Sunday, October 9, 2016

Global Currency Calls, 3rd Session: 10.Oct.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

12.09 Pm : Buy USDINR (OCT) SA 66.80 SL 66.69 Target 66.90 / 66.98 / 67.06
12.09 Pm : Sell USDINR (OCT) SB 66.64 SL 66.75 Target 66.54 / 66.46 / 66.38
 USDINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.85 

12.09 Pm : Buy EURINR (OCT) SA 74.69 SL 74.58 Target 74.79 / 74.87 / 74.95
12.09 Pm : Sell EURINR (OCT) SB 74.53 SL 74.64 Target 74.43 / 74.35 / 74.27
 EURINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 74.90 

12.09 Pm : Buy GBPINR (OCT) SA 82.79 SL 82.68 Target 82.89 / 82.97 / 83.05
12.09 Pm : Sell GBPINR (OCT) SB 82.63 SL 82.74 Target 82.53 / 82.45 / 82.37
 GBPINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 82.95 

12.09 Pm : Buy JPYINR (OCT) SA 64.81 SL 64.70 Target 64.91 / 64.99 / 65.07
12.09 Pm : Sell JPYINR (OCT) SB 64.65 SL 64.76 Target 64.55 / 64.47 / 64.39
 JPYINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 64.60 

Free Jpyinr Tips, 2nd Session: 10.Oct.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

11.40 Am : Buy USDINR (OCT) SA 66.80 SL 66.69 Target 66.90 / 66.98 / 67.06
11.40 Am : Sell USDINR (OCT) SB 66.64 SL 66.75 Target 66.54 / 66.46 / 66.38
 USDINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.90 

11.40 Am : Buy EURINR (OCT) SA 74.70 SL 74.59 Target 74.80 / 74.88 / 74.96
11.40 Am : Sell EURINR (OCT) SB 74.54 SL 74.65 Target 74.44 / 74.36 / 74.28
 EURINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 74.60 

11.40 Am : Buy GBPINR (OCT) SA 82.88 SL 82.77 Target 82.98 / 83.06 / 83.14
11.40 Am : Sell GBPINR (OCT) SB 82.72 SL 82.83 Target 82.62 / 82.54 / 82.46
 GBPINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 83.00 

11.40 Am : Buy JPYINR (OCT) SA 64.85 SL 64.74 Target 64.95 / 65.03 / 65.11
11.40 Am : Sell JPYINR (OCT) SB 64.69 SL 64.80 Target 64.59 / 64.51 / 64.43
 JPYINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 64.60 

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE

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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at 103.97 and made high of 104.00 and was trading with positive bias but after the non farm the pair violated the supports of 103.50 and had a strong selling pressure through out the day ,so 104 will act as a strong resistance going ahead for the day rise shall be utilized t o sell the pair

Fundamental Overview

Yen is trading at 103.00,appreciating against the US dollar after the weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls data. There was no major news from the Japanese economy and YEN acted as a perfect proxy for the US dollar, depreciating above 104 before the NFP data and then retreating as markets digested the data released. Japanese markets are closed today for health-sports day and even the currency is likely to have limited movement with chances of further appreciation against the US dollar.

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE


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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2620 made a high of 1.2623, and seen some selling pressure in the pair ,the pair had support of 1.2500 and the pair after violating 1.2500 mark , had a steep fall falling below 1.20 mark first time after 31years the pair will be volatile in today's session

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2433 after the British pound witnessed a flash crash to levels below the 1.15 in the early trading hours on Friday. There has been no major news at that point which could have caused such a fall. Economic data was reported higher but the “Hard Brexit” phenomenon limited any gains. We expect the currency to remain weak but the risk of a short squeeze exits and could help in some recovery in the pair.

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.1146 Made a low of 1.1102 and was consolidating in a narrow range throughout the day , and breakout on the NY session after the non farm payroll data 1.1120 is acting as a strong support in the pair bit 1.1250 it I pair not able to take out so its likely to be in that range

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.1195,returning to its recent mean level at 1.12 from a low near 1.11 that was seen before the NFP data was reported on Friday. Euro is likely to continue remaining hinged to the 1.12 level unless there is an external push to drive the currency from its range of 1.11-1.13. There is no data to be reported today and we expect the shared currency to remain hinged near the 1.12 level.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
01:30:00 EUR German Trade Balance (Aug) 20.0B 19.4B
Tentative EUR Eurogroup Meetings

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE

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Above is the Daily Chart of USDINR, the pair after opening at 66.75 and made a low of 66.71 had a
sidewise session, to positive session, the pair had a indecision candle this signifies tug of war between bulls and bears , but 67, on spot will act as strong resistance while supports comes at 66.30 on spot so the pair is likely to consolidate in the range of 66.50-66.90 for the near term on spot basis

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 96.52, slipping from the highs above the 97.00 mark after a weaker than
expected non-farm payrolls data was reported on Friday. There were 156000 jobs that were added for the month of September as compared to the expectations of 175000. This doesn’t change much for the chances of a single rate hike this year but could help stall the US dollar’s appreciating momentum.

10-year yield to trade in range 6.71-6.77% : 10.10.2016

10-year yield to trade in range 6.71-6.77% : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE
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The prospects of a December Fed rate hike are still very much alive which can dampen the euphoria following last week's unanimous rate cut


US treasury yields rose in response to a jobs report that is devoid of any surprises and this is expected to reflect in domestic yields too. The prospects of a December Fed rate hike are still very much alive which can dampen the euphoria following last week's unanimous rate cut. However, the quantum of slippage is expected to be limited as gilts have already given up part of the post policy gains and the 10-year benchmark is likely to trade in a range of 6.71-6.77 percent today."

Rupee opens at 66.58 per dollar; gains 10 paise : 10.10.2016

Rupee opens at 66.58 per dollar; gains 10 paise : 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE


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 Trading range for the day will be 66.50 to 67/USD,

The Indian rupee opened higher in the early trade on Monday. It has gained 10 paise at 66.58 per dollar versus 66.68 Friday.  "US economy data which announced last Friday were negative for dollar. Even dollar is trading weak against its peers. Thus rupee may appreciate for the day." "Trading range for the day will be 66.50 to 67/USD,"


Rupee may appreciate today: 10.10.2016

Rupee may appreciate today: 10.10.2016

NIFTY Fut               : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT : BUY ZONE


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The trading range of USD-INR for the day will be 66.50-67/USD

"US economy data which announced last Friday were negative for dollar. Even dollar is trading weak against its peers. Thus rupee may appreciate for the day. Trading range for the day will be 66.50 to 67/USD."


Best Currency Calls, 1st Session: 10.Oct.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

9.44 Am : Buy USDINR (OCT) SA 66.80 SL 66.69 Target 66.90 / 66.98 / 67.06
9.44 Am : Sell USDINR (OCT) SB 66.64 SL 66.75 Target 66.54 / 66.46 / 66.38
 USDINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.90 

9.44 Am : Buy EURINR (OCT) SA 74.81 SL 74.70 Target 74.91 / 74.99 / 75.07
9.44 Am : Sell EURINR (OCT) SB 74.65 SL 74.76 Target 74.55 / 74.47 / 74.39
 EURINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 74.50 

9.44 Am : Buy GBPINR (OCT) SA 82.92 SL 82.81 Target 83.02 / 83.10 / 83.18
9.44 Am : Sell GBPINR (OCT) SB 82.76 SL 82.87 Target 82.66 / 82.58 / 82.50
 GBPINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 83.00 

9.44 Am : Buy JPYINR (OCT) SA 64.94 SL 64.83 Target 65.04 / 65.12 / 65.20
9.44 Am : Sell JPYINR (OCT) SB 64.78 SL 64.89 Target 64.68 / 64.60 / 64.52
 JPYINR (OCT) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 64.50 

Asia mixed, Mexican peso up 2% as US presidential debate begins :10.10.2016

Asia mixed, Mexican peso up 2% as US presidential debate begins :10.10.2016


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The Mexican Peso was up 1.93 percent against the greenback, at the highest levels in nearly a month, as the second US presidential debate kicked off, signalling that the markets were lengthening odds on a Trump victory.


Asian stock markets were mixed on Monday, while the Mexican peso climbed as US presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump engaged in their second, closely watched debate. The Mexican Peso was up 1.93 percent against the greenback, at the highest levels in nearly a month, as the second US presidential debate kicked off, signalling that the markets were lengthening odds on a Trump victory. The race for the White House was at the center of US news at the weekend, after a 2005 "hot mic" recording emerged of GOP nominee Trump making crude comments about women. Numerous Republican senators said they could no longer back the real estate mogul as the party's presidential nominee, but Trump insisted he would not step aside. The gains in Mexico's peso came even as the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was trading at 96.462, up from levels below 95.600 early last week. Australia's benchmark index ASX 200 was up 0.28 percent, buoyed by its materials subindex, which was up 0.56 percent, and its financials sector, which was higher by 0.56 percent. Across the Korean Strait, the Kospi was up 0.16 percent, recovering from earlier losses of more than 0.53 percent. Mainland Chinese markets were higher after resuming trade after the Golden Week hiatus. The Shanghai composite was up 0.71 percent, while the Shenzhen composite gained 0.676 percent. Markets in Hong Kong, Japan and Taiwan are shut for public holidays, while mainland Chinese markets will resume trade after the Golden Week break. Shares in Macquarie Group were up 0.32 percent, after the Financial Times reported that the Australian bank was in final negotiations to acquire the Green Investment Bank in a 2 billion pound (USD 2.49 billion) deal. On Monday, Reuters reported that Spanish-controlled engineering contractor CIMIC Group would offer AUSD 525 million (USD 400 million) to acquire its competitor UGL. This caused shares of UGL to surge 48.36 percent, while CIMIC Group slipped 0.22 percent, after an initial jump of more than 0.6 percent. Australian Mines shares climbed 36.36 percent, after Reuters reported news of project acquisitions. Earlier in June, UGL had warned delays at one of its largest oil and gas projects would hurt profit, which sent its shares down by one-third in one day, Reuters reported. In South Korea, Samsung Electronic's shares fell 3.28 percent, after the company said it was investigating new reports of heat damage issues on its Galaxy Note 7 replacement devices. US network provider AT&T said on Sunday that it would stop selling and exchanging the device. Meanwhile, on Friday, US September nonfarm payrolls missed expectations, increasing by 156,000, compared with a Reuters poll of an expected 176,000 new jobs. The payrolls report are a closely-watched indicator by the Federal Reserve of the US economic strength. On Friday, the pound sterling fell sharply to USD 1.1819, a fresh 31-year low, in early trade, in what was described as a "flash crash." Cable was trading at USD 1.2437 as of 9:25 am HK/SIN. "The sterling weakness is also presenting a threat for the Fed, as the dollar is becoming stronger and stronger. This makes the Fed increasing the interest rates a little bit tricky," Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at ThinkMarkets, said in a Monday note. Spot Gold was up 0.25 percent at USD 1,259.46 an ounce, after earlier rising more than 1 percent to as high as USD 1,262.60. U.S. crude futures were trading down 1.1 percent at USD 49.26 a barrel, while global benchmark Brent was down 1 percent at USD 51.41.