Sunday, November 17, 2019

Gold : Technical View : 18.11.2019

Gold : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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On the daily chart, the price slipped by 0.77% in the previous trading session.

Moreover, the price has taken the resistance from the upper line of the Symmetrical Triangle
Pattern, which adds resistance in the counter.

On the other hand, it has also shifted below the Median of the Bollinger Band, which adds
negative strength in the counter for near term.

Momentum indicator RSI(14) has breached below the 50 level, which indicates bearishness.

As per the above technical structure; we can expect bearish move in the counter.


GBPINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

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* GBP increased against USD by 0.85 percent last week while GBPINR depreciated by 1.51 percent. CPI from UK came in at 1.5 percent for Oct’19 against market expectations of 1.6 percent. According to the official data, UK Retail Sales fell by 0.1% MoM in October and increased by 3.1% yearly basis, both missing the market’s expectations. Meanwhile, the Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, voted to keep the rate at 0.75%, they signalled that a further deterioration could see more policy makers support easing.In the coming week, movement in GBPINR will be driven by updates on UK elections.

* GBPINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

EURINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

EURINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

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* EURINR appreciated by 0.1 percent last week while EURINR depreciated by 0.73 percent the same time frame. German GDP data came in at 0.1 percent against expectations of -0.1 percent. CPI
from France came in at 0 percent for Oct’19 against market expectations of -0.1 percent. Germany released the November ZEW survey on Economic Sentiment, which came in at -2.1, much better
than the previous -22.8 and the expected -13. In the coming week, EURINR will be German manufacturing PMI and ECB monetary policy meeting minutes.

* EURINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

USDINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

USDINR : Fundamental View : 18.11.2019

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* Indian Rupee depreciated by 0.7 percent last week while the Dollar index decreased by 0.19 percent during the same time frame. Meanwhile, India’s factory output shrinks to 4.3 percent for Sep’19
the lowest in last eight years. CPI from India came in at 4.62 percent which is higher than RBI’s medium target of 4 percent.

* CPI from US came in at 0.4 percent against market expectations of 0.3 percent for Oct’19. PPI from US came in at 0.4 percent for  Oct’19 against market expectations of 0.3 percent.

* Donald Trump said that trade talks with China were moving along “very nicely” but the United States would only make a deal with Beijing if it was the right one for America. Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in his latest testimonial stuck to his view that interest rates are probably on hold after three straight reductions, while signalling that the U.S. central bank could resume cutting if the growth outlook falters.

* In the coming week, movement in USDINR will be driven by GDP data from India and FOMC meeting minutes.

* USDINR is expected to move lower in today’s session.

EURINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

EURINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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* EURINR closed with positive note and gained 0.12% on the last trading session.

* On the daily chart, after rising for three consecutive days the pair has witnessed a profit booking.

* However, the pair is trading above it’s Daily 200 SMA which indicates strength in the pair for the near term.

* Moreover, a momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained above it’s 50 level which indicates bullishness in the pair.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect a bullish move in EURINR towards 79.50 level.

GBPINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

GBPINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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* GBPINR closed flat note during it’s Friday session.

* On the daily timeframe GBPINR has formed a series of higher highs and higher lows.

* The pair is currently trading above it’s previous swing highs, which can act as a great support in the near term.

* The pair has also sustained above it’s 50*200 days SMA’s, which is a positive sign for the pair.

* Additionally, momentum indicator RSI(14) has been moving positively, which signifies bullish move.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bullish move in GBPINR future towards 92.70 level. 

JPYINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

JPYINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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* During it’s Friday session JPYINR erased it’s day gained and
slipped 0.30%.

* On the daily chart, the pair has sustained above it’s falling
trendline.

* Moreover, On the daily chart the pair is trading above it’s
50 & 200 Days’ SMA.

* Additionally, a momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained
above it’s 50 level.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bullish move in JPYINR towards 66.30 level.

USDINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

USDINR : Technical View : 18.11.2019

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* The USDINR pair during it’s Friday session closed negatively
and declined 0.23%.

* Moreover, the pair has faced resistance of the Falling
Trendline and also it has pushed back from the upper Bollinger Band.

* However, On the daily chart the pair is trading above it’s 50
& 200 Days’ SMA.

* Additionally, a momentum indicator RSI (14) has rebounded from overbought zone.

* Hence, we expect sideways bearish move in USDINR future
towards 71.70 level.

Today's Stock News - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Stock News - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* ADANI TRANSMISSION: Will raise $500 mln by issuing senior secured notes maturing on May 21, 2036.

* BHARAT PETROLEUM CORP: The government hopes to complete strategic sale in state-owned Air India and the company in the current financial year ending March, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has said.

* BHARTI AIRTEL: Plans to raise up to 210 bln rupees from banks, mostly to pay off dues to the Department of Telecommunications after the Supreme Court upheld the government's definition of adjusted gross revenue.
-Has withdrawn its bid to purchase assets of RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS after terming the
move to extend the submission deadline requested by Reliance Jio as "unfair" and "biased".

* BOMBAY BURMAH TRADING CORP: Dibakar Chatterjee, chief executive officer of the company, has resigned effective Nov 23.

* BRITANNIA INDUSTRIES: Slowdown in demand has forced the company to cut its capital expenditure and defer new launches, even though it expects the economy to recover soon because of the government's measures.

* CADILA HEALTH: The company has received tentative approval from the US Food & Drug
Administration to market Apremilast tablet, a generic of Otezla.

* COFFEE DAY ENTERPRISES: The Registrar of Companies has granted the company a 30-day extension for holding its annual general meeting for 2018-19 (Apr-Mar).

* DEEP INDUSTRIES: Antara India Evergreen Fund bought 0.7% stake or 234,250 shares in the company at 108.94 rupees per share via bulk deal on the National Stock Exchange.

* DEWAN HOUSING FINANCE CORP: The company's debt recovery process has hit an unexpected hurdle with scores of collection agents quitting in the wake of the crisis at the mortgage lender, the latest in a string of setbacks that is likely to jeopardise a speedy debt resolution.

* ERIS LIFESCIENCES: Nomura Singapore bought 0.7% stake or 950,000 mln shares in the company at 410 rupees through a bulk deal on the BSE.

* FEDERAL BANK: Has kept its marginal cost of funds-based lending rates unchanged across tenures in the 8.45-8.90% range.

* GAIL INDIA: Essar Steel, Adani Group and the company have bought majority of natural gas from
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES' newer fields in the KG-D6 block at an indicative price of $5.04-$5.16 per unit.

* HINDUJA GLOBAL: Hinduja Global Solutions' UK-based subsidiary has acquired an additional 14.33% stake in US-based Element Solutions LLC for about $1.61 mln.

* JET AIRWAYS (INDIA): The consortium of lenders to the company has ordered a second forensic audit into the airline's financials to trace the money trail associated with some of its dealings.
-South America-based Synergy Group has sought time till February to submit its resolution plan for the company, dashing hopes of an early revival. The airline's lenders will meet next week to consider the request

* GAYATRI PROJECTS: The board will meet on Saturday to consider disposal of shares held by subsidiary Gayatri Energy Ventures in Sembcorp Energy India.

* GOA CARBON: Operations at the company's facility in Salcete, Goa, will resume on Sunday.

* HCL INFOSYSTEMS: Arm HCL Learning has completed sale of its entire stake in Singapore-based wholly-owned subsidiary HCL Insys, to Hong Kong-based PCCW Solutions, for S$57.63 mln (around 3.04 bln rupees).

* HT MEDIA: The company has acquired the balance 34.18 mln shares or 45.13% stake in Next Radio.

* INGERSOLL RAND INDIA: Promoter Ingersoll Rand Co, US, will transfer its entire 74% stake in the company to Ingersoll-Rand Industrial US Inc through a block deal on Wednesday.

* KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK: Has cut its marginal cost of funds-based lending rate by 5-10 basis points across tenures from Saturday.

* L&T FINANCE HOLDINGS: The company has entered into an agreement to sell L&T Capital Markets (Middle East), a wholly-owned subsidiary, to Proud Securities and Credits for 180.3 mln rupees.

* MAHINDRA & MAHINDRA: Trying to react faster to competition and roll out new products quicker as its peers are chipping away at its market share in its bread-and-butter segment, the utility vehicle.

* MCLEOD RUSSEL INDIA: Edgbaston Asian Equity Trust has sold 3.71 mln shares or 3.5% stake in the company via a bulk deal on National Stock Exchange at 7.23 rupees per share.

* MUTHOOT FINANCE: In advanced stages of acquiring IDBI Asset Management, the mutual fund unit of Life Insurance Corp of India (LIC)-owned IDBI BANK.

* NBCC INDIA: Has revised its bid to acquire bankruptcy-bound JAYPEE INFRATECH by offering lenders 1,426-acre land instead of 950 acres earlier, and also providing half of 3,000 benami flats to them.

* NHPC: Has hired consultants to look into the issue of monetising its assets through infrastructure investment trusts, the company's Chairman and Managing Director Balraj Joshi said.

* PUNJAB & SIND BANK: Has cut its one-month, six-month, and one-year marginal cost of funds-based lending rates by 5 basis points each from Saturday.

* RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS: Reliance Group Chairman Anil D. Ambani has resigned as director of Reliance Communications, effective Friday.

* RELIANCE INDUSTRIES: The Securities and Exchange Board of India has denied the company's waiver to de-list the shares of ALOK INDUSTRIES, the bankrupt textile firm that it bought in a 50.5 bln rupees deal in March.

* STATE BANK OF INDIA: Chairman Rajnish Kumar has said the Supreme Court's judgment in the Essar Steel case is expected to lead to faster resolution of stressed assets under the insolvency law.
The bank and the finance ministry are exploring a legal framework where the proposed alternative investment fund for reviving stalled real estate projects will have the first charge on assets and cash flow of entities receiving funding.

* TATA STEEL: NatSteel Holdings, a step-down subsidiary of the company, has sold its entire 56.5% stake in NatSteel Vina Co for 360 mln rupees to Vietnam-based Thai Hung Trading Joint Stock Co.

* UNICHEM LABORATORIES: The company has received the US Food and Drug Administration's approval to market buspirone hydrochloride tablets USP, in 5-mg, 10-mg, 15-mg and 30-mg strengths.

* VODAFONE IDEA: Vodafone Idea's top management has cautioned lenders that timely repayments may not be possible without urgent relief from the government if the telecom department decides to invoke bank guarantees to recover dues in the next three months.

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Today's Sector News - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Today's Sector News - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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* AVIATION: The government has refuted reports that the initiation of Air India's sale process could stretch well into 2020 and said Preliminary Information Memorandum for potential buyers was expected to be 
released as per schedule.

* ECONOMY: The government has been told by the Advisory Committee on National Accounts Statistics that it would be inappropriate to use 2017-18 as the base year for the new GDP series.
-Reserve Bank of India Governor Shaktikanta Das has said delays in existing cases under the
Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code were teething issues, but expects the mechanism to be much more efficient in new cases.

* INSURANCE: Life Insurance Corp of India invested 10 bln rupees in Tata Capital Housing Finance amid signs of improving debt market sentiment.

* NON-BANKING FINANCIAL COMPANY: The government has notified a framework for insolvency and liquidation proceedings of systemically important non-banking financial service providers under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code.

* STEEL: The government is looking to address concerns over the Enforcement Directorate's decision to attach properties of Bhushan Power and Steel, raising questions over its resolution under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said.

* TELECOMMUNICATION: The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India has not received any
communication from the Department of Telecommunications or the committee of secretaries on setting a floor price for telecom tariffs, TRAI Chairman R.S. Sharma said.

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Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am

Nifty-Sensex-Pre Market View  - 18.11.2019: 09.00 Am
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Pre-Session: Sensex, Nifty likely to open flat on Monday
18/11/2019 08:37
Indian benchmarks are expected to start the day on a flat note with no major global or domestic triggers. Trends on SGX Nifty indicate a flat opening for the broader index in India, with a loss of 3 points.

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Friday, November 15, 2019

Today's Base Metals News : 15.11.2019

Today's Base Metals News : 15.11.2019

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Nickel 

* Nickel futures on Friday declined by Rs 4.10 at Rs 1,117.10 per kg due to reducing of positions by speculators amid sluggish demand at the spot market.

* On the Multi Commodity Exchange, nickel contracts for November delivery fell by Rs 4.10, or 0.37 per cent, at Rs 1,117.10 per kg with a business turnover of 6,564 lots.

* Similarly, nickel contracts for December delivery fell by Rs 5, or 0.45 per cent, to Rs 1,108.20 per kg in 89 lots.

Lead

* Lead prices on Friday drifted lower 0.23 per cent to Rs 154.65 per kg in futures market as speculators cut bets on low demand.

* On the Multi Commodity Exchange, lead for delivery in November fell by 35 paise, or 0.23 per cent, to Rs 154.65 per kg in 384 lots.

* Likewise, the metal for delivery in December shed 10 paise, or 0.06 per cent, to Rs 155.40 per kg in 5 lots.

* Analysts said off-loading of positions by participants owing to slackened demand from consuming industries in the physical market mainly influenced lead prices at futures trade.

Aluminium

* Aluminium prices on Friday fell 50 paise to Rs 131.15 per kg in futures trade as participants trimmed positions tracking a weak trend at spot market on sluggish demand.

* At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for November delivery eased by 50 paise, or 0.38 per cent, to Rs 131.15 per kg in a business turnover of 863 lots.

* Similarly, the metal for December delivery weakened by 60 paise, or 0.45 per cent, to Rs 133.05 per kg in 81 lots.

Zinc

* Zinc prices on Friday rose 0.23 per cent to Rs 193.45 per kg in futures trade, tracking a firm trend in physical market on the back of uptick in demand.

* On the Multi Commodity Exchange, zinc for November contracts was trading higher by 45 paise, or 0.23 per cent, at Rs 193.45 per kg with a business turnover of 1,829 lots.

* Marketmen said zinc prices rose as participants raised bets following a pickup in demand from consuming industries.

Copper

* Copper prices on Friday traded up by Rs 1.35 at Rs 438.85 per kg in futures trade on pick-up in spot demand.

 *On the Multi Commodity Exchange, copper contracts for November delivery traded higher by Rs 1.35, or 0.31 per cent, to Rs 438.85 per kg in a business turnover of 2,230 lots.

* Similarly, the metal for delivery in December edged up by Rs 1.25, or 0.28 per cent, to Rs 443.80 per kg in 78 lots.

Today's Commodity News : 15.11.2019

 Today's Commodity News : 15.11.2019

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Outlook: Bullions

The near term fundamental outlook is likely to remain influenced by the development in U.S. – China trade deal. If both countries hammers out so called “phase one” deal than prices might lost their glitter as safe haven but in case of no deal, demand for metal as alternative assets or safe haven will remain intact with taking prices to new highs. Apart from this trade deal factor, upbeat U.S. economic numbers undercut the possibilities of further rate cut which will also act as fresh headwinds for non-yielding assets like gold.

Outlook: Basemetals

Following the ongoing fundamental developments, near term sentiments are likely to remain mixed and will be largely depend on progress in U.S. – China trade deal. However, we believe outlook seems to remain faltered, not just because of any meaningful conciliation in trade deal but also on the barrage downbeat economic release from China – the biggest consumer of base metals. Moreover, ongoing political unrest in Hong Kong also cast dark clouds on sustained economic growth in region.

Outlook: Energy

 Oil traders are eagerly waiting for monthly oil reports from IEA which is due to be released today. Moving ahead, development in trade deal between U.S. and China will also emerge as decisive factor to lead fresh direction to oil prices. Currently we believe prices will remain influenced by economic outcomes from U.S., the biggest consumer of crude oil, and China. However, the fear of rising oil production from U.S. on shale oil boom will probably keep sentiments suppressed.

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019

GBPINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019


* GBP increased against USD by 0.25 percent yesterday while GBPINR appreciated by 0.01 percent.

* The Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, voted to keep the rate at 0.75%, they signalled that a further deterioration could see more  policy makers support easing. CPI from UK came in at 1.5 percent for Oct’19 against market expectations of 1.6 percent. According to the official data, UK Retail Sales fell by 0.1% MoM in October and increased by 3.1% yearly basis, both missing the market’s expectations.

GBPINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

EURINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019

EURINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019


* EURINR appreciated by 0.14 percent yesterday while EURINR appreciated by 0.08 percent the same time frame.

* Germany released the November ZEW survey on Economic Sentiment, which came in at -2.1, much better than the previous - 22.8 and the expected -13. German GDP data came in at 0.1 percent
against expectations of -0.1 percent. CPI from France came in at 0 percent for Oct’19 against market expectations of -0.1 percent.

EURINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session.

USDINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019

USDINR : Fundamental View : 15.11.2019


* Indian Rupee appreciated by 0.26 percent yesterday while the Dollar index decreased by 0.21 percent during the same time frame. Meanwhile, India’s factory output shrinks to 4.3 percent for Sep’19 the lowest in last eight years. CPI from India came in at 4.62 percent which is higher than RBI’s medium target of 4 percent.

* Donald Trump said that trade talks with China were moving along “very nicely” but the United States would only make a deal with Beijing if it was the right one for America. Meanwhile, Federal
Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell in his latest testimonial stuck to his view that interest rates are probably on hold after three straight reductions, while signaling that the U.S. central bank could resume cutting if the growth outlook falters.
- CPI from US came in at 0.4 percent against market expectations of 0.3 percent for Oct’19. PPI from US came in at 0.4 percent for Oct’19 against market
expectations of 0.3 percent.

USDINR is expected to move sideways in today’s session

USDINR Strategy : 15.11.2019

USDINR Strategy : 15.11.2019



Economic Indicators : 15.11.2019

Economic Indicators : 15.11.2019


Today Equity Trending News - 15.11.2019

Today Equity Trending News - 15.11.2019

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* STATE BANK OF INDIA: The executive committee of the bank's central board of directors on Thursday approved selling up to 4% stake in SBI Cards and Payment Services, through the sale of 37.29 mln shares in the initial public offering of the arm.

* Bank stocks surge after Supreme Court's order on Essar Steel insolvency
State Bank of India (SBI), which has an exposure of more than ₹13,600 crore to Essar Steel, jumped 5% on BSE in early trade
ICICI Bank, which has an exposure of over ₹2,500 crore, jumped nearly 2%

* Steel stocks rebound from SC order in Essar Steel insolvency case

Jindal Steel and Power fell to ₹139.95, only to retrace the losses and trade nearly 1% up at ₹141
Overall, BSE Metal index was trading 0.3% lower at 9,299.38 points while Nifty Metal was also down by about 0.4%

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EURINR : Technical View : 15.11.2019

EURINR : Technical View : 15.11.2019


* EURINR closed negatively falling by –0.31% during it’s
Thursday session.

* On the daily chart, after rising for three consecutive days
the pair has witnessed a profit booking.

* But, the pair is trading above it’s Daily 200 EMA which
indicates strength in the pair for the near term.

* Moreover, a momentum indicator RSI (14) has sustained
above it’s 50 level which indicates bullishness in the pair.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect a
bullish move in EURINR towards 79.46 level.

GBPINR : Technical View : 15.11.2019

GBPINR : Technical View : 15.11.2019


* GBPINR closed negatively falling by –0.26% during it’s
Thursday session.

* On the daily timeframe GBPINR has formed a series of
higher highs and higher lows.

* The pair is currently trading above it’s previous swing highs,
which can act as a great support in the near term.

* The pair has also sustained above it’s 50*200 days EMA,
which is a positive sign for the pair.

* So based on the above technical structure, we expect bullish move in GBPINR future towards 92.70 level.