Trend Analysis
- The market is currently in a downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows.
- Recent strong sell-off after failing to sustain above 44,000.
- Price has broken below key support near 42,500, signaling further downside.
- RSI at 39.07, approaching oversold territory but not extreme.
Moving Averages Insights
- 50-SMA (red), 150-SMA (orange), and 200-SMA (green) are sloping downward, confirming bearish momentum.
- Price is trading below all major moving averages, signaling a strong downtrend.
- Potential resistance at 42,500 and 43,000 if a pullback occurs.
Upcoming Events Impacting US30
- FOMC meeting & interest rate decision (major impact)
- US inflation data (CPI & PPI reports)
- US jobs data (NFP & unemployment rate)
- Geopolitical tensions & market sentiment
Final Takeaway
- Short-term traders: Watch for a pullback to short at resistance.
- Long-term traders: Caution is needed; further downside risk remains.
- Risk: A sharp recovery could trigger a short squeeze, especially if RSI reaches oversold conditions.
Breakout Strategy (Bullish)
- Entry: On a break above 42,800 (previous resistance).
- Stoploss: Below 42,300.
- Target 1: 43,200 (+1%) | Target 2: 43,750 (+1.5%) | Target 3: 44,300 (+2%).
Breakdown Strategy (Bearish)
- Entry: Below 41,800 (recent low breakdown).
- Stoploss: Above 42,400 (previous resistance).
- Target 1: 41,300 (-1%) | Target 2: 40,700 (-1.5%) | Target 3: 40,000 (-2%).
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