Thursday, November 7, 2019

IBULHSGFIN is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 234.8/216 : 08-11-2019

IBULHSGFIN is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 234.8/216 : 08-11-2019

08-11-2019 Currently IBULHSGFIN is in UP Trend, having a strong Support 234.8/216 and having significant Resistance around 320/450.2. Expected Target in coming session is 320.Currently IBULHSGFIN Trading @252.7.


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Today's Commodity News : 08.11.2019

 Today's Commodity News : 08.11.2019


Gold prices fail to break out of range even as the market eyes US-China trade deal

Gold prices on COMEX are consolidating in a broad range of $1,475-$1,520 an ounce for more than a month. Earlier in the week the metal hit lows of $1,480.7 but managed to pare some of the losses to trade near $1,488 on November 7. On a weaker note, prices have been pressurised by signs of thawing trade tensions between the US-China which in turn has dented gold's safe-haven demand.
 Sentiments over the US-China trade war have improved drastically since November 1 after both the nations expressed progress was made in negotiations to resolve the 16-month long trade war while US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross expressed optimism that trade deal could be signed as soon as this month. The trade deal optimism, however, hit a roadblock after Reuters reported on November 6 that the meeting between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping to sign a long-awaited interim trade deal could be delayed until December as discussions continue over terms and venue. However, the markets have once again swung to risk-on mode amid reports of progress in trade negotiations. Bloomberg reported on November 7 that both China and the US have agreed to proportionally roll back tariffs on each other’s goods in phases, citing a Ministry of Commerce spokesman. Despite the uncertainty over timing the general optimism over US-China trade deal is expected to keep the pressure on the prices. Apart from trade deal optimism gold prices are also being pressurised by the recent rebound in US Dollar Index. US Dollar Index has recovered from a near three-month low of 97.107 hits last week to trade near 97.89.In spite of the above-mentioned reasons, Gold has failed to breach its lower band of around $1,480 levels as lingering worries over global economic growth, Brexit uncertainty and upbeat investor interest continue to lend support.
We have witnessed a string of better than expected data from US, China and Euro Zone recently; however, they have done little to assuage fears of a global slowdown. IMF yesterday said that Eurozone economic growth is set to slow more than expected as the bloc's manufacturing crisis could spill over to the larger services sector under protracted global trade tensions. Meanwhile, according to a Bloomberg report, total gold held by ETFs has risen by 16 percent this year to 82.3 million ounces, the highest level in at least 12 months. Higher inflows in gold ETF signal robust investor interest.
Overall even though the recent development on trade front indicate a weak trend for gold prices in the near term the global economy remains mired in various challenges which may keep safe-haven demand for gold intact. 

Today's Currency News : 08.11.2019

Today's Currency News : 08.11.2019

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Buy USDINR; target of 71.55 - 71.65

Spot Currency

The rupee closed slightly higher by two-paise yesterday supported by an appreciating Chinese Yuan and positive inflows in the last few sessions. However, it is likely to open sharply lower today amid strength in US$ and rising concerns over domestic fiscal slippage • The US$ index recouped 98.0 levels to end higher against major currencies. Strength in US equities coupled with rising yields is positive for US$. Chinese Yuan has appreciated towards 6.97 levels yesterday amid news that the US and China may work towards reducing tariffs on a proportionate basis. This is mildly positive for EM currencies, including rupee.

Benchmark yield

Domestic benchmark 10-year yields ended higher at 6.52% in the previous session. Domestic GST collections for October were at Rs 95380 crore, down 5.29% on a YoY basis • The US 10-year benchmark yields extended further gains to close at 1.86% in the previous session. Risk sentiments improved supported by overall strength in US equities while a sharper rally in yields could be a signal that the US economy is relatively preforming well.

Currency futures on NSE

The dollar-rupee November contract on the NSE was at 71.04 in the previous session. Open interest increased 7.67% in the previous session • We expect the US$INR to find supports at lower levels. Utilise downsides in the pair to initiate long positions.


NIFTY FUT is in Down Trend, having a strong Support 11886/11720 : 08-11-2019

NIFTY FUT is in Down Trend, having a strong Support 11886/11720 : 08-11-2019

08-11-2019 Currently NIFTY FUT is in DOWN Trend, having a strong Support 11886/11720 and having significant Resistance around 12020/12130. Expected Target in coming session is 12020.Currently NIFTY FUT Trading @11975.


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Today's Stock News - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Stock News - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ADANI TRANSMISSION: The board has approved raising up to $500 mln through dollar bonds. It also approved buyback of existing non-convertible debentures and Masala Bond of 22.90 bln rupees in one or more tranches.
- The board approved increase in limits for raising external commercial borrowings to 100 bln rupees
from 50 bln rupees, subject to directions issued by the Reserve Bank of India.

* BHARTI AIRTEL: VODAFONE IDEA and the company have rejected Reliance Jio Infocomm's contention that continuing with interconnection usage charges would encourage them to keep users on second generation and dis-incentivise upgrading to fourth generation, saying such views disregard basic consumer choice principles, especially when there is freedom to switch operators.

* BAJAJ FINANCE: Sets qualified institutional placement issue price at 3,900 rupees per share.

* CAN FIN HOMES: Baring PE Asia has emerged as the sole bidder to acquire a controlling stake in the company.

* CENTRUM CAPITAL: The compaany board will meet on Wednesday to consider raising funds through non-convertible debentures.

* CORPORATION BANK: The bank has set a coupon of 8.93% on its Basel-III compliant tier-II bonds maturing in 10 years, and accepted bids aggregating 10 bln rupees.

* DEWAN HOUSING FINANCE: Promoters on Thursday issued a statement reiterating their intent to cooperate with banks, investigative agencies and courts to ensure debt resolution, while simultaneously refuting reports that they intend to flee abroad.

* DLF: The board has approved the appointment of Vivek Anand as group chief financial officer of the company. 

* FEDERAL BANK: The Reserve Bank of India has approved appointment of Grace Elizabeth Koshie as parttime chairperson of the bank.

* FEDERAL-MOGUL GOETZE INDIA: The Securities Appellate Tribunal has dismissed Tenneco Inc's plea against the offer price set by the Securities and Exchange Board of India for Tenneco Inc's open offer for the company.

* HAVELLS INDIA: The company has launched a new range of air purifiers, Freshia, priced at 14,490-43,290 rupees.

* HDFC BANK: The Reserve Bank of India is unlikely to take any action against the bank for debiting Altico's account to recover a loan and triggering a default in the company's external commercial borrowing as it didn't seem to have flouted any rules.

* INDIAN ENERGY EXCHANGE: The company on Wednesday incorporated a wholly-owned subsidiary, Indian Gas Exchange, to develop an energy trading platform, including a gas exchange in India, and establish, operate, and manage facilities in the country.

* INDIAN OIL CORP: In the wake of a slew of government measures to attract more private players in the oil and gas retail segment, the company is preparing an action plan to confront the "challenging times ahead".

* INFOSYS: Has opened its new digital innovation centre in Dusseldorf, Germany, to work more closely with clients in the region to support their digital transformation.

* J KUMAR INFRAPROJECTS: HDFC Mutual Fund has bought 1.03 mln shares or 1.36% stake in the company at 150.50 rupees apiece through a bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* KESORAM INDUSTRIES: In its quest to make Birla Tyres a financially strong entity, the company is first focussing on getting its passenger car radial tyre facility up and running in Odisha, and thereafter advance its talks for partnerships. Is hopeful of getting the National Company Law Tribunal's final nod soon for demerging its tyre business. The demerged entity is likely to come into effect by early January.

* MINDTREE: Pradip Kumar Menon has resigned as chief financial officer with effect from Nov 16.

* NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO: The company has hiked prices of aluminium ingots for the third time in a week with effect from Thursday. The government-owned aluminium producer has raised prices of products by more than 2%.

* POWER FINANCE CORP: Company and its subsidiary REC are set to raise up to 200 bln rupees through their first retail taxable-bond sales, helping inject a fresh lease of life into the moribund public issuance market.

* RAYMOND: The company will de-merge its lifestyle business into a separate company to simplify the group structure and create value. The new company will be listed on stock exchanges. The company will allot equity shares and compulsorily convertible preference shares to associate company JK Investo Trade (India) against a corpus of 3.5 bln rupees, and repay its debt.

* REC: Plans to raise at least 5 bln rupees through bonds maturing on Dec 13, 2022, and has invited bids for the same on Monday.

* RELIANCE CAPITAL: The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority of India has barred
subsidiary Reliance Health Insurance Co from selling policies due to fall in solvency ratio.

* RELIANCE INDUSTRIES: On Thursday said its arm Reliance Strategic Business Ventures has increased its stake in US-based SkyTran Inc to 17.37%.
- The Securities Appellate Tribunal on Thursday asked the Securities and Exchange Board of India to
pass an order by November end in the matter of the company's acquisition of NETWORK18 MEDIA & INVESTMENTS and TV18 BROADCAST.

* UCO BANK: The bank allotted 1.26 bln equity shares at 16.89 rupees per share on a preferential basis to the government.

* VODAFONE IDEA: Has come up with the sector's first tariff plan based on faster data speeds, a move aimed at expanding the segment of higher-paying monthly subscribers and increasing average revenue per user.

* ZEE ENTERTAINMENT ENTERPRISES: Goldman Sachs has cut price target on the company by 28% to 347 rupees and trimmed DISH TV INDIA price aim by 24% to 22 rupees.

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Today's Sector News - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Sector News - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* BANKING: Banks' overall credit growth improved to 8.91% in the fortnight ended Oct 25, from 8.84% in the preceding fortnight, according to data available on the Reserve Bank of India website. However, it was still near the 22-month low of 8.79% in October.
- The Reserve Bank of India has given suggestions to the government on a proposal to amend the law
related to co-operative banks in a bid to regulate them better, central bank Governor Shaktikanta Das said.
- The RBI has imposed a penalty of 500,000 rupees on prepaid payment instrument issuer Oxigen
Services (India).

* REGULATORY: The Securities and Exchange Board of India on Thursday allowed mutual funds
to segregate unrated debt and money market instruments from their schemes in case of default by such papers.

* OIL AND GAS: The government wants to get out of the oil business and bring in market competition for the benefit and convenience of consumers, oil minister Dharmendra Pradhan said.

* TELECOMMUNICATION: Hong-Kong based-UTStarcom, a major telecom equipment provider to Bharat Sanchar Nigam, is expected to benefit from the Centre's recent decision to revive the public sector telecom company. The government's decision to inject fresh capital into the state-owned company should facilitate the payment of a 5-bln-rupee due owed to UTStarcom.

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Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View  - 08.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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Pre-Session: Negative start on cards for Sensex, Nifty
08/11/2019 08:30
Indian benchmarks are expected to start the day on a negative note on Friday. September quarter results and ease in trade tensions between the US and China would be the key factors driving the markets today. About 180 companies, including Ashok Leyland, Bank of Baroda, Eicher Motors, M&M, and Nestle are scheduled to report their Q2 earnings today. Further, investors may also remain on the sidelines as India’s credit ratings outlook was cut to negative from stable by Moody’s Investors Service on concern the government won’t be able to help stunted economic growth. Moody’s cited a growing debt burden and the government’s struggle to narrow the budget deficit, said a report. That apart, investors could react to rejig in the MSCI index. Berger Paints, Colgate Palmolive, DLF, HDFC AMC, ICICI Prudential Life, SBI Life, InfoEdge, and Siemens have been included under the November review, while Glenmark Pharma, Indiabulls Housing Finance, Vodafone Idea and YES Bank have been dropped. On Thursday, the 30-share benchmark index ended at 40653.74 up by 183.96 points or by 0.45 % and then NSE Nifty was at 12012.05 up by 46 points.


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Technical View: Nifty forms Dragonfly Doji pattern, record high likely if index holds 12K

Technical View: Nifty forms Dragonfly Doji pattern, record high likely if index holds 12K

Traders to remain neutral on index and should focus more on stock specific opportunities.




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The Nifty50 witnessed volatility throughout the session on November 7 and closed above psychological 12,000 levels for the first time since June 4. The government's Rs 25,000 crore booster dose for the real estate sector and positive developments in US-China trade deal lifted market sentiment.

The index formed a Dragonfly Doji pattern on the daily charts. In this pattern, the opening price is equal or similar to the high and close of the day.

A Dragonfly Doji pattern signals indecision among traders but it also points to the fact that bulls managed to bring the index towards the opening level. The index has to hold 12,000 for the bullish sentiment to continue.

Experts feel if the index holds 12,000 levels in the coming session, it could surpass its previous record high of 12,103.

The Nifty50 opened at 12,021.10, which was also an intraday high, and remained highly volatile during the day. The index touched a day's low of 11,946.85 in the afternoon, but immediate recovery helped it remain positive and close 46 points higher at 12,012.

"This kind of formation is visible around potential turning points. Hence, in the next trading session, it looks inevitable for bulls to build on further gains by sustaining above 12,000 levels to retain positive bias. In that scenario Nifty may complete its formality of testing lifetime highs present around 12,103 levels,"

Contrary to this, a close below 11,946 levels can bring bears back to the game by triggering profit booking. A short-term weakness in this regard will get confirmed on breach of 11,850 levels on a closing basis,

As for last 6 trading sessions, the index has more or less witnessed indecisive formations on the back of tepid positive closes, he advised traders to remain neutral on the index and should focus more on stock-specific opportunities.

Bank Nifty tested the crucial resistance area of 30,800, but closed off day's high at 30,647.75, up 0.12 points, forming small bearish candle on daily charts.

"A decisive breakout above this zone is needed by the bulls to bring back strong momentum for the index. Short term traders can look to book some profits here as the index meanders around the resistance zone. We recommend going long on a breakout above 30,800 zones. Bank Nifty is likely to test all-time highs of 31,780 once the breakout materialises,"

The index has support at 29,700-29,500 while the resistance at 30,800-31,200,

NICKEL is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 1175/1166 : 07-11-2019

NICKEL is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 1175/1166 : 07-11-2019

07-11-2019 15:56 Currently NICKEL is in UP Trend, having a strong Support 1175/1166 and having significant Resistance around 1185.4/1205. Expected Target in coming session is 1185.4.Currently NICKEL Trading @1178.8.  



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JINDALSTEL is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 138.1/128.8 : 07-11-2019

JINDALSTEL is in Up Trend, having a strong Support 138.1/128.8 : 07-11-2019

07-11-2019 Currently JINDALSTEL is in UP Trend, having a strong Support 138.1/128.8 and having significant Resistance around 170.9/191. Expected Target in coming session is 170.9.Currently JINDALSTEL Trading @147.5. 



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GOLD is in Down Trend, having a strong Support 37970/37849 : 07-11-2019

GOLD is in Down Trend, having a strong Support 37970/37849 : 07-11-2019

07-11-2019  Currently GOLD is in DOWN Trend, having a strong Support 37970/37849 and having significant Resistance around 38235/38492. Expected Target in coming session is 37970.Currently GOLD Trading @38085 



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Today's Commodity News : 07.11.2019

 Today's Commodity News : 07.11.2019


Aluminium futures dip 0.11% on low demand : 07/11/2019

Aluminium futures were trading lower during the noon trade in the domestic market on Thursday as investors and speculators cut down their bets in the industrial metal amid fall in physical demand for aluminium at the domestic spot market. Further, a slide in physical demand for aluminium at the domestic spot market was due to trimming of positions by traders in the spot markets. At the MCX, aluminium futures for November 2019 contract is trading at Rs 134.55 per kg, down by 0.11 per cent, after opening at Rs 134.45, against a previous close of Rs 134.70. It touched the intra-day low of Rs 134.40 .


Copper futures up on firm demand : 07/11/2019

Copper futures were trading higher during the noon trade in the domestic market on Thursday as speculators raised their positions amid pick-up in demand at the spot market. Analysts said firm trend in base metals at the physical market mainly led to rise in copper prices here. At the MCX, copper futures for November 2019 contract is trading at Rs 441.25 per kg, up by 0.08 per cent, after opening at Rs 441.45, against a previous close of Rs 440.90. It touched the intra-day high of Rs 441.45 .


Crude Oil prices are expected to trade lower today

On Wednesday, Crude prices ended lower by 1.54 percent to close at $56.4 per barrel. Prices dipped over expectation of a larger than expected build up in the U.S. Crude inventory levels. Prices have been under pressure as uncertainties around the 16-month long trade war between the United States and China sapped the demand prospects for oil. No concrete outcome of the prolonged trade and tariff spat continue to undermine the demand prospects for Crude and push the prices lower.

Outlook

Weak economic data from China and U.S. amid fading optimism over a possible trade deal between U.S. & China might weigh on the prices. Moreover, rising U.S. Crude inventory levels might further weigh on the prices. On the MCX, oil prices are expected to trade lower today; international markets are trading lower by 0.12 percent at $56.28 per barrel.


Onion prices skyrocket, reach Rs 100/kg in Delhi

The prices of onions, which are skyrocketing due to low procurement from producing states, have reached to Rs 100 per kilogram in Delhi, The Indian Express has reported. According to the report, the prices are increasing despite a dip in the wholesale prices of the kitchen staple. Following a continuous hike for three weeks in the wholesale markets across Nashik, considered the onion belt of Maharashtra, the price was corrected by Rs 1,000 per quintal on November 6. The average traded price of onion at Lasalgaon market, India’s largest wholesale onion market, was Rs 4,300 per quintal on November 6 — almost Rs 1,000 correction from the price of Rs 5,501 per quintal it traded on November 4, the report said. Meanwhile, Union Food and Consumer Affairs Minister Ram Vilas Paswan has assured that the government is taking all steps to contain the price rise. In view of high prices, Paswan reviewed the situation of demand, supply and prices with top officials of food and consumer affairs departments for two hours at his residence on November 6. The secretaries of both departments were present. "We have reviewed the onion availability and price situation. Prices have gone up as production (kharif onion) has declined by 30-40 percent in the country," Paswan told reporters. There was a delay in sowing of kharif onion because of late arrival of monsoon and later floods in many states damaged the crop, he said. Stating that prices fluctuate depending on supply-demand, Paswan said currently, there is mismatch in this. However, the government is taking measures to improve availability and check prices. "We are concerned about the situation and the government is trying its best. We have taken maximum steps," he said.

Agri commodities market gives a thumbs up to India’s decision of staying away from RCEP

All active contracts of major commodities at NCDEX (National Commodity & Derivatives Exchange) traded on a stronger note as the Government of India decided not to join Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP). India conveyed its decision not to join the group to protect domestic industry as well as farmers, who could have been adversely impacted by huge imports coming in from member countries. The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership was an agreement between the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations and six of its large trading partners, that are China, Japan, South Korea, India, Australia, and New Zealand. India’s trade deficit with RCEP nations is estimated at around 105 billion dollars, of which, almost 50 percent of the pie goes to China alone. “The present form of the RCEP Agreement does not fully reflect the basic spirit and the agreed guiding principles of RCEP,” Prime Minister Narendra Modi said in his address at the RCEP summit in Bangkok, according to a tweet by official broadcaster Prasar Bharati.
Commerce and industry minister Piyush Goyal said the decision not to join RCEP will boost ‘Make in India’ as he lauded Prime Minister Narendra Modi for his “bold and courageous decision to not join RCEP, since it was against our economic interests and national priorities”. Entering into an agreement with RCEP countries, with whom India is already bearing a large trade deficit could have compelled India to import more agriculture crops like Palm Oil from Malaysia & Indonesia.
 India is levying around 44 percent (surcharge included) import duties on imports of Crude Palm Oil and around 50 percent (surcharge included) import duty on RBD Palm Oil from all the countries.
By joining the economic corridor of RCEP, we would not have just lost the revenue opportunity on edible oil but have also run the risk of cheaper edible oil and oilseed being disposed by other ASEAN countries, which would have added in the woes of domestic farmers and oil refining industry.
Following the government’s decision to shun RCEP, all major commodities futures at NCDEX surged substantially on Monday. Soybean, Cottonseed oilcake, Coriander, Guargum, Guar Seed, Moong, and Jeera were the commodities which posted gains of over 3 percent at the start of this week.