Will the Rupee Hit ₹90 Expert Analysis & Predictions!
Will the Rupee Hit ₹90 Expert Analysis & Predictions!
Will the Rupee Hit ₹90 Expert Analysis & Predictions!
Will the Rupee Hit ₹90 Expert Analysis & Predictions!
K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)
MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant Will the Indian Rupee (INR) touch ₹90 per USD? Let’s break down the key factors.
Why INR May Weaken (₹90/USD)
- Trade Deficit & CAD – Rising imports over exports weaken INR.
- US Fed Policy – High US interest rates strengthen the USD.
- Capital Outflows – FIIs withdrawing investments increase USD demand.
- Oil Prices – Costly crude oil impacts India's trade balance.
- Inflation & Fiscal Deficit – Weakens investor confidence.
- Geopolitical Risks – Wars, sanctions, or crises drive USD demand.
Why INR May Stay Below ₹90/USD
- RBI Interventions – Forex reserves used to stabilize INR.
- Strong Economy – Growth attracts FDI & supports INR.
- Export Boom & Remittances – IT, pharma, and NRI inflows help INR.
- Trade Agreements – INR-based trade deals reduce USD dependency.
Will INR Touch ₹90?
Short Term (2024-25): Likely ₹82-86 unless a major crisis hits.
Medium Term (2025-27): INR may reach ₹88-90 if CAD worsens.
Long Term (2027-30): Economic reforms could prevent ₹90 breach.
Conclusion
While ₹90/USD is possible in the long term, RBI will likely take measures to prevent a sharp depreciation. Watching US Fed policies, oil prices, and India’s fiscal health will be key to predicting INR movement.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional before making investment decisions.
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