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USDINR US dollar index is trading at 96.16 , appreciating in Friday’s trade after better than expected nonfarm payrolls data was reported on Friday . Renewed talks about a rate hike from the US FED helped the US dollar appreciate against the majors . There is no major economic data to be reported today and the strong tone of the US dollar is likely to continue.
USDINR The Pair opened marginally lower and gradually corrected towards the lower band of support. At this juncture, pair has a strong support near 66.90 which coincides with the 200 - SMA any break below this level will trigger sharp correction towards 66.72 / 66.52 levels respec tively. On the other side, 67.15 / 67.28 will be an immediate resistance.
US$/INR derivatives strategy: Sell August Contract • In the currency futures market, the most traded dollar-rupee August contract on the NSE ended at 67.
The August contract open interest rose 3.02% from the previous day • September contract open interest wa s up 16.48% from the previous day • We expect the US dollar to meet supply pressure on rallies. Utilise upsides in the US dollar to sell
Forex (US$/INR) • The rupee posted its biggest weekly gains in three weeks against the dollar, as the Bank of England’s larg er-than-expected monetary stimulus boosted emerging assets • The dollar index against six major cur rencies ending at 96.19, up 0.46% from the previous close of 95.75
EURINR Euro is trading at 1.1096 , recuperating the losses from Friday after testing the 1.1050 level . Strong payrolls data from the US pushed the Euro lower but the shared currency came back to its anchor level of 1.11 in the continued trade . Some key economic data from Germany is scheduled for the week but we believe that the Euro would continue to remain on the sidelines with a limited range of 1.11 and 1.12.
EURINR After a sharp decline in its previous trading session, pair opened lower with a mild gap and corrected during the initial hour of trade. Subsequently, we witnessed marginal recovery during the second half as a result the daily chart formed a doji pattern.
GBPINR opened for the second consecutive session lower and gradually corrected during the first half. Subsequently, we saw mild recovery however pair ended the session well inside the negative territory. The daily candle resembles a doji which indicates indecisio n. Also, the RSI (14) momentum indicator refused to go below 40 mark.
Debt market • Government bonds rose for a second day, after the Government of India maintained the central bank’s inflation goal at 4% with a two percentage points swing on either sides through March 2021 • The benchmark 7.59% bond maturing in 2026 ended at | 102.86 against the previous close of | 102.84 • The benchmark 7.59% 2026 bond yield was unchanged at 7.17%
