Monday, November 14, 2016

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Currency Market Update:11/15/2016 12:58

Currency Market Update:11/15/2016 12:58
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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Currency Market Update
11/15/2016 12:58
USDINR:Trend-Down
EURINR:Trend-Down
GBPINR:Trend-Down
JPYINR:Trend-UP
EURUSD:Trend-Down
GBPUSD:Trend-Down
USDCHF:Trend-UP
USDJPY:Trend-UP
USDCAD:Trend-Down
AUDUSD:Trend-UP
EURGBP:Trend-UP
EURAUD:Trend-UP
EURCHF:Trend-UP
EURJPY:Trend-Down
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USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE



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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at106.52 and made low of 106.50 and seen some buying due to dollar demand and the pair could not sustain the lower levels of 106.50 mark and was trading volatile to positive bias now the pair is trading above 108 mark that will act as a strong support and swing high of 105.5 mark, has been violated so intraday dips shall be outsized to buy the pair and the pair can head higher.

Fundamental Overview

Yen continued to remain the casualty of the US dollar weakness. The USDJPY pair has traded above the 108.50 mark despite the positive GDP reading from the Japanese economy yesterday. Possibility of a rate hike from the US and Fiscal expansion is driving the US dollar strength and is likely to remain the same until the FOMC meeting in December.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA SURV PREVIOUS
11:30:00 JPY Investing.com USD/JPY Index 40.40%

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2543 made a high of 1.2674, and seen some buying from the lower levels , and the pair could not sustain the 1.25 levels and breakout but yesterday could not sustain this signifies aggressiveness of bear at higher levels but 1.23 will support act as a strong support, so likely to be volatile

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2493, finally breaking against the US dollar in yesterday’s session. There was no major data from the UK but appreciating Yields in the Gilts has driven the UK currency higher. Inflation data is scheduled to be reported today and a positive reading could drive the pair higher else we can witness continued depreciation.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
15:00:00 GBP CPI (YoY) (Oct) 1.10% 1.00%
15:00:00 GBP CPI (MoM) (Oct) 0.30% 0.20%
15:00:00 GBP PPI Input (MoM) (Oct) 2.10% 0.00%
15:30:00 GBP Inflation Report Hearings

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0886 Made a high of 1.10924 and traded with some volatile to negative bias ,the pair had strong fall from the levels of 1.13 and tested the levels of 1.0850 that was acting as a strong support and yesterday the pair violated the support now support will become resistance and rise shall be utilized to sell the pair

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0750, continuing with the decline that began after the US elections were declared. Uncertainty arising out of the Italian referendum due on the 4th of December is also adding to the downward pressure. Important data is due to reported from Germany and the EU today and will add to the volatility.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
12:30:00 EUR German GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 0.30% 0.40%
12:30:00 EUR German GDP (YoY) (Q3) 1.80% 3.10%
15:30:00 EUR German ZEW Current Conditions (Nov) 61.5 59.5
15:30:00 EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment (Nov) 8.1 6.2
15:30:00 EUR GDP (YoY) (Q3) 1.60% 1.60%
15:30:00 EUR GDP (QoQ) (Q3) 0.30%  0.30%
15:30:00 EUR Trade Balance (Sep) 22.5B 18.4B

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:15.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.29 and made a low of 67.09 and had volatile to positive session ,the pair had violated the strong resistance of 67.00 levels and gapped up signifying strong demand and sustain above the breakout levels the pair is likely to trade with positive bias, any dips shall be utilized to buy the pair

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 99.94, remaining upbeat in this week as well as investors continued to bet on rising interest rates and inflation in the US. Longer term interest rate of the 30 year US government bonds moved above the 3% mark yesterday, sending investors to scramble for dollar. This trend is likely to continue until the FOMC meeting in December where the FED is expected to raise rates by 0.25%.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
18:00:00 USD FOMC Member Rosengren Speaks
19:00:00 USD Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) 0.50% 0.50%
19:00:00 USD Export Price Index (MoM) (Oct) 0.20% 0.30%
19:00:00 USD Import Price Index (MoM) (Oct) 0.40% 0.10%
19:00:00 USD NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Nov) -2.5