Saturday, April 29, 2017

Free Sector Outlook for the Week 02.05.2017 To 05.05.2017

Free Sector Outlook for the Week 02.05.2017 To 05.05.2017 

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Indian Market Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Indian Market Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Indian Market Outlook for the week -02 to 05.05.2017
  ( www.rupeedesk.in )

Domestic benchmark indices are seen testing higher levels after hitting lifetime highs this week as
investors will take cues from the spate of corporate earnings and happenings in global markets. The key event next week is the US Federal Open Market Committee's meeting on Tuesday, followed by their decision on interest rates on Wednesday. Investors will watch for US GDP data, scheduled for release later today, for cues on the Fed's future moves regarding interest rates in the world's largest economy, which has a bearing on foreign investment flows to global stock markets. The Metal and automobile sectoral indices could extend gains next week due to buying on expectations of better earnings in the upcoming quarters of the current financial year. Yesterday, the Nifty 50 index ended down 38.10 points, or 0.4% lower at 9304.05, while the S&P BSE Sensex ended down 111.34 points, or 0.4% lower at 29918.40. The Nifty Bank Index ended 31.95 points higher, or up 0.1% at 22358.25, and is expected to range between 21570 and 22600 next week. It had hit a lifetime high of 22380.85 points on Thursday, after having shown monthly gains in 2017 along with the Nifty 50 and the Sensex.  Next week, there are many corporate results lined up and the stocks to be in focus will be those in the financial, pharmaceutical, and automobile space. On Monday, Bharat Financial Inclusion will announce its earnings for Jan-Mar and investors will be keenly watching for any clarification regarding speculation that the company may take up the issue of stake sale to a leading bank. On Tuesday, focus will be on personal products maker Marico, and RBL Bank, as they, among others, will announce their quarterly results. Investors will also keep a close watch on earnings nnouncements by Alembic Pharmaceuticals and ICICI Bank on Wednesday, and BASF India, Godrej Properties, MRF, and Housing Development Finance Corp on Thursday. Companies scheduled to announce results on Friday and Saturday are Apollo Tyres, Equitas Holdings, The Great Eastern Shipping CO, Sanofi India, Monsanto India, and Pfizer.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Metal Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Metal Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Metal Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017
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Stocks of metal and mining companies are seen gaining next week due to a positive trend on technical
charts, and as these stocks try and catch up with gains made by the broader market. Most stocks have
given negative-to-flat returns this week, even as the benchmark Nifty 50 and Sensex tested lifetime highs, and gained 2% each to see their best week in six weeks. A holiday-truncated week may prompt buying as shares of metal and mining companies now look cheaper when compared to benchmark indices. Markets will remain shut on Monday for Maharashtra Day. Fundamentally, prices of base metal prices globally will be the trigger for this high-beta sector. Base metal prices have been on an uptrend in the last few sessions. On technical charts, shares of Vedanta are seen extending gains after brief consolidation. The stock which closed 5% higher this week is seen rising another 6-7% in a couple of weeks. Vedanta stock price have gained 13% so far this year, and 144% in 52 weeks. Stock of Hindalco Industries are also seen positive, and may rise up to 210-220 rupees in the near term. Stocks of steel companies, which have largely been under pressure this week, are seen faring no better
next week. High raw material costs, coupled with a low-demand environment are likely to keep buying
subdued in these shares. These stocks also lack signs of a build up of long positions, and there are very little signs of accumulation in these stocks.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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FMCG Stocks Outlook for the week –  02 to 05.05.2017
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 Stocks of fast moving consumer goods are seen gaining in the coming week as reports of a normal
southwest monsoon are likely to provide impetus to retail and wholesale trade channel volumes. We
perceive some risk of below-normal monsoon, which can lead to slow recovery in rural growth and some impact on volumes of players with higher salience in rural areas. However, the recent forecast suggests decreasing probability of El Nino, which is a positive. FMCG companies are also likely to take some pricing action in coming days before the goods and services tax, which is likely to be rolled out from Jul 1, kicks in. After three years of soft single-digit sales growth, the sector is set to revert to double-digit surge trajectory. This will be anchored by return of the pricing power, anticipated improvement in GDP, and jump in share of organised players triggered by GST implementation.
Though GST will usher in efficiency and ease of doing business, it will lead to marginal increase in
working capital requirement for various stakeholders in the overall distribution as the goods and
services tax will be levied on supply of goods even if that supply is between warehouses, the report said.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Auto Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Auto Stocks Outlook for the week –02 to 05.05.2017

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Stocks of most automobile companies are seen trading with a positive bias next week on the back of a
strong market sentiment with Maruti Suzuki India Ltd in focus. Automobile sales numbers for April,
which are likely to be announced by the companies in the first week of May, are expected to impact the stocks movement. Sales of medium and heavy commercial vehicles are seen declining during the month for Ashok Leyland as well as Tata Motors. The rally in the broad market has led to bullishness in the auto index. The index has also been aided by robust earnings of Maruti Suzuki.Maruti Suzuki posted a 15.8% on-year growth in Jan-Mar earnings at 17.1 bln rupees on the back of volume growth, full capacity utilisation, and a greater share of higher-segment models such as Vitara Brezza compact sport utility vehicle and Baleno hatchback. Maruti Suzuki is well poised to outgrow the domestic passenger vehicle industry and we expect the company to report 10% volume growth in the current financial year. Also, the share of premium cars in the company's sales is likely to increase due to the planned launches. The company's focus on new products and growth in both urban and rural areas will translate into healthy volume growth for Maruti Suzuki and we expect it to stay well ahead of historical average in terms of operating margin. TVS Motor Co Ltd, which posted a 6.8% on-year decline in net profit during the quarter ended March, is also expected to outpace the two-wheeler industry in the current financial year on the back of new launches and wider distribution reach. We cautious about Hero MotoCorp Ltd's earnings, due on May 10, as the company has a widespread rural
presence and was among the most severely hit companies due to demonetisation. The company also
suffered some loss on account of Bharat Stage-III inventory, whose sale and registration was frozen by a Supreme Court order on Mar 29. The Nifty Auto index is seen gaining from the overall bullishness in the market and can rise towards 10470 points and can further rally to 10800 points.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Bank Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017
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Bank stocks are seen continuing their positive momentum in the coming week, led by banks' earnings for Jan-Mar, which are either better or in line with expectations. On the earnings front, ICICI Bank and RBL Bank will detail their earnings for Jan-Mar next week.Axis Bank, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and IDFC Bank all reported an improvement in loan growth in Jan-Mar,especially in the retail segment, indicating a pick-up in credit in the banking system. The US Federal Open Market Committee's meeting on May 2-3 will be keenly eyed for a decision on interest rates, and guidance on future rate hikes.This week, the Nifty Bank index ended up 31.95 points or 0.1% at 22358.25, and is expected to range between 21570 and 22600 next week. It had hit a lifetime high of 22380.85 points on Thursday.The positive bias continued in most PSU (public sector units) names as also the key components of the bank index, suggesting the index is likely to lead from the front in the May series as well. The April derivatives contracts expired on Thursday, after which strong long positions were seen, being built for public sector bank in the May series. PSU banking conglomerates were the centre of attraction throughout the session, with huge amount of long formations, indicating strength in the momentum. Considering the rollover activity and yesterday’s most positive move in PSU banks, we may see a sustained move in forthcoming sessions. Public sector banks will also be in focus after reports said that the government would release its bank recapitalisation funds in three tranches in 2017-18 (Apr-Mar).

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Oil Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017
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Stocks of public sector oil refining and retailing companies--Indian Oil Corp Ltd, Bharat Petroleum CorpLtd, and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd--are likely to see some weakness next week primarily dueto profit booking.In terms of fundamentals, however, these three companies are on solid ground and have been benefitting from rising domestic demand for fuels and robust refining and marketing margins, which lends them a positive outlook for the medium to long term.In the absence of any major sectoral triggers, crude oil prices, news flow and the broad market sentiment could impact the shares of oil companies. Global crude oil futures are seen in the red next week as high stockpiles and rise in production in the US steal the spotlight from major producers' efforts to rein in the existing glut. Doubts over the extension of the output cut deal between the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries and other major producers beyond June are also keeping markets on the
tenterhooks.OPEC and other producers had agreed to cut output by 1.8 mln barrels per day in Jan-Jun. Prices are likely to remain subdued as they have lost the impetus due to the rise in output in the US and other non-OPEC countries, and as Libya's oilfields have reopened.Stocks of upstream players such as Oil and Natural Gas Corp Ltd and Oil India Ltd may witness negativity on account of the weakness in oil prices. If the dollar weakens against the rupee, it could add to the woes of upstream companies' stocks. This is because these companies price oil and gas in dollars and a weaker greenback means lower actual price realisation in rupee terms. On the other hand, refining companies
stand to gain from a weaker dollar, as it would reduce their outgo towards purchase of crude oil and gas.On the other hand, the prospects for upstream stocks ONGC and Oil India seem to have rightened up on charts after a dull spell. The immediate term outlook for these stocks is positive and a bounce-back can beexpected.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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I.T Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

I.T Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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I.T Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

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Stocks of information technology companies are seen declining marginally due to continuing negative
sentiment over stocks. Disappointing Jan-Mar performance of some large-cap companies in the sector,
rising visa issues, and growing protectionist views have led to a weak view on the sector. Also, a volatilerupee, which would have an impact on earnings of software exporters, is seen further dampeningsentiment on the sector. The Indian currency yesterday ended at 64.24 a dollar.While Infosys' sales growth guidance for 2017-18 (Apr-Mar) was weak, operating margin of ataConsultancy Services also did not meet market expectations. Investors have been recommended to steer clear of large-cap IT companies.HCL Technologies and Tech Mahindra are yet to report their earnings for the quarter ended March.Better-than-expected earnings of these companies coupled with some clarity on visa issues might bring relief to the sector. However, the recommended investing in mid-cap companies which have not only performed well in Jan-Mar but have also given positive guidance.Last week, the Australian government scrapped the foreign skilled workers policy and US President Donald Trump signed an executive order seeking to tighten visa norms.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Pharma Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Pharma Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Pharma Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

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Weakness in stocks of pharmaceutical companies is expected to continue next week. The sector may seesome defensive buying due to risk aversion in the broader market ahead of the US Federal Reserve'spolicy meeting, outcome of which is due on Wednesday. There could be some buying at lower levels, ifmarket weakens further next week. Yesterday, the Nifty Pharma index gained 0.2% to end at 10120.9points as against a 0.4% fall in the Nifty 50 index.The Derivatives of pharma sector has seen a strong build-up of short positions in the past two derivativeseries as it remains plagued by regulatory concerns relating to the US Food and Drug Administration.The Medical Council of India's advice for doctors to follow its 2016 notification requiring them toprescribe generic medicines also added to the pain for pharma companies.Stocks of Alembic Pharmaceuticals, Ajanta Pharma, ockhardt and Sun Pharma Advanced Research willgrab most of the headlines as they report their Jan-Mar earnings next week.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017


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Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week – 02 to 05.05.2017

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Movement in stocks of telecommunication companies is likely to be stock specific next wee and expectstocks of Tata Communications Ltd to rise, Bharti Airtel Ltd to trade in a broad range, while those of IdeaCellular Ltd to fall.The sector has witnessed heavy pricing pressure after the entry of Reliance Jio Infocomm Ltd. OnMonday, Reliance Industries Ltd announced that its telecom subsidiary had 108.9 mln subscribers as onMar 31, of which 72 mln were Prime members. Subscribers under Prime membership, the telecomoperator's premium paid services model, have access to more data usage compared to non-Primemembers. “108.9 mln is a strong number”Bharti Airtel will announce its earnings for the quarter ended March on May 9. Investors will watch out
for management's comments on the impact of Reliance Jio on the company's performance. Multiple freedata and voice services offered by Reliance Jio for over five months before announcing aggressive tariffsforced incumbent telecom operators to announce matching tariff plans to compete.In a recent report, ratings agency ICRA said the ongoing pricing pressure, stress on operating metrics inthe sector, and rising debt levels were seen weighing on the financial performance of telecom operators.
The Reserve Bank of India last week asked banks to give immediate attention to the telecom sector, andasked them to review their exposure by Jun 30. The sector is also in the midst of a legal battle betweenoperators. Bharti Airtel has moved Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal against RelianceJio's tariff plans. The hearing in the matter is scheduled for Wednesday.Rising competition in the sector has also led to consolidation. Bharti Airtel has announced two separate
acquisitions of Tikona Digital Networks Pvt Ltd and the Indian arm of Norway's Telenor ASA. VodafoneIndia and Idea Cellular have also announced a merger, which is pending regulatory approvals.

Source : Cogencis Information Services Ltd.
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