Saturday, March 22, 2025

Nifty Auto Index: Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause? - 22.03.2025

Nifty Auto Index: Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause? - 22.03.2025


Nifty Auto Index: Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause? - 22.03.2025
Nifty Auto Index Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause - 22.03.2025
Nifty Auto Index: Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause? - 22.03.2025

Nifty Auto Index: Is the Rally Over or Just a Pause? - 22.03.2025
K Karthik Raja (Market Educator & Technical Analyst)
MCA | MBA | M.Com | MSc Psychology | PGJMC | CST | MDAT | CFA Pursuant  

Key Factors Affecting & Reasons  
- The index is in a strong long-term uptrend but has recently witnessed a pullback.  
- 50-day MA at 23,925.22 is acting as resistance, while 150-day and 200-day MAs at 17,808.89 and 16,053.20 provide strong support.  
- RSI at 44.35 indicates neutral momentum, suggesting indecision among traders.  
- MACD remains in the negative zone, signaling possible weakness ahead.  
- ADX at 24.64 suggests trend strength is weakening.  

Key Watch  
- Support levels: 20,000 | 17,800  
- Resistance levels: 23,900 | 25,000  
- A breakout above 23,900 may lead to further bullish momentum, while a drop below 20,000 could trigger more downside.  

Volume Analysis  
- Trading volume at 194.59M, lower than the average 260.50M, indicating reduced participation.  
- Watch for a volume surge to confirm any breakout or breakdown.  

Dow Theory Chart Analysis & Observations  
- The long-term trend remains bullish, but short-term correction is ongoing.  
- The price is currently testing crucial moving average support zones.  
- A sustained move above 22,500 would reaffirm bullish sentiment, while a close below 20,000 could invite further selling pressure.  

Stocks to Watch  
- Maruti Suzuki  
- Tata Motors  
- Mahindra & Mahindra  
- Bajaj Auto  

Market Insights: Short-Term & Long-Term View  
- Short-Term: The index is in a consolidation phase, and a breakout above 23,900 is needed for a fresh rally.  
- Long-Term: Bullish trend intact, and dips could be buying opportunities for long-term investors.

Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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