Sunday, December 18, 2016

FREE CURRENCY TIPS 4th SESSION 19-12-2016

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01.00PM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 67.85 SL 67.74 Target 67.95 / 68.03 / 68.11
01.00PM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 67.69 SL 67.80 Target 67.59 / 67.51 / 67.43

01.00PM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 71.06 SL 70.95 Target 71.16 / 71.24 / 71.32
01.00PM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 70.90 SL 71.01 Target 70.80 / 70.72 / 70.64

01.00PM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.76 SL 84.65 Target 84.86 / 84.94 / 85.02
01.00PM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.60 SL 84.71 Target 84.50 / 84.42 / 84.34

01.00PM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 57.94 SL 57.83 Target 58.04 / 58.12 / 58.20
01.00PM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 57.78 SL 57.89 Target 57.68 / 57.60 / 57.52

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USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at 118.22 and made high of 118.42 and saw some profit booking in the session yesterday after strong run-up from the lower levels the pair is making higher top and bottom formation I n the daily time frame and this is a correction in ongoing trend \only intraday can sell as pair created a small double top in hourly chart but so intraday sell can be initiated at the said levels

Fundamental Overview

Yen is trading at 117.63, as the USDJPY pair fell to 117.50 after the China drone seizure story was published. Scare for a geopolitical tension drove the pair lower but with the tensions cooling off now, we can expect a continued journey of the Yen towards further depreciation. Bank of Japan policy meeting is set to begin today and the statement, which is expected to have to major changes is due to be published tomorrow.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
05:20:00 JPY Adjusted Trade Balance 0.54T 0.59T 0.47T
05:20:00 JPY Exports (YoY) (Nov) -0.004 -0.02 -0.103
05:20:00 JPY Trade Balance (Nov) 153B 227B 496B
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GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2422 made a high of 1.2510, and seen some side wise action after a selling from the higher levels but the pair violated the lower levels of 1.2550 and now trending on the downside going ahead 1.23 will act as a support as the pair has respected few days so rise is an opportunity to sell and pair, so intraday apply that strategy to sell at rise.

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2480, rebounding from the lower levels of 1.24 that were seen on Friday. There was no major data after the BOE statement on Thursday and the sharp up move can be attributed to some profit booking. December right move home price figures are on tap today but are unlikely to have a major impact. Pound too remains a sell on every rise from this point on.
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EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0419 Made a high of 1.0474 and saw the pair trading with some side hovering near 1.0450 and trading below 1.05 levels mark and started trending on the down side few day back after violating strong supports of 1.05 so that levels will act as a strong resistance in the pair and will so any rise is an opportunity to sell.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0454, struggling to break above the 1.0475 mark that was acting as a strong resistance for the last two sessions. Expect some consolidation after the sharp fall that was seen in the previous week. The divergent monetary policy would be in play and every rise in the shared currency would be an opportunity to sell.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
14:30:00 EUR German Business Expectations (Dec) 105.6 105.5
14:30:00 EUR German Current Assessment (Dec) 115.9 115.6
14:30:00 EUR German Ifo Business Climate Index (Dec) 110.7 110.4
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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 19.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.95 and made a high of 67.95 and saw some profit booking to side wise session after a buying from a gap up opening few days back, the pair taken supports from the lower levels of 67.50 and that’s holding in the pair ,but the pair having supply near 68 mark so likely to trade side wise with positive bias.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 102.68, bouncing back from lower levels that were seen on Friday after reports about an American drone being captured by China. Tensions however were cooled off after China agreed to return the same. With limited data to be reported today, expect a sideways move for the Dollar but the overall trend of the US dollar strength is set to continue.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
20:15:00 USD Markit Composite PMI 54.9
20:15:00 USD Services PMI (Dec) 55.2 54.6
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Strong dollar index to pressurize rupee : 19.12.2016

Strong dollar index to pressurize rupee : 19.12.2016
The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of 67.50-68/USD for the day, Veracity
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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"Constant FII outflow and strong dollar index will put pressure on the rupee. The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of 67.50-68/USD for the day."
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Rupee opens lower at 67.81 per dollar : 19.12.2016

Rupee opens lower at 67.81 per dollar : 19.12.2016
The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of 67.50-68/dollar for the day, Veracity.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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The Indian rupee has opened lower by 5 paise at 67.81 per dollar on Monday against Friday's closing value of 67.76 a dollar. Veracity feels constant FII outflow and strong dollar index will put pressure on the rupee. The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of 67.50-68/dollar for the day.The dollar slipped below the 103 mark as profit-taking halts the momentum of the greenback's rally.
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FREE CURRENCY TIPS 3rd SESSION 19-12-2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )
                                                          
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12.00PM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 67.83 SL 67.72 Target 67.93 / 68.01 / 68.09
12.00PM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 67.67 SL 67.78 Target 67.57 / 67.49 / 67.41

12.00PM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 71.04 SL 70.93 Target 71.14 / 71.22 / 71.30
12.00PM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 70.88 SL 70.99 Target 70.78 / 70.70 / 70.62

12.00PM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.75 SL 84.64 Target 84.85 / 84.93 / 85.01
12.00PM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.59 SL 84.70 Target 84.49 / 84.41 / 84.33

12.00PM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 57.89 SL 57.78 Target 57.99 / 58.07 / 58.15
12.00PM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 57.73 SL 57.84 Target 57.63 / 57.55 / 57.47

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FREE CURRENCY TIPS 2nd SESSION 19-12-2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )

                                      
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11.00AM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 67.84 SL 67.73 Target 67.94 / 68.02 / 68.10
11.00AM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 67.68 SL 67.79 Target 67.58 / 67.50 / 67.42

11.00AM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 71.02 SL 70.91 Target 71.12 / 71.20 / 71.28
11.00AM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 70.86 SL 70.97 Target 70.76 / 70.68 / 70.60

11.00AM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.71 SL 84.60 Target 84.81 / 84.89 / 84.97
11.00AM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.55 SL 84.66 Target 84.45 / 84.37 / 84.29

11.00AM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 57.90 SL 57.79 Target 58.00 / 58.08 / 58.16
11.00AM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 57.74 SL 57.85 Target 57.64 / 57.56 / 57.48
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FREE CURRENCY TIPS 1st SESSION 19-12-2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )

                                        
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10.00AM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 67.85 SL 67.74 Target 67.95 / 68.03 / 68.11
10.00AM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 67.69 SL 67.80 Target 67.59 / 67.51 / 67.43

10.00AM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 71.03 SL 70.92 Target 71.13 / 71.21 / 71.29
10.00AM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 70.87 SL 70.98 Target 70.77 / 70.69 / 70.61

10.00AM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.67 SL 84.56 Target 84.77 / 84.85 / 84.93
10.00AM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.51 SL 84.62 Target 84.41 / 84.33 / 84.25

10.00AM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 57.89 SL 57.78 Target 57.99 / 58.07 / 58.15
10.00AM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 57.73 SL 57.84 Target 57.63 / 57.55 / 57.47

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Free Usdinr Option Tips : 19.12.2016

Free Usdinr Option Tips : 19.12.2016
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Thursday, December 15, 2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 16.12.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 16.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0475 Made a high of 1.0510 and saw the pair trading with some side hovering near 1.0480 and in last hour we have seen the pair violated the 1.0470 mark and started trending on the down side the pair had a strong support of 1.05 and that has been violated so will see strong selling coming in the pair in coming days so sell any rise for a medium term target of 1.0340.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0430, continuing to remain weak as the US dollar rally continued yesterday. Economic data from the EU, though positive did little to halt the fall in euro. Euro touched a low of 1.0367, last seen in 2003. We see no respite for the Euro for the time being and expect further weakness in Euro.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
15:30:00 EUR Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) 0.80% 0.80%
15:30:00 EUR CPI (YoY) (Nov) 0.60% 0.60%
15:30:00 EUR CPI (MoM) (Nov) -0.10% 0.20%
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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 16.15.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 16.15.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.77 and made a high of 67.93 and saw some buying after a gap up opening from the last day the pair had taken supports from the lower levels of 67.50 and that’s holding in the pair ,but the pair having supply near 68 mark so likely to trade side wise with positive bias.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 103.08, as the US dollar advanced further in yesterday’s trade. After the fed’s hawkish statement, dollar bulls found no reason to turn back and would continue to remain aggressive until there is any bad news from the US or a run for profit booking. Economic data was positive with the Manufacturing indices showing stellar improvement. Housing starts and building permits data to be reported today and we expect a continued dollar rally to test 104 in the near term.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
19:00:00 USD Building Permits (MoM) (Nov) 0.029
19:00:00 USD Building Permits (Nov) 1.240M 1.260M
19:00:00 USD Housing Starts (MoM) (Nov) 0.255
19:00:00 USD Housing Starts (Nov) 1.230M 1.323M
23:30:00 USD U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count 498
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See rupee in 67.90-68.30/$ range, yield seen at 6.60% : 16.12.2016

See rupee in 67.90-68.30/$ range, yield seen at 6.60% : 16.12.2016
HDFC Bank says US Federal Reserve delivered as per market expectations. Hawkish undertone has pushed Dollar index to 14-year high.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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HDFC Bank says US Federal Reserve delivered as per market expectations. Hawkish undertone has pushed Dollar index to 14-year high. This will impact USD-INR pair as well, he feels. He expects a range of 67.90-68.30 against the US dollar. Panda says the 10-year bond yield benchmark is expected to be under pressure. He expects the yield to move towards 6.60 percent.
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See rupee in 67.90-68.30/$ range, yield seen at 6.60% : 16.12.2016

See rupee in 67.90-68.30/$ range, yield seen at 6.60% : 16.12.2016
HDFC Bank says US Federal Reserve delivered as per market expectations. Hawkish undertone has pushed Dollar index to 14-year high.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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HDFC Bank says US Federal Reserve delivered as per market expectations. Hawkish undertone has pushed Dollar index to 14-year high. This will impact USD-INR pair as well, he feels. He expects a range of 67.90-68.30 against the US dollar. Panda says the 10-year bond yield benchmark is expected to be under pressure. He expects the yield to move towards 6.60 percent.
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Free Currency Call : 16.12.2016

Free Currency Call : 16.12.2016
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at 114.82 and made low of 115.47 and saw some sidewise session yesterday after a bearish candle few days back were the pair has created a shooting star pattern with some divergence in indicators but it continuing with the upward trend for past many days 114.70 is a key level , and the pair has taken out the resistance so likely to see some sidewise activity today gap up so intraday is a opportunity to buy.

Fundamental Overview

Yen is trading at 117.38, losing the most against the US dollar in yesterday’s trade. With the policy divergence back in play, expect the Dollar strength to continue for the time being and pullback if any would be limited. We are staring at a possibility of 120.00 in the near term once fiscal policy expansion begins to roll out.
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GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.16.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.16.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2681 made a high of 1.2701, and seen some selling from the higher levels and but the pair respected the lower levels of 1.2550 few days back now violated that so that range is violated so rise is an opportunity to sell and pair, so intraday apply that strategy to sell at rise.

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2540, after trading above 1.27 before the FED statement. FED surprise confidence in the economy drove the US dollar against all the majors in yesterday’s trade. UK calendar is packed with data and the BOE interest rate decision is also due. Expect no surprises but a continuance of the neutral tone will aid some limited recovery in Pound.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
15:00:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Nov) 6.10% 7.60%
15:00:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Nov) 0.10% 2.00%
15:00:00 GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Nov) 0.20% 1.90%
17:30:00 GBP BoE MPC vote cut (Dec) 0 0
17:30:00 GBP BoE MPC vote hike (Dec) 0 0
17:30:00 GBP BoE MPC vote unchanged (Dec) 9 9
17:30:00 GBP Interest Rate Decision (Dec) 0.25% 0.25%
17:30:00 GBP BoE QE Total (Dec) 435B 435B
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EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0625 Made a high of 1.0670 and saw the pair trading with some side hovering near 1.0650 and trading in the range of 1.06-1.0650 mark after selling pressure few days back were it tested near levels of 1.05 and in morning violated the said levels will see some more action with bias towards lower side so rise shall be an opportunity to sell the pair.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0510, falling from near the 1.07 levels that were seen before the FOMC statement. Euro made a low of 1.0467 in the Asian session as the FED dot plot surprised market participants. Now that the FED policy is off and with no major news till the year end, recovery if any would be shallow and every rise should be used to sell.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
17:30:00 EUR ECB LTRO
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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 15.12.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE

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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.57 and made a high of 67.64 and saw some selling at last hour of the trade after taken supports from the lower levels in the pair ,but the pair having demand at lower levels and likely to see some short covering coming if sustain above 68.00 mark in coming days.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 102.22, after the US FED played along the market expectations of a 0.25% hike but dropped a positive surprise by stretching the dot plot forecast to include three more hikes in 2017. The statement noted the improvement in employment and inflation, opening doors for additional fiscal and monetary stimulus in the days ahead. Expect the US dollar to continue rising higher into the year end.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
19:00:00 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Nov) 2.20% 2.10%
19:00:00 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.20% 0.10%
19:00:00 USD CPI (MoM) (Nov) 0.20% 0.40%
19:00:00 USD Current Account (Q3) -111.6B -119.9B
19:00:00 USD Initial Jobless Claims 255K 258K
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