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Telecom Stocks Outlook for the week – 14 to 18.09.2015 (Bounceback seen post spectrum trading nod)
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( www.rupeedesk.in )
All eyes will be on the US Federal Reserve next week as the central bank is holding its two-day
monetary policy meeting on Wednesday to decide on hiking interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade.
On Monday, indices will react positively to better-than-expected July industrial growth data.
However, volatility is likely to increase as the outcome of the Fed meeting gets closer. Comments of US Fed officials regarding recent economic data have not given a clear indication whether a rate hike is imminent.
After remaining closed on Thursday for Ganesh Chathurthi, domestic equity market will react to the outcome of the Fed meeting on Friday. On Monday, indices may open up as India's industrial growth in July came in at 4.2%, higher than estimate of 3.4%. It was 4.4% a month ago.
Focus will also be on the headline inflation rate based on the CPI (Combined) for August, due after market hours on Monday. The headline inflation rate is expected to fall to a nine-month low of 3.5% in August from 3.78% a month ago due to statistical effect of a high base.
While some market participants said the domestic equities could see a knee-jerk downside reaction next week if Fed hikes rates, others believe that a rate hike has been factored in and a significant fall is unlikely.
The most likely scenario is that the Fed will say time for hiking rates is getting closer. The second most likely scenario is that they will hike by a small amount and signal that there are more hikes to come. However, a delay in rate hike by the US Fed to October or December could stall capital inflows in the country till winter due to the uncertainty over revival in corporate earnings and the Bihar Assembly elections.
( www.rupeedesk.in )