XAUUSD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - IST 17.40 Pm - Rupeedesk Share Market Training Chennai - 25.02.2025
XAUUSD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - IST 17.40 Pm - Rupeedesk Share Market Training Chennai - 25.02.2025
XAUUSD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - IST 17.40 Pm - Rupeedesk Share Market Training Chennai - 25.02.2025
XAUUSD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - IST 17.40 Pm - Rupeedesk Share Market Training Chennai - 25.02.2025
XAUUSD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - IST 17.40 Pm - Rupeedesk Share Market Training Chennai - 25.02.2025
XAU/USD (Gold) analysis - My point of View - 25.02.2025 - IST 17.40 Pm
Chart Pattern:
* Higher highs and higher lows indicate a strong uptrend.
* Bullish channel formation with slight consolidation near $2,940-$2,950.
* Rounding bottom near $2,580-$2,600, which led to the current rally.
* Possible flag formation near $2,940-$2,950, indicating a breakout or retracement.
Trend Analysis:
* Strong bullish trend since mid-December.
* Price is above the 50, 100, and 200 moving averages, showing sustained buying pressure.
* Minor resistance at $2,950-$2,970.
* Major support at $2,880-$2,900.
Dow Theory Analysis:
* Market is in the mark-up phase, with continuous demand pushing prices higher.
* Higher highs and higher lows confirm an ongoing uptrend.
* If price sustains above $2,950, further bullish movement is likely.
Upcoming XAU/USD Events:
* US Federal Reserve (FOMC) Minutes – Could impact USD strength, affecting gold.
* US Inflation Data (CPI, PPI) – Higher inflation may drive gold prices up.
* US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – A weaker jobs report may boost gold as a safe-haven asset.
Observations:
* RSI at 52.21 – Neutral zone, no overbought/oversold conditions.
* Momentum at 100.32 – Showing strong bullish momentum.
* Potential resistance at $2,950-$2,970, which could trigger either a breakout or a pullback.
Intraday - Swing Trade Analysis:
* Intraday (Next 24 Hours)
* Buy above $2,950, Target $2,970, Stop-loss $2,930.
* Sell below $2,920, Target $2,900, Stop-loss $2,940.
Swing Trade (Next 1-2 Weeks)
* Buy on dips near $2,900-$2,920, Target $3,000.
* Sell if price breaks below $2,880, targeting $2,850.
* Short-Term Predictions (Next Few Weeks):
* Bullish bias if gold stays above $2,900-$2,920.
* A breakout above $2,950-$2,970 could push gold towards $3,000.
* A breakdown below $2,880 could lead to a short-term correction.
Trend Confirmation Indicators
To confirm the bullish trend,
* RSI > 60 (strong buying pressure).
* RSI > 60 (strong buying pressure).
* Price consistently above 50, 100 EMA (bullish momentum).
* Higher highs and higher lows formation (uptrend validation).
* Break above $2,970 with volume confirms continuation.
To confirm a trend reversal (bearish scenario):
* RSI < 40 (indicating weakness).
* Price breaks below 100 EMA, signaling a short-term reversal.
* Bearish divergence in RSI or Momentum.
Take Away
* Gold remains bullish unless it breaks below $2,880-$2,900.
* Intraday traders can scalp buy near $2,920-$2,930.
* Swing traders should wait for a breakout above $2,950-$2,970 for a move to $3,000.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.
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