Thursday, November 17, 2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 18.11.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 18.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2442 made a high of 1.2505, and seen some selling from the higher
levels , and the pair could not sustain the levels of 1.25 and saw selling pressure after the positive data the pair is having 50DMA at 1.26 and is facing strong supply , and making lower top on the daily time frame so any rise shall be utilize to sell the pair but watch out 1.2350 levels as that is a immediate support.

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2400, remaining stronger against the dominating US dollar. There was no major strain on the Pound which is close to yesterday’s levels. Better than expected retail sales data added to the strength of the Pound and helped in supporting the pair in the later part of the day.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
14:40:00 GBP BoE MPC Member Broadbent Speaks 0.40% 0.00%
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EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:18.11.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:18.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0700 Made a high of 1.0746 and saw the pair trading sidewise in our session and violated the support of 1.0660,the pair had strong fall from the levels of 1.10 and tested the levels of 1.0664 and again bounced but could not sustain and is making lower top and bottom in the daily chart and likely to face resistance at higher levels until the pair close above 1.0850 the trend remains on the sell side.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0600, dropping another 100 points as markets sold the shared currency on the back of policy divergence between the two nations. Economic data reported yesterday was also not in line with expectations. ECB meeting minutes continued to convey the info that the central bank is ready to act if required. We expect continued weakness in the currency for the day.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
12:30:00 EUR German PPI (MoM) (Oct) 0.10% -0.20%
14:00:00 EUR ECB President Draghi Speaks
16:00:00 EUR German Buba President Weidmann Speaks
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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:18.11.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:18.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.96 and made a high of 68.00 and was seen a side wise action making a inside bar after follow through buying a day before the pair had traded sidewise for many weeks in the range of 66.40-67.00 and it broke out and trending on the higher side but going ahead 68.22 a previous swing high is likely the target of the pair for the move so dips shall be utilized to
but the pair.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 101.25, resuming the rally after FED chair Yellen reaffirmed the US economic rebound, stating that the unemployment and inflation levels are close to targeted levels. She has informed the committee that the rates should raise sooner and markets have reacted to the events with vigor to drive the dollar higher. No major data to be reported today and we can expect the dollar to continue its reign.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
16:00:00 USD FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
20:00:00 USD FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
20:00:00 USD FOMC Member George Speaks
23:30:00 USD U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count
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Rupee opens at 4-month low at 68/dollar; down 18 paise : 18.11.2016

Rupee opens at 4-month low at 68/dollar; down 18 paise : 18.11.2016
One can expect selling from the central bank in case of high volatility, HDFC Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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The Indian rupee declined in the early trade on Friday. It has opened lower by 18 paise at 68 per dollar versus 67.82 Thursday. The rupee hit 68 mark per dollar for the first time since June 27, 2016. HDFC Bank said, "The dollar index had touched 13.5-year high before retreating. The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of 67.80- 68/dollar." "One can expect selling from the central bank in case of high volatility," he added. The dollar climbed to fresh 13.5 year highs versus a basket of major currencies after Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen finished her appearance before the congress's joint economic committee. Also helping the dollar was upbeat US economic data, which stoked expectations of an acceleration in US economic expansion in the fourth quarter.
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Rupee to trade in range of 67.80-68/USD : 18.11.2016

Rupee to trade in range of 67.80-68/USD : 18.11.2016
Soft CPI, surge in liquidity is expected to play a role in traders mindset which may get reflected on the bond yields, HDFC Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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"The dollar index had touched 13.5-year high before retreating. The USD-INR pair is expected to trade in a range of Rs 67.80- 68/USD. One can expect selling from the central bank in case of high volatility." He further said, "Soft CPI, surge in liquidity is expected to play a role in traders mindset which may get reflected on the bond yields. The 10-year benchmark bond yield is expected to remain between 6.40-6.45 percent range."
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USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR : 18.11.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 



9.10AM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 68.24 SL 68.13 Target 68.34 / 68.42 / 68.50
9.10AM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 68.08 SL 68.19 Target 67.98 / 67.90 / 67.82
 USDINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 67.30 

9.10AM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 72.35 SL 72.24 Target 72.45 / 72.53 / 72.61
9.10AM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 72.19 SL 72.30 Target 72.09 / 72.01 / 71.93
 EURINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 73.35 

9.10AM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.58 SL 84.47 Target 84.68 / 84.76 / 84.84
9.10AM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.42 SL 84.53 Target 84.32 / 84.24 / 84.16
 GBPINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 84.80 

9.10AM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 61.74 SL 61.63 Target 61.84 / 61.92 / 62.00
9.10AM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 61.58 SL 61.69 Target 61.48 / 61.40 / 61.32
 JPYINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 63.10 
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EQUITY INDEX TRADING LEVEL : 18.11.2016

EQUITY INDEX TRADING LEVEL : 18.11.2016


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NIFTY FUT Currently in Intraday SELL Zone . It is likely to test Support 8030 / 7971 / 7902 . Depends upon volume And if it breaks Above 8099 , Then it may surge to upperside Resistance, such as 8158 / 8227 / 8285 . Currently NIFTY FUT is Trading @ 8088

BANKNIFTY FUT Currently in Intraday SELL Zone . It is likely to test Support 18995 / 18849 / 18664 . Depends upon volume And if it breaks Above 19180 , Then it may surge to upperside Resistance, such as 19326 / 19511 / 19657 . Currently BANKNIFTY FUT is Trading @ 19140.1

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INDIAN Currency Market Intraday Trading Levels : 18.11.2016

INDIAN Currency Market Intraday Trading Levels : 18.11.2016


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USDINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Buy Zone and it is showing Strength. It is expected to test Resistance levels 68.00 / 68.09 / 68.18 . And the lower side , it has Strong Support @ 67.91 downside, it may tank to near support Levels such as 67.82 / 67.73 / 67.64 . Currently USDINR is Trading @ 67.91

EURINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 72.75 / 72.55 / 72.43 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 72.87 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 73.07 / 73.19 / 73.39 . Currently EURINR is Trading @ 72.95

GBPINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 84.45 / 84.16 / 83.95 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 84.66 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 84.95 / 85.16 / 85.45 . Currently GBPINR is Trading @ 84.74

JPYINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 62.14 / 61.94 / 61.78 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 62.30 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 62.50 / 62.67 / 62.87 . Currently JPYINR is Trading @ 62.34 
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MCX Commodity Trading Levels : 18.11.2016

                                      MCX Commodity Trading Levels : 18.11.2016

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MCX - NSE Currency Market Intraday Trading Levels : 18.11.2016

MCX - NSE Currency Market Intraday Trading Levels : 18.11.2016


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USDINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Buy Zone and it is showing Strength. It is expected to test Resistance levels 68.00 / 68.09 / 68.18 . And the lower side , it has Strong Support @ 67.91 downside, it may tank to near support Levels such as 67.82 / 67.73 / 67.64 . Currently USDINR is Trading @ 67.91

EURINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 72.75 / 72.55 / 72.43 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 72.87 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 73.07 / 73.19 / 73.39 . Currently EURINR is Trading @ 72.95

GBPINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 84.45 / 84.16 / 83.95 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 84.66 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 84.95 / 85.16 / 85.45 . Currently GBPINR is Trading @ 84.74

JPYINR ( 28-Nov-16 ) Enters in to Sell Zone and it is showing weakness. It is expected to test near Support levels 62.14 / 61.94 / 61.78 . And the upperside, it has Strong Resistance @ 62.30 upperside, it may test Resistance Levels such as 62.50 / 62.67 / 62.87 . Currently JPYINR is Trading @ 62.34 
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USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ):17.11.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )


2.53PM : Buy USDINR (NOV) SA 67.93 SL 67.82 Target 68.03 / 68.11 / 68.19
2.53PM : Sell USDINR (NOV) SB 67.77 SL 67.88 Target 67.67 / 67.59 / 67.51
 USDINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 67.30

2.53PM : Buy EURINR (NOV) SA 72.88 SL 72.77 Target 72.98 / 73.06 / 73.14
2.53PM : Sell EURINR (NOV) SB 72.72 SL 72.83 Target 72.62 / 72.54 / 72.46
 EURINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 73.35

2.53PM : Buy GBPINR (NOV) SA 84.70 SL 84.59 Target 84.80 / 84.88 / 84.96
2.53PM : Sell GBPINR (NOV) SB 84.54 SL 84.65 Target 84.44 / 84.36 / 84.28
 GBPINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 84.80

2.53PM : Buy JPYINR (NOV) SA 62.33 SL 62.22 Target 62.43 / 62.51 / 62.59
2.53PM : Sell JPYINR (NOV) SB 62.17 SL 62.28 Target 62.07 / 61.99 / 61.91
 JPYINR (NOV) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 63.10 
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Currency Market Update:11/17/2016 14:03

Currency Market Update:11/17/2016 14:03
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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Currency Market Update
11/17/2016 14:03
USDINR:Trend-Down
EURINR:Trend-UP
GBPINR:Trend-UP
JPYINR:Trend-UP
EURUSD:Trend-Down
GBPUSD:Trend-Down
USDCHF:Trend-UP
USDJPY:Trend-UP
USDCAD:Trend-UP
AUDUSD:Trend-Down
EURGBP:Trend-UP
EURAUD:Trend-UP
EURCHF:Trend-UP
EURJPY:Trend-UP
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Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Stock Market Training Chennai in Tamil (ONE to ONE Training)

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USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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USD/JPY. Pair after opening at108.97 and made high of 109.75 and formed a doji pattern after we have seen strong buying due to dollar demand and the pair could not sustain the lower levels of 106.50 and broke above the 200Dma at 107 but could not surpass the levels of 110 so for the day the pair is likely to face resistance at higher levels so utilize rise to sell the pair

Fundamental Overview

Yen is trading at 108.95, after a failed attempt to breach the 110.00 mark in yesterday’s session. A stall in the dollar rally helped the recovery in Yen overnight and the comments from Bank of Japan governor Kuroda indicating the banks intention to curb the sudden rise in bond yields over the last few days. Movement in the Yen would be dependent on the dollar for the day and if the bond sell off stall for the day, expect further recovery in the yen towards 107.80.
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GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE

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GBP/USD. Pair after opening at 1.2448 made a high of 1.2502, and seen some selling from the higher
levels , and the pair could not sustain the levels of 1.25 and saw selling pressure after the data the pair is having 50DMA at 1.26 and is facing strong supply , and making lower top on the daily time frame so any rise shall be utilize to sell the pair.

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2420, with a minimal change from the previous days close. Economic data was reported weaker than expected with the average hourly earnings being reported lower than expected and a marginal drop in the jobless rate. UK retail sales would be an important data to watch out for during today’s session. Overall, Pound is expected to remain in a range for the day.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
05:00:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) 0.40% 0.00%
15:00:00 GBP Core Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct) 5.40% 4.00%
15:00:00 GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Oct) 0.40% 0.00%
15:00:00 GBP Retail Sales (YoY) (Oct) 5.30% 4.10%
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EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE

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EUR/USD. Pair after opening at 1.0724 Made a high of 1.0760 and saw the pair trading sidewise to negative bias ,the pair had strong fall from the levels of 1.10 and tested the levels of 1.0664and again bounced but the pair is making lower top and bottom in the daily chart and likely to face resistance at higher levels until the pair close above 1.0850 the trend remains on the sell side.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0700, continuing to remain subdued and looks to remain so on the back of heightened uncertainty in the political climate of Euro zone. The primary elections in France and the Italian referendum would need to be closely followed to highlight any Trump styled populist movement which could be a treat to the European Union. European CPI data would be the important data to watch out for.

Economic Data & News


TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
15:30:00 EUR Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) 0.80% 0.80%
15:30:00 EUR CPI (MoM) (Oct) 0.30% 0.40%
15:30:00 EUR CPI (YoY) (Oct) 0.50% 0.50%
18:00:00 EUR ECB Publishes Account of Monetary Policy Meeting
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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK:17.11.2016
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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USDINR, the pair after opening at 67.81 and made a high of 68.08 and was seen a follow trough buying in the pair the pair had traded sidewise for many weeks in the range of 66.40- 67.00 and it broke out and trending on the higher side but going ahead 68.22 a previous swing high is likely
the target of the pair for the move but for the day pair likely to be on the range bound.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 100.26, after touching a peak of 100.60 in the overnight session. Economic data from the US was reported weaker than expected but markets continued to remain in the Trump rally for the time being. Bond yields and equities have cooled off from this week’s highs and markets would be looking forward to the statement from Janet Yellen for signs of an impending rate hike in the December meeting.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
19:00:00 USD Building Permits (Oct) 1.198M 1.225M
19:00:00 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Oct) 0.20% 0.10%
19:00:00 USD Core CPI (YoY) (Oct) 2.20% 2.20%
19:00:00 USD CPI (MoM) (Oct) 0.40% 0.30%
19:00:00 USD Housing Starts (Oct) 1.156M 1.047M
19:00:00 USD Housing Starts (MoM) (Oct) 7.00% -9.00%
19:00:00 USD Initial Jobless Claims 257K 254K
19:00:00 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov) 8 9.7
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Rupee opens higher at 67.89 per dollar:17.11.2016

Rupee opens higher at 67.89 per dollar:17.11.2016
The rupee is expected to trade in a range of 67.80-68.20/dollar for the day, Kotak Mahindra Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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The Indian rupee opened higher by 5 paise at 67.89 per dollar on Thursday versus 67.94 Wednesday. Kotak Mahindra Bank said, "Rupee has depreciated against the dollar in-line with the yen and other EM currencies. Expected to trade in a range of 67.80-68.20/dollar for the day." The dollar climbed to a near 14-year high against a basket of currencies , even as analysts cautioned the greenback is vulnerable to a letdown from its surge tied to bets on pro-growth policies under US president-elect Donald Trump. 
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Rupee to trade between 67.80-68.20/USD :17.11.2016

Rupee to trade between 67.80-68.20/USD :17.11.2016
Liquidity deluge in banking system, fears of slowdown and expectation of interest rate cuts by RBI following demonetisation has triggered a rally in Indian bonds, Kotak Mahindra Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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"Rupee has depreciated against the dollar in-line with the yen and other EM currencies. Expected to trade in a range of 67.80-68.20/USD for the day." He further said, "Liquidity deluge in banking system, fears of slowdown and expectation of interest rate cuts by RBI following demonetisation has triggered a rally in Indian bonds. Expect the 6.97 percent 2026 to trade in the range of 6.40-6.45 percent for the day."
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