Monday, November 4, 2019

Today's Currency News : 05.11.2019

Today's Currency News : 05.11.2019

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Rupee trades higher at 70.74 per dollar

The Indian rupee erased its morning losses and trading higher at 70.74 per dollar, with domestic equity market are trading marginally higher. The local currency opened lower by 8 paise at 70.85 per dollar versus previous close 70.77. On November 4, the Indian rupee erased its early gains and ended marginally higher at 70.77 per dollar on the back of sustained foreign fund inflows and hopes of a partial trade deal between the US and China. The Sensex is up 37.84 points at 40,339.80, while Nifty is up 7.20 points at 11,948.50. Gold and Silver prices seen some profit taking in international market as dollar index recovered from crucial support levels of 97. Spot Gold closed around $1510 per Troy ounce and silver closed around $18.06 per troy ounce. Gold and Silver closed with moderate gains in domestic market due to weakness in rupee. Oil prices slipped on Tuesday amid doubts over whether OPEC and other countries will continue to restrain output, edging lower after two days of gains on U.S. economic data and hopes for a Washington-Beijing trade deal.

Hot stocks: Stay put as Nifty is headed towards 12,300 levels

Hot stocks: Stay put as Nifty is headed towards 12,300 levels

The Nifty is now placed above all important moving average parameters, indicating bullish trend on all timeframes

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The Nifty has been rising for the last seven sessions. Last week, it registered its second-highest weekly close. Metals, PSU banks, IT and midcaps have started outperforming the index.

The Sensex recently hit a fresh high, while the Nifty is just 1.3 percent away from taking out it previous high of 12,103 registered on June 3.

By crossing 11,700, the Nifty broke out from the bullish 'Cup and Handle' pattern on the daily charts. It is now headed for 12,300 levels.

The index has also been moving in the upward sloping channel on the weekly charts, the upper band of which projects the next resistance around 12,300 levels. The earlier resistance of 11,700 has now become a strong support for the Nifty and longs should be protected with a stop-loss at the same level.

The Nifty is now placed above all important moving average parameters, indicating bullish trend on all timeframes.

From an accumulation phase, the markets have entered the participation phase and the overall breadth of the market is likely to improve further from here on.

The Nifty Midcap index has surpassed its 200-DMA with a 'Rounding Bottom' formation on the daily charts. We expect midcaps to outperform the Nifty and Sensex in November.

Indicators and oscillators like MACD, ADX and RSI have also been in the favour of the bulls on the daily and weekly charts.

The strategy should be to remain long on the Nifty. We expect a target of 12,300 in November, but there could be a small pause at 12,000 levels in the short term as healthy call writing is seen at that strike, but corrections should be bought into.

Here is a list of top three stocks that could return 13-16 percent in the next three-to-four weeks:

Tata Metaliks: Buy| LTP: Rs 607| Targets: Rs 685| Stop-Loss: Rs 552| Return 13%

The primary trend of the stock has been bullish on the monthly charts. The stock has seen a correction of more than 50 percent from the all-time high of Rs 962, registered in January 2018.

The stock price has broken out from the downward sloping channel on the weekly charts. “Flag” pattern breakout has been observed on the daily charts with a rise in volumes.

Considering the technical evidence discussed above, we recommend buying the stock at the current market price for the targets of Rs 685, and keep a stop loss at Rs 552 on a closing basis.

Godfrey Phillip: Buy| LTP: Rs 1,103| Target: Rs 1,260| Stop-Loss: Rs 950| Upside 14%

The stock price has given a symmetrical triangle breakout on the daily charts. The 50-days EMA has recently crossed above its 200-Days EMA, resulting into golden crossover.

The stock has resumed its primary uptrend after short term consolidation. The resumption of an uptrend has been with higher volumes, which adds strength in the trend.

Considering the technical evidence discussed above, we recommend buying the stock at the current market price for the target of Rs 1,260, and keep a stop loss at Rs 950 on a closing basis.

Navin Flourine: Buy| LTP: Rs 891| Target: Rs 1,040 | Stop-Loss: Rs 712 | Upside 16%

The stock price has recently broken out from a long term rectangle pattern on the monthly charts, which also resulted in a breakout from the last 8 quarter’s price consolidation between 570 and 843.

The stock price has recently registered a new all-time high above Rs 864. For the week ended 25th Oct 2019, the stock registered its highest weekly close with a significant jump in volumes.

The stock price has been trading above all important moving averages which indicate bullish trend for all time frames.

Considering the technical evidence discussed above, we recommend buying the stock at CMP, for the target of Rs 1040, and keep a stop loss at Rs 712 on a closing basis.

Today's Commodity News : 05.11.2019

 Today's Commodity News : 05.11.2019


India's October gold imports drop 33% as higher prices curtail festive buying

India's gold imports in October fell a third from a year earlier, dropping a fourth straight month as near record-high prices dampened festive buying in the world's second-biggest consumer of the metal, a government source said on November 4. Lower imports by the South Asian country could cap gains in global prices that are trading near their highest level in more than six years, and may also help New Delhi bring down its trade deficit and support the Indian rupee. India fills nearly all of its gold demand through imports. India imported 38 tonnes of gold in October, down 33 percent from 57 tonnes a year earlier, the source said on condition of anonymity as he is not authorised to speak to media. In value terms, the October imports were at $1.84 billion, up 4.5 percent from $1.76 billion last year, he said. Higher gold prices badly affected retail purchases during the Diwali and Dussehra festivals, said Surendra Mehta, secretary of the India Bullion and Jewellers Association. This year Indians celebrated both the festivals - for which buying gold is considered auspicious - last month.
In September, local gold futures hit an all-time high of 39,885 rupees ($563.94) per 10 grams and have risen about 22 percent so far in 2019, tracking a rally in global prices and due to a depreciation in the rupee. There could be a further drop in November. "Usually demand moderates after Diwali," said Daman Prakash Rathod, a director at MNC Bullion, a wholesaler in Chennai. India's gold imports could fall below 30 tonnes in November, said a Mumbai-based dealer with a gold importing bank, which would mark a drop of two-thirds from last year's 84.8 tonnes. "Unless prices correct significantly, say by around 3,000 rupees (per 10 grams), we won't see a revival in the demand," the dealer said.

Gold prices are expected to trade lower today

On Monday, spot gold prices ended lower by 0.28 percent to close at $1509.2 per ounce. Prices dipped after U.S. & China expressed their optimism over striking a deal this month to end the prolonged trade war. The 16 month long trade spat had roiled the markets and boosted the appeal for the safe haven asset, Gold. However, situations have seemed to run around as both countries are trying to find a way out of the protracted tariff spat which has boosted the risk appetite amongst investors and pushed Gold prices lower.

Outlook

Optimism over a possible trade deal between U.S. & China amid positive economic data from U.S. & China might boost the risk appetite amongst investors and dent the appeal for the safe haven asset. On the MCX, gold prices are expected to trade lower today; international markets are trading lower by 0.23 percent at $1507.6 per ounce.

Today's Stock News - 05.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Stock News - 0.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ADANI TRANSMISSION: Board will meet on Thursday to consider raising funds through foreign currency bonds, which may be issued in one or more tranches in India or overseas. It will also consider a buyback of non-convertible debentures and masala bonds.

* ARTSON ENGINEERING: Has received a letter of award for 240 mln rupees from VEDANTA for
construction of crude oil and storage tanks.

* ASHOK LEYLAND: Has introduced Bharat Stage-VI emission norms-complaint heavy-duty trucks.

* BAJAJ FINANCE: Launched a qualified institutional placement and set a floor price of 4,019.78 rupee per share.

* BHARTI AIRTEL: Has launched its new prepaid pack bundled with an insurance cover in Delhi and National Capital Region.

* CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA: Intends to raise up to 10 bln rupees in equity capital through qualified institutional placement in the fourth quarter of the current financial year.

* CG POWER AND INDUSTRIAL SOLUTIONS: L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS bought 10% stake or 62.6 mln shares in the company at 13.97 rupees per share through a bulk deal on BSE.

* CORPORATION BANK: Plans to raise at least 5 bln rupees through issuance of Basel III-compliant tier-II bonds maturing in 10 years, and has invited bids on Thursday.

* COX & KINGS: Letko Brosseau Emerging Markets Equity Fund sold 2.2 mln shares or 1.26% stake in the company at 1.49 rupees apiece on the BSE.

* INDIAN OIL CORP: Is evaluating the option of throwing its hat in the ring and taking over the entire government stake in BHARAT PETROLEUM CORP, which tops strategic disinvestment list firmed up for the current fiscal.

* IL&FS TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS: Has defaulted on interest payment of 22.94 mln rupees on nonconvertible debentures due on Monday.

* JET AIRWAYS (INDIA): Indian skies have regained their lost capacity, a little over six months after the company was grounded.

* JINDAL STEEL AND POWER: Can save at least 5 bln rupees on coal procurement cost each year if it manages to win the Gare Palma IV/1 coal block, brokerage firm Edelweiss Securities said.

* KARUR VYSYA BANK: Will increase its one-month marginal cost of fund-based lending rate by 10 basis points to 8.45% from Thursday.

* LUPIN: Responding to the news report stating that the company is looking to sell its Japanese arm Kyowa for $600 mln, the company said it regularly evaluates various strategic business opportunities, plans and proposals.

* MAHANAGAR TELEPHONE NIGAM: The sale of assets by Bharat Sanchar Nigam and the company is likely to take longer than expected as their buildings registered before 1988 are owned by the Department of Telecommunications.
- Some vendors of Bharat Sanchar Nigam and the company are mulling insolvency pleas against the
state-run companies for non-payment of dues, estimated to be around 200 bln rupees.

* MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA: Has offered proactive inspection and replacement of suspension component, on a limited batch of XUV300 vehicles manufactured till May 19.

* MANGALORE REFINERY & PETROCHEMICALS: Board has approved appointment of Pomila Jaspal as chief financial officer. The company will also raise up to 30 bln rupees through non-convertible debentures.

* MARUTI SUZUKI INDIA: Has resumed the second shift at its plant in Gurugram since early October, after around four months, following a pick up in demand this festive season.

* MOTHERSON SUMI SYSTEMS: Moody's Investors Service has changed the outlook on the Baa3 issuer rating of the company to negative from stable.

* PNB HOUSING FINANCE: Plans to raise 25 bln rupees through the issuance of separately transferable redeemable principal parts structured bonds maturing in 10 years.

* PRAKASH INDUSTRIES: Has started operations at its Sirkagutu iron and manganese ore mine in Keonjhar, Odisha.

* QUESS CORP: Krishna Suraj Moraje has joined the company as executive director and group chief
executive officer.

* RAYMOND: Board will meet on Thursday to consider raising funds by way of issue of one or more instruments including shares, preference shares, convertible securities of any description or warrants or debt securities, through preferential issue, private placement, rights issue or any other methods.

* SHIVA CEMENT: Has been selected as the preferred bidder for grant of mining lease issued by the
government of Odisha for limestone, graphite and chromite minerals.

* SICAL LOGISTICS: RBL BANK has invoked pledge on 165,000 shares held by the company in arm Sical Logixpress.

* SMS LIFESCIENCES INDIA: Will be manufacturing Ranitidine HCL within permissible limits of Nnitrosodimethylamine in the drug as approved by US Food and Drug Administration.

* SOUTHERN PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIAL CORP: The company on Sunday resumed production of urea and ammonia at its plant in Tuticorin, Tamil Nadu, which is expected to return to its full capacity in a few days.

* SRF: Board has approved an investment of $50 mln for setting up a 45,000-tn per annum capacity biaxially oriented polypropylene film plant in Thailand by the company's wholly-owned arm SRF Industries (Thailand).

* SUN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRIES: Subsidiary Taro Pharmaceutical Industries board has approved $300 mln share buyback.

* TATA POWER CO: Launched subsidiary TP Renewable Microgrid to set up 10,000 microgrids in rural areas through 2026.

* ULTRATECH CEMENT: GRASIM INDUSTRIES and the company have accused Harsh Vardhan Lodhacontrolled MP Birla Group of copyright infringement. In a suit filed in the Bombay High Court, the two companies said MP Birla Group has infringed on their copyright by using the word "ultra" in its cement brands.

* WELSPUN CORP: Goldman Sachs Asset Management has bought 3.69 mln shares or 1.38% stake in the company for 142.85 rupees a piece.

* YES BANK: Rakesh Radheyshyam Jhunjhunwala has bought 13 mln shares or 0.5% stake in the bank at 67.10 rupees apiece via a bulk deal on the BSE.

* ZEE ENTERTAINMENT ENTERPRISES: Responding to a media report, the company said its promoters have denied that their pledged stake has been transferred to an escrow account.

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Today's Sector News - 05.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Sector News - 05.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ECONOMY: The Reserve Bank of India on Monday gave large non-bank lenders nine months to comply with the so-called liquidity coverage ratio, which was proposed as a measure to strengthen the asset-liability management of these financiers. The implementation will now start from December 2020.
- The RBI has introduced tighter norms for compensation of chief executive officers, whole-time
directors and material risk takers at private banks with an aim to put more focus on linking remuneration to performance with the option to defer or claw back payments in case of a deterioration in the bank's performance.

* ENERGY: The Asian Development Bank has approved a $451-mln loan to strengthen power connectivity between the southern and northern parts of the Chennai–Kanyakumari Industrial Corridor in Tamil Nadu, the Manila-based financing organisation said in a statement.

* FINANCE: IL&FS Financial Services has defaulted on 128.4-mln-rupee interest payment on external commercial borrowings, due on Oct 29.

* NON-BANK FINANCIAL COMPANY: Ajay Piramal said he plans to resign as chairman of Shriram Capital as he looks to sell his stake in the parent group.

* REGULATORY: The Securities and Exchange Board of India has directed rating agencies to exclude their managing directors and chief executive officers from rating committees that evaluate and assign credit rating to companies.

* SUGAR: India's sugar output is likely to drop to 26.0-26.5 mln tn in the new crushing season that started October, sharply lower than last year's record of 33.1 mln tn, National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories Federation said.

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Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View - 05.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View  - 05.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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Pre-Session: Negative start on cards for domestic bourses; Services PMI eyed
05/11/2019 08:20
Indian benchmarks are expected to start the day on a negative note on Tuesday. September quarter results, services PMI for October, and global cues would guide the market trajectory today. A total of 94 companies, including Titan, Tech Mahindra, Dabur India, and Punjab National Bank are scheduled to announce their September quarter earnings today. On the macro front, India's Services PMI data will be released later in the day. On Monday, the 30-share benchmark Sensex closed at a new all-time high after seven straight days of gains. The index rose 137 points.


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