,500  

- Technical indicators  

  - RSI: 49.35 (neutral zone)  

  - MACD: Bearish crossover, indicating short-term weakness  

Upcoming Events  

- China’s industrial production and economic outlook reports  

- Domestic steel and aluminum production data  

- RBI interest rate decision and its impact on capex cycles  

- Global metal demand forecast updates  

Volume Analysis  

- Recent price corrections have occurred with declining volumes, signaling weak momentum  

- Institutional investors remain cautious, awaiting confirmation of trend reversal  

- A surge in buying volume near support levels could indicate a potential rebound  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations  

- Primary trend: bullish – higher highs and higher lows indicate a long-term uptrend  

- Short-term trend: corrective – prices consolidating after a strong rally  

- Long-term trend: bullish as long as 7,316 holds  

Stocks to Watch  

- Tata Steel – strong domestic & global demand outlook  

- JSW Steel – capacity expansion & export growth potential  

- Hindalco – benefiting from rising aluminum prices  

- Vedanta – strong base metal production & earnings growth  

- NMDC – iron ore pricing and supply trends to watch  

Market Insights  

- Short-term view – market in consolidation; testing key support levels  

- Long-term view – positive outlook supported by strong demand fundamentals  

Final Takeaway  

- Nifty Metal remains in a long-term uptrend despite short-term corrections  

- Key support at 8,777 should be monitored for potential bounce  

- Watch for policy updates and commodity price trends for directional moves  

Breakout Strategy (Bullish)  

- Buy above 9,189 with a target of 10,500+  

- Look for increasing volume and RSI strengthening above 50  

Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)  

- Sell if it breaks below 8,777, targeting 7,316  

- MACD & RSI confirmation needed for stronger bearish sentiment

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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Energy Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Energy Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

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Energy Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

Energy Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

NIFTYENERGY Sector Analysis – 14.03.2025 

K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)

MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting & Reasons:  

- Price Action: The index has been declining from recent highs and is now testing key support zones near long-term moving averages.  

- Volume: Increased volumes suggest active selling, but the trend needs confirmation for either a breakdown or reversal.  

- Indicators:  

  - RSI (36.03): Approaching oversold territory, indicating possible exhaustion of selling pressure.  

  - ADX (41.09): High ADX shows a strong ongoing trend — currently bearish.  

  - MACD: Deeply negative, confirming bearish momentum.  

  - CCI (-90.40): In oversold territory, suggesting a possibility of a short-term bounce.  

Key Watch:  

- Support at 29,150 (200-day MA) and psychological round figure of 30,000.  

- Resistance at 38,819 (50-day MA), reclaiming this level may reverse bearishness.  

- Watch RSI and MACD for signs of momentum reversal or further decline.  

Upcoming Events:  

- Crude oil price movements impacting the energy sector.  

- Government policy updates on energy reforms, disinvestment plans, and sectoral caps.  

- Global events affecting the energy supply chain and commodity prices.  

- Earnings announcements of key energy companies in coming weeks.  

Volume Analysis:  

- Recent spikes in volume indicate strong participation during the fall.  

- Sustained high volume on down days reflects bearish pressure.  

- Look for volume contraction near support for signs of seller exhaustion or accumulation.  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations:  

- The index is making lower highs and lower lows in the short term, confirming a bearish trend.  

- Long-term uptrend remains intact as long as it holds above the 200 and 390-day MAs.  

- A breakdown below 29,150 could trigger deeper corrections, while holding here may form a base for a rebound.  

Stocks to Watch:  

- Reliance Industries, ONGC, NTPC, Power Grid, Adani Green, and BPCL — as heavyweights, these will dictate the index’s direction.  

- Watch sector-specific leaders for relative strength or early signs of reversal.  

Market Insights:  

Short-Term View:  

- Bearish to neutral. Caution warranted unless the index reclaims key resistances.  

- Possible consolidation around 30,000–29,000 before a clear trend emerges.  

Long-Term View:  

- Still intact as long as above 29,150 (200-day MA) and 22,280 (390-day MA).  

- Breaching these levels could shift long-term outlook to bearish.  

Final Takeaway:  

- The sector is at a critical support juncture.  

- RSI and CCI near oversold zones suggest limited downside unless supports are breached.  

- A decisive move above 38,819 will be required to regain bullish momentum.  

- Traders should be cautious and wait for clear signals before entering.  

Breakout Strategy (Bullish):  

- Buy if the index closes and sustains above 38,819 (50-day MA).  

- Watch for RSI moving above 50 and MACD crossover as confirmation.  

- Short-term target: 42,000–45,000; Stop loss near 30,000.  

Breakdown Strategy (Bearish):  

- Sell if index breaks and sustains below 29,150 (200-day MA).  

- Confirmation via RSI falling below 35 and MACD expanding negative.  

- Short-term target: 26,000–25,000; Stop loss near 32,000.  

Conclusion:  

NIFTYENERGY is under pressure, but nearing strong long-term support. Traders should monitor price action near these levels closely. A breakdown will indicate more pain, while holding and bouncing may offer an opportunity for a rebound.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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PSUBANK Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

PSUBANK Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

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PSUBANK Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

PSUBANK Sector Analysis – K Karthik Raja Rupeedesk Share Market Training -14.03.2025

PSUBANK Sector Analysis – 14.03.2025

K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)

MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting & Reasons:  

- Price Action: The index has slipped below short-term moving averages, reflecting sustained selling. It is approaching long-term support levels like the 150-day MA at 5110 and the 200-day MA at 4487.  

- Volume: Strong volume at 340.495M, suggesting active selling and strengthening the bearish outlook.  

- Indicators:  

  - RSI (38.76): Near oversold levels, which could lead to a bounce or further downside.  

  - ADX (30.87): Shows a strong bearish trend, indicating prevailing negative momentum.  

  - MACD: Deep in negative territory, confirming a bearish setup.  

  - CCI (-109.02): In oversold territory, signaling caution and the potential for a short-term bounce.  

Key Watch:  

- Support levels: 5110 (150-day MA) and 4487 (200-day MA) are critical zones for a potential reversal or breakdown.  

- Resistance levels: 6793 (50-day MA) needs to be reclaimed for any bullish attempt.  

- Indicator behavior: RSI and MACD movements will be crucial for spotting momentum shifts.  

Upcoming Events:  

- PSU bank-specific developments such as government recapitalization or privatization news.  

- Broader economic events like RBI policy updates, inflation data, and fiscal measures affecting banks.  

- Sector triggers including bond yields, interest rate movements, and credit growth trends.  

Volume Analysis:  

- High selling volume reflects strong bearish sentiment and institutional exit.  

- If volumes ease near support zones, it may indicate seller fatigue and a possible bounce.  

- Look for signs of accumulation near longer-term moving averages.  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations:  

- Formation of lower highs and lower lows confirms a clear downtrend.  

- While above the 200 and 390-day MAs, price action is dangerously close to these supports.  

- A double-bottom pattern near 5110-4487 may form if stabilization occurs; otherwise, a breakdown risk remains.  

Stocks to Watch:  

- SBI, Bank of Baroda, PNB, Canara Bank, Indian Bank — key PSU banking stocks to monitor.  

- Individual PSU banks may show relative strength or weakness based on specific developments.  

Market Insights:  

Short-Term View:  

- Bearish outlook until clear reversal signals appear.  

- Possible retest of 5110/4487 in coming weeks.  

Long-Term View:  

- Neutral-to-positive as long as the index holds above 200 and 390-day MAs.  

- A breakdown below these levels would shift the long-term outlook to bearish, opening room for deeper corrections.  

Final Takeaway:  

- Current sentiment is negative.  

- Key supports must hold to prevent further decline.  

- RSI and MACD suggest oversold conditions, so a short-term bounce is possible but needs confirmation.  

- Sustaining above 6793 is crucial to reverse the trend.  

- Traders should stay cautious and wait for confirmations.  

Breakout Strategy (Bullish):  

- Watch for price reclaiming 6793 (50-day MA).  

- RSI moving above 50 and a bullish MACD crossover will confirm upside potential.  

- Targets near 7300–7500 if breakout holds.  

Breakdown Strategy (Bearish):  

- If the index drops below 5110/4487, expect sharper declines.  

- RSI falling below 35 and further negative MACD crossover will confirm breakdown.  

- Downside targets could be 4000–4500 if major supports are breached.  

Conclusion:  

NIFTYPSUBANK is in a correction phase. Caution is advised as long as bearish momentum persists. Traders should closely monitor key levels and indicators for signals of reversal or continuation. The broader trend remains under pressure unless strong buying emerges near critical supports.  

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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