Thursday, August 4, 2016

Live Currency News, 2nd Session: 5.Aug.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

12.10 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.12 SL 67.01 Target 67.22 / 67.30 / 67.38
12.10 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 66.96 SL 67.07 Target 66.86 / 66.78 / 66.70
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 67.20 

12.10 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.82 SL 74.71 Target 74.92 / 75.00 / 75.08
12.10 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.66 SL 74.77 Target 74.56 / 74.48 / 74.40
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 74.90 

12.10 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.14 SL 88.03 Target 88.24 / 88.32 / 88.40
12.10 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 87.98 SL 88.09 Target 87.88 / 87.80 / 87.72
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 88.40 

12.10 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.35 SL 66.24 Target 66.45 / 66.53 / 66.61
12.10 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.19 SL 66.30 Target 66.09 / 66.01 / 65.93
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.20 

US DOLLAR INDEX (USD) The American currency : 05.08.2016


US DOLLAR INDEX (USD) The American currency



US DOLLAR INDEX (USD) The American currency rose by 0.2 percent in yesterday’s trading session as the markets are still discounting the robust release of ADP employment data that came far better than the expected  levels in July’16. Amid uncertain global conditions, there has been  a decent demand for workers which clearly indicates that the  labour market s have finally found some stability.  Moreover, the bank of England in yesterday’s monetary policy  review cut interest rates and revived a bond - buying program  which led to Cable weakness against the DX. All the above factors  boosted the demand for the US Dollar Index.

OUTLOOK Rupee is likely to trade positive as disappointing unemployment claims data from the US will likely keep the DX pressurized in turn boosting the demand for the Indian currency. Rajya Sabha has finally passed the GST bill which will lead to FII inflow thereby  acting as a  positive factor for rupee.

Euro is trading at 1.1150

Euro is trading at 1.1150

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USDINR US dollar index is trading at 95.68 , losing some steam from the appreciating trend of the previous session but remained supported against the EURO and Pound . Economic data remained mixed but focus would be on the US nonfarm payrolls data . Projections point towards an improvement and could push the US dollar higher after the data.

 EURINR euro is trading at 1.1150 , turning weaker in yesterday’s session as economic data reported from the EU was a tad below expectations and the pair was also reflecting the strength of the US dollar . Euro continues to remain in a range bound trade and focus would be the bank of England and the US nonfarm payrolls for the rest of the week and this would decide the fate of the Euro.

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USDINR Pair opened lower with a  marginal gap but seen good  traction during the initial hour of trade. Subsequently, it  traded within a narrow range throughout the session and eventually ended inside the negative territory with a loss  of 0.15 percent. The pair traded throughout the session  inside its previous day’s candle. For the day, 67.23 /  67.28 zone w ill be an immediate resistance. On the o ther  side, 67.05 / 66.97 will be a decent support.

GBPINR

GBPINR with a lower gap and gradually corrected during  the first half. Post the ECB rate, pair nosedived sharply to  end the session near the lowest point of the day  and  engulfed previous two days candle gains. Going forward,  88.35 will act as an immediate support below which the  next support seen around 88. On the other side,  immediate resistance is coming around 88.83.

EURINR Pair opened lower with a significant gap and remained  under pressure throughout the session to end the session  near the lowest point of the day. Yesterday’s candle indicates bearish engulfing pattern which is a bearish sign  for near term.

Rupee opens higher at 66.85 per dollar : 05.08.2016 : 9.02am

Rupee opens higher at 66.85 per dollar  : 05.08.2016 : 9.02am

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 The USD-INR pair has been trading in 66.50-67/dollar range, with strong FII flows coupled with intervention at lower levels capping the gains,

The Indian rupee opened higher by 6 paise at 66.85 per dollar on Friday against previous close 66.91.

The Bank Of England (BoE) finally cut rates coupled with a QE package, in-line with market expectations. The markets will be keenly awaiting the crucial non-farm payroll numbers today, after a weak recent GDP number."

"The USD-INR pair has been trading in 66.50-67/dollar range, with strong FII flows coupled with intervention at lower levels capping the gains. We expect the pair to continue trading this range in the near term,"

 The pound held near a one-week low following the Bank Of England's first interest-rate cut in more than seven years. The dollar, meanwhile, gained against a basket of currencies as investors continue to balance positions ahead of today's crucial US nonfarm payrolls report for July.

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USD-INR seen between 66.50-67/USD range: 05.08.2016

USD-INR seen between 66.50-67/USD range:

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 Finally some profit booking in bonds, with 10-year yield drifting towards 7.20 percent,

"The BoE finally cut rates coupled with a QE package, in-line with market expectations. The markets will be keenly awaiting the crucial Non-Farm Payroll numbers today, after a weak recent GDP number.

The USD-INR pair has been trading in 66.50-67/USD range, with strong FII flows coupled with intervention at lower levels capping the gains. We expect the pair to continue trading this range in the near term. "Finally some profit booking in bonds, with 10-year yield drifting towards 7.20 percent. Expect the 10 year yields to trade in 7.15-7.25 percent," he added further.

Live Forex Rate Tips, 1st Session: 5.Aug.2016


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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

9.02 Am : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.19 SL 67.08 Target 67.29 / 67.37 / 67.45
9.02 Am : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.03 SL 67.14 Target 66.93 / 66.85 / 66.77
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.05 

9.02 Am : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.86 SL 74.75 Target 74.96 / 75.04 / 75.12
9.02 Am : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.70 SL 74.81 Target 74.60 / 74.52 / 74.44
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 74.90 

9.02 Am : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.27 SL 88.16 Target 88.37 / 88.45 / 88.53
9.02 Am : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 88.11 SL 88.22 Target 88.01 / 87.93 / 87.85
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 88.50 

9.02 Am : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.44 SL 66.33 Target 66.54 / 66.62 / 66.70
9.02 Am : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.28 SL 66.39 Target 66.18 / 66.10 / 66.02
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.20 

5.Aug.2016 - INDIAN CURRENCY INTRADAY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS


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BUY USDINR SA 67.15.SL 66.85 TGT 67.23 / 67.33 / 67.43(Profit 8 Paise) 
* SHORT EURINR SB 74.90 SL 75.20 TGT 74.80 / 74.70 / 74.60(Profit 10 Paise) 
* SHORT GBPINR SB 89.40 SL 89.70 TGT 89.30 / 89.15 / 89.00(Profit 40 Paise) 
* SHORT JPYINR SB 66.24 SL 66.54 TGT 66.10 / 65.95 / 65.80(Profit 14 Paise) 

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Dollar edges higher in cautious trade, BoE in focus Forex : 04.08.2016

Dollar edges higher in cautious trade, BoE in focus Forex : 04.08.2016



Dollar gains some ground vs. other majors in cautious trade© Reuters. Dollar gains some ground vs. other majors in cautious trade

The dollar edged higher against the other major currencies on Thursday, as investors remained cautious before the Bank of England’s policy decision due later in the day.

USD/JPY edged up 0.12% to trade at 101.37, off Tuesday’s three-week low of 100.65.
The dollar remained mildly supported after payroll processor ADP said on Wednesday that the U.S. private sector added 179,000 jobs last month, surpassing expectations for an increase of 170,000.
The economy created 176,000 jobs in June, whose figure was revised from a previously reported increase of 172,000, While not viewed as a reliable guide for the government jobs report due on Friday, August 5, it does give guidance on private-sector hiring.

The dollar has come under pressure amid diminished expectations for another rate hike by the Federal Reserve this year after last week’s surprisingly weak data on U.S. second quarter growth.
GBP/USD fell 0.23% to trade at 1.3290.

The BoE was expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points later Thursday, as a string of downbeat economic reports from the U.K. recently sparked concerns over the outlook for growth.
The euro was also lower, with EUR/USD down 0.18% at 1.1129, while USD/CHF edged up 0.18% to 0.9747.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars were stronger, with AUD/USD up 0.32% at 0.7613 and with NZD/USD adding 0.13% to 0.7168.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics earlier said that retail sales ticked up 0.1% in June, disappointing expectations for a 0.4% rise, after a 0.2% gain. On a quarterly basis, retail sales increased by 0.4% in the three months to June, below expectations for a 0.5% rise. Elsewhere, USD/CAD eased up 0.09% to 1.3078.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, was up 0.16% at 95.64, pulling further away from Tuesday’s six-week lows of 94.94.

International Forex Trend  Update
04-08-2016 17:40
EURUSD:Trend-Down
GBPUSD:Trend-Down
USDCHF:Trend-Down
USDCAD:Trend-Down
AUDUSD:Trend-UP
EURGBP:Trend-Down
EURAUD:Trend-Down

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Currency Market Update
04-08-2016 
USDINR:Trend-Down
EURINR:Trend-Down
GBPINR:Trend-Down
JPYINR:Trend-Down
EURUSD:Trend-Down
GBPUSD:Trend-Down
USDCHF:Trend-Down
USDCAD:Trend-Down
AUDUSD:Trend-UP
EURGBP:Trend-Down
EURAUD:Trend-Down

Currency Technicals Calls, 6th Session: 4.Aug.2016


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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

4.45 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.24 SL 67.13 Target 67.34 / 67.42 / 67.50
4.45 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.08 SL 67.19 Target 66.98 / 66.90 / 66.82
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.05 

4.45 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.88 SL 74.77 Target 74.98 / 75.06 / 75.14
4.45 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.72 SL 74.83 Target 74.62 / 74.54 / 74.46
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 74.96 

4.45 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.56 SL 88.45 Target 88.66 / 88.74 / 88.82
4.45 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 88.40 SL 88.51 Target 88.30 / 88.22 / 88.14
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 88.90 

4.45 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.28 SL 66.17 Target 66.38 / 66.46 / 66.54
4.45 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.12 SL 66.23 Target 66.02 / 65.94 / 65.86
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.32 

Forex Trading Calls, 5th Session: 4.Aug.2016


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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

4.31 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.27 SL 67.16 Target 67.37 / 67.45 / 67.53
4.31 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.11 SL 67.22 Target 67.01 / 66.93 / 66.85
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.05 

4.31 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.94 SL 74.83 Target 75.04 / 75.12 / 75.20
4.31 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.78 SL 74.89 Target 74.68 / 74.60 / 74.52
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 74.96 

4.31 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 89.33 SL 89.22 Target 89.43 / 89.51 / 89.59
4.31 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 89.17 SL 89.28 Target 89.07 / 88.99 / 88.91
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 88.90 

4.31 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.35 SL 66.24 Target 66.45 / 66.53 / 66.61
4.31 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.19 SL 66.30 Target 66.09 / 66.01 / 65.93
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.32 

Eurinr Intraday Calls, 4th Session: 4.Aug.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

4.01 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.26 SL 67.15 Target 67.36 / 67.44 / 67.52
4.01 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.10 SL 67.21 Target 67.00 / 66.92 / 66.84
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.05 

4.01 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.95 SL 74.84 Target 75.05 / 75.13 / 75.21
4.01 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.79 SL 74.90 Target 74.69 / 74.61 / 74.53
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 75.00 

4.01 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 89.66 SL 89.55 Target 89.76 / 89.84 / 89.92
4.01 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 89.50 SL 89.61 Target 89.40 / 89.32 / 89.24
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 89.20 

4.01 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.35 SL 66.24 Target 66.45 / 66.53 / 66.61
4.01 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.19 SL 66.30 Target 66.09 / 66.01 / 65.93
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.32 

Rupee trims initial gains, still up by 4 paise vs USD

Rupee trims initial gains, still up by 4 paise vs USD

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USDINR : INTRADAY TREND -  BUY ZONE
The rupee opened higher at 66.85 per dollar from yesterday's closing level of 66.99 at the Inter-bank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market.

 The rupee trimmed its initial gains but was still quoting up by 4 paise to 66.95 against the American currency in late morning deals on bouts of dollar selling by exporters amid gains in equities after the approval for passage of GST in the Rajya Sabha yesterday.

The rupee opened higher at 66.85 per dollar from yesterday's closing level of 66.99 at the Inter-bank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market. The domestic unit hovered in a range of 67.00 and 66.84 in the morning deals before quoting up at 66.95 at 1030 hrs.

Meanwhile, the dollar index was trading down 0.0010 per cent at 95.55 against a basket of six currencies in early trade.

Overseas, the US dollar was higher against basket currencies in early Asian trade on the back of a stronger-than -expected US employment data, while sterling remained in a tight range ahead of the Bank of England's expected interest rate cut later in the session.

 Meanwhile, the benchmark BSE Sensex was trading up by 79.37 points, or 0.29 per cent, to 27,776.88 at 1050 hrs.

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Hot Currency Calls, 3rd Session: 4.Aug.2016


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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

1.15 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.24 SL 67.13 Target 67.34 / 67.42 / 67.50
1.15 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.08 SL 67.19 Target 66.98 / 66.90 / 66.82
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.05 

1.15 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 74.92 SL 74.81 Target 75.02 / 75.10 / 75.18
1.15 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 74.76 SL 74.87 Target 74.66 / 74.58 / 74.50
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 75.10 

1.15 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 89.36 SL 89.25 Target 89.46 / 89.54 / 89.62
1.15 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 89.20 SL 89.31 Target 89.10 / 89.02 / 88.94
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 89.60 

1.15 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.27 SL 66.16 Target 66.37 / 66.45 / 66.53
1.15 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.11 SL 66.22 Target 66.01 / 65.93 / 65.85
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.35