Sunday, August 21, 2016

Currency Market Update : 22.08.2016


Currency Market Update : 22.08.2016
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USDINR US dollar index is trading at 94 . 82 ; showing a turnaround in the Friday US session as markets position for a hawkish statement from the US FED Chair Yellen at the Jackson Hole symposium on Friday . Expect volatile trading going into the event as markets would look for clarity in future guidance . Expect US dollar to strengthen for the day on this low data day.

EURINR Euro is trading at 1 .1287 , depreciating against the US dollar in Asian trading session today. Investors have started realizing profits from the Euro rally as the shared currency struggled to break beyond 1 . 1350 . With limited data for the day and a sustained trade below 1 . 13 can lead to further weakness.


Forex (USD/INR) : 22.08.2016

Forex (USD/INR) : 22.08.2016
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The rupee fell to an over three-week low against the dollar, as some federal reserve officials hinted at early rate hike hurting risk assets as well as bullion

The dollar index against six major currencies ended at 94.51, up 0.38% from the previous close of 94.16

Markets opened for the week on a negative note, heading into the Jackson Hole symposium where
expectations for rate hike signaling remain high. Dollar turned positive against most
of the majors late into Friday’s trading and with no major data scheduled for release today, we
can expect continued strength in the green back. Rupee is set to open on a negative note amidst dollar
strength and equity markets’ weakness. We expect the trend to continue for the day.

Debt market : 22.08.2016

Debt market : 22.08.2016

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• Government bonds rose after better-than-expected demand at a weekly debt auction spurred purchases in the secondary market

• The benchmark 7.59% bond maturing in 2026 ended at | 103.31 against the previous close of | 103.03

• The benchmark 7.59% 2026 bond yield ended at 7.10%, down 4 bps from its previous close 

Rupee opens lower at 67.19 per dollar; slips 13 paise : 9.02Am

Rupee opens lower at 67.19 per dollar; slips 13 paise : 9.02Am

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We expect the USD-INR pair to trade in the range of 66.80-67.30/dollar,

The Indian rupee opened lower by 13 paise at 67.19 per dollar on Monday versus 67.06 Friday.

"Rupee is likely to depreciate today as we have seen supportive buying in the USD. However, the rally in USD could be limited to 67.30/dollar."

"We expect the USD-INR pair to trade in the range of 66.80-67.30/dollar,"

The dollar gained against major peers, as hawkish comments from a Federal Reserve official added to prospects that US interest rates will increase this year.


Expect bond markets to trade on cautious note: 22.08.2016

Expect bond markets to trade on cautious note: 22.08.2016

 The 10-year benchmark yield is likely to trade in a range of 7.09-7.15 percent today,

 "The bond markets are expected to trade on a cautious note with the recent global and domestic developments. Position building momentum might be limited and gilts might enter a consolidation phase awaiting the next set of key triggers and signals."

 "The 10-year benchmark yield is likely to trade in a range of 7.09-7.15 percent today."

Best Currency Calls, 1st Session: 22.Aug.2016

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

9.08 Am : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.35 SL 67.24 Target 67.45 / 67.53 / 67.61
9.08 Am : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.19 SL 67.30 Target 67.09 / 67.01 / 66.93
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 67.10 

9.08 Am : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 75.90 SL 75.79 Target 76.00 / 76.08 / 76.16
9.08 Am : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 75.74 SL 75.85 Target 75.64 / 75.56 / 75.48
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 75.80 

9.08 Am : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 87.82 SL 87.71 Target 87.92 / 88.00 / 88.08
9.08 Am : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 87.66 SL 87.77 Target 87.56 / 87.48 / 87.40
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 88.00 

9.08 Am : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.78 SL 66.67 Target 66.88 / 66.96 / 67.04
9.08 Am : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.62 SL 66.73 Target 66.52 / 66.44 / 66.36
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : DOWN SL : 66.85 

Urjit Patel becomes RBI's 24th Governor Urjit Patel

Urjit Patel becomes RBI's 24th Governor Urjit Patel


Urjit Patel becomes RBI's 24th Governor Urjit Patel, who has an M.Phil degree from Oxford University, was an advisor with Boston Consulting Group before his appointment as the deputy governor at RBI in 2013.

Deputy Governor Urjit Patel will take charge as the 24th Governor of the Reserve Bank of India when incumbent Raghuram Rajan demits office in the first week of September.

Patel, who has an M.Phil degree from Oxford University, was an advisor with Boston Consulting Group before his appointment as the deputy governor at RBI in 2013.

 He was also with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) between 1990 and 1995 where he covered the US, India, Bahamas and Myanmar desks.

 He was on deputation to the Reserve Bank from the IMF between 1996 and 1997 after which he was a consultant (1998-2001) to the Department of Economic Affairs in the finance ministry.

Patel’s appointment assumes significance given the controversial departure of Rajan, who was publicly targeted by senior BJP leader Subramanian Swamy, and chose not to seek a second term in office.

The government’s image too took a knock, with industry captains and institutional investors criticizing the handling of the issue.

 Former RBI Deputy Governors Rakesh Mohan, Subir Gokarn, Vice Chairman of the NITI Aayog Arvind Panagariya and SBI Chairperson Arundhati Bhattacharya were said to be the other contenders to the post. And while the economy is far more stable than it was when Rajan had taken charge, Patel has a tough act to follow, given the high standards sets by his outgoing predecessor.

 Focus to be on inflation, NPAs Patel’s handling of inflation, interest rates bad loan clean-up at banks, and the upcoming NRI deposit redemptions will be closely watched by the market.

He led the committee that, in 2014, suggested that RBI adopt a formal inflation targetting method and formulate a monetary policy committee (MPC) to take interest rate decisions to achieve its inflation targets. Recently, the government agreed to both clauses, adopting a 4 percent long-term inflation target (+/- 2 percent) and formed a six member MPC -- comprising three nominees each from government and RBI -- in which the Governor would have a casting vote. "It is a strong indication from the government that it believes in policy continuity.

We have seen a very big change in the monetary policy framework and Patel was the author of the report that triggered the change. It sends a very positive message to investors around the world," said JPMorgan Economist Sajjid Chinoy. But even more closely watched will be his ability to maintain the RBI’s autonomy and extract tough promises from the government on fiscal discipline, something that Rajan excelled at.

“The market will quickly try to suss out if the new person has the spine to stand up to New Delhi, and if he doesn’t, the rupee will bear the consequence," Ambit’s Saurabh Mukherjea had said in an interview to CNBC-TV18 last month when Rajan announced that he would quit in September.

There is talk that one of the reasons the government was not too keen on retaining Rajan was that it would need a governor sympathetic to its vision of a monetary policy in the run-up to the 2019 general elections.

Rajan has often been criticized for keeping interest rates high and giving priority to low inflation over growth. Hopes of interest rate cuts have risen in the days following Rajan’s announcement to quit. However, the renewed spike in consumer and wholesale inflation has somewhat tempered the expectations. Patel has also had stints in Reliance Industries and Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC).

Saturday, August 20, 2016

22.Aug.2016 - INDIAN CURRENCY INTRADAY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS



22.Aug.2016 - FREE CURRENCY USDINR OPTION TIPS

Currency USDINR CALL Option Tips 
( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Option Tips 
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STRIKE 66.00 CE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Call Option SA 1.20 SL 1.12 Target 1.24 / 1.27 / 1.31
STRIKE 66.00 CE : Sell USDINR (AUG) Call Option SB 1.04 SL 1.12 Target 1.00 / 0.97 / 0.93

STRIKE 66.50 CE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Call Option SA 0.75 SL 0.67 Target 0.79 / 0.82 / 0.86
STRIKE 66.50 CE : Sell USDINR (AUG) Call Option SB 0.59 SL 0.67 Target 0.55 / 0.52 / 0.48

STRIKE 67.00 CE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Call Option SA 0.32 SL 0.24 Target 0.36 / 0.39 / 0.43
STRIKE 67.00 CE : Sell USDINR (AUG) Call Option SB 0.16 SL 0.24 Target 0.12 / 0.09 / 0.05

STRIKE 67.50 CE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Call Option SA 0.13 SL 0.05 Target 0.17 / 0.20 / 0.24

STRIKE 68.00 CE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Call Option SA 0.09 SL 0.01 Target 0.13 / 0.16 / 0.20

Currency USDINR Put Option Tips 
( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Option Tips) 
Register For Free Currency OptionTips Trial: http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls 
STRIKE 66.00 PE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Put Option SA 0.09 SL 0.01 Target 0.13 / 0.16 / 0.20

STRIKE 66.50 PE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Put Option SA 0.11 SL 0.03 Target 0.15 / 0.18 / 0.22

STRIKE 67.00 PE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Put Option SA 0.18 SL 0.10 Target 0.22 / 0.25 / 0.29

STRIKE 67.50 PE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Put Option SA 0.49 SL 0.41 Target 0.53 / 0.56 / 0.60
STRIKE 67.50 PE : Sell USDINR (AUG) Put Option SB 0.33 SL 0.41 Target 0.29 / 0.26 / 0.22

STRIKE 68.00 PE : Buy USDINR (AUG) Put Option SA 0.94 SL 0.86 Target 0.98 / 1.01 / 1.05
STRIKE 68.00 PE : Sell USDINR (AUG) Put Option SB 0.78 SL 0.86 Target 0.74 / 0.71 / 0.67 

22.Aug.2016 - NSE BOND FUTURES TIPS

Interest Rate Futures - RUPEEDESK 
( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment Interest Rate Futures (IRF) Bond Futures) 
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8:00 AM : Buy 772GS2025 (AUG) SA 103.64 SL 103.53 Target 103.74 / 103.82 / 103.90
8:00 AM : Sell 772GS2025 (AUG) SB 103.48 SL 103.59 Target 103.38 / 103.30 / 103.22

8:00 AM : Buy 759GS2026 (AUG SA 103.36 SL 103.25 Target 103.46 / 103.54 / 103.62
8:00 AM : Sell 759GS2026 (AUG SB 103.20 SL 103.31 Target 103.10 / 103.02 / 102.94

8:00 AM : Buy 788GS2030 (AUG) SA 106.18 SL 106.07 Target 106.28 / 106.36 / 106.44
8:00 AM : Sell 788GS2030 (AUG) SB 106.02 SL 106.13 Target 105.92 / 105.84 / 105.76 

Total Profit Rs.1,03,800 per lot in EQUITY OPTION PREMIUM TIPS in This Week :16.Aug.2016-.19.Aug.2016

* Total Profit Rs.1,03,800 per lot in EQUITY OPTION PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 

* Total Profit Rs.1,03,800 per lot in EQUITY OPTION PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 

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Total Profit Rs.1,18,750 per lot in COMMODITY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week : 16.Aug.2016-19.Aug.2016

* Total Profit Rs.1,18,750 per lot in COMMODITY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 
* Total Profit Rs.1,18,750 per lot in COMMODITY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 

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Total Profit 246 Paise per lot in CURRENCY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week : 16.Aug.2016-19.Aug.2016

* Total Profit 246 Paise in CURRENCY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 
* Total Profit 246 Paise in CURRENCY PREMIUM TIPS in This Week * 

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Friday, August 19, 2016

19.Aug.2016: Profit Rs.33750 per lot in Commodity Premium Pack Today

Profit Rs.33750 per lot in Commodity Premium Pack Today

Profit Rs.33750 per lot in Commodity Premium Pack Today
REGISTER FOR LIVE TRIAL TIPS CURRENCY / COMMODITY / COMMODITY MINI / EQUITY / OPTION / FOREX -Click Here: 

SHORT ALUMINIUM SB 111.8 SL 113.2 TGT 111.3 / 110.8 / 110.3 (Profit Rs.5000 per lot)
BUY COPPER SA 320.75 SL 317.75 TGT 321.75 / 322.75 / 323.75 (Profit Rs.1000 per lot)
BUY CRUDEOIL SA 3290 SL 3240 TGT 3305 / 3320 / 3335 (Profit Rs.1500 per lot)
SHORT NATURALGAS SB 178 SL 181 TGT 177 / 176 / 175 (Profit Rs.3750 per lot)
BUY LEAD SA 126 SL 124.50 TGT 126.50 / 127 / 127.50 (Profit Rs.2500 per lot)
SHORT SILVER SB 45750 SL 46200 TGT 45550 / 45350 / 45150 (Profit Rs.18000 per lot)
BUY ZINC SA 153.10 SL 151.60 TGT 153.50 / 154 / 154.50 (Profit Rs.2000 per lot) 

19.Aug.2016: Profit 50 Paise in CURRENCY TIPS, CURRENCY PREMIUM PACK TODAY

Profit 50 Paise in CURRENCY PREMIUM TIPS TODAY
Profit 50 Paise in CURRENCY PREMIUM TIPS TODAY

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BUY USDINR SA 67.05 SL 66.75 TGT 67.15 / 67.25 / 67.35 (Profit 10 Paise)
BUY EURINR SA 75.87 SL 75.57 TGT 75.97 / 76.10 / 76.20 (Profit 10 Paise)
BUY GBPINR SA 88.02 SL 87.72 TGT 88.12 / 88.25 / 88.40 (Profit 10 Paise)
Buy JPYINR SA 66.83 SL 66.53 Target 66.93 / 67.03 / 67.13 (Profit 20 Paise)

RBI to conduct 3 day and 18 day repo auction for Rs 400 bn on Aug 19

RBI to conduct 3 day and 18 day repo auction for Rs 400 bn on Aug 19
19/08/2016 12:33
The Reserve Bank of India will conduct 3 day and 18 day variable rate reverse repo auction for a notified amount of Rs 400 billion on August 19, 2016.
The auction will be conducted between 3.00 pm and 3.30 pm as per the revised guidelines on Term Repo Auctions issued on February 13, 2014, RBI said in a notification.
Successful offers will be accepted at their respective offered rates. Offers at or above the repo rate will be rejected.
The reversal of the 3 day and 18 day variable rate reverse repo will take place on August 22 and September 06 2016.

World Forex Tips, 6th Session: 19.Aug.2016


REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS - http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls 
 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

4.28 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.19 SL 67.08 Target 67.29 / 67.37 / 67.45
4.28 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.03 SL 67.14 Target 66.93 / 66.85 / 66.77
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.95 

4.28 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 76.04 SL 75.93 Target 76.14 / 76.22 / 76.30
4.28 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 75.88 SL 75.99 Target 75.78 / 75.70 / 75.62
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 75.80 

4.28 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.17 SL 88.06 Target 88.27 / 88.35 / 88.43
4.28 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 88.01 SL 88.12 Target 87.91 / 87.83 / 87.75
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 87.98 

4.28 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 67.01 SL 66.90 Target 67.11 / 67.19 / 67.27
4.28 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.85 SL 66.96 Target 66.75 / 66.67 / 66.59
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.70 

Free Gbpinr Tips, 5th Session: 19.Aug.2016

 REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS - http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls 
 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

4.04 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.17 SL 67.06 Target 67.27 / 67.35 / 67.43
4.04 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.01 SL 67.12 Target 66.91 / 66.83 / 66.75
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.95 

4.04 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 76.01 SL 75.90 Target 76.11 / 76.19 / 76.27
4.04 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 75.85 SL 75.96 Target 75.75 / 75.67 / 75.59
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 75.80 

4.04 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.23 SL 88.12 Target 88.33 / 88.41 / 88.49
4.04 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 88.07 SL 88.18 Target 87.97 / 87.89 / 87.81
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 87.98 

4.04 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.99 SL 66.88 Target 67.09 / 67.17 / 67.25
4.04 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.83 SL 66.94 Target 66.73 / 66.65 / 66.57
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.70 

Best Currency Tips, 4th Session: 19.Aug.2016

 REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS - http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls 
 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

3.03 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.21 SL 67.10 Target 67.31 / 67.39 / 67.47
3.03 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 67.05 SL 67.16 Target 66.95 / 66.87 / 66.79
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.95 

3.03 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 76.04 SL 75.93 Target 76.14 / 76.22 / 76.30
3.03 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 75.88 SL 75.99 Target 75.78 / 75.70 / 75.62
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 75.80 

3.03 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.19 SL 88.08 Target 88.29 / 88.37 / 88.45
3.03 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 88.03 SL 88.14 Target 87.93 / 87.85 / 87.77
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 87.98 

3.03 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 67.08 SL 66.97 Target 67.18 / 67.26 / 67.34
3.03 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.92 SL 67.03 Target 66.82 / 66.74 / 66.66
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.70 

RBI REFERENCE RATE FOR INDIAN CURRENCY TODAY: 19.Aug.2016

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=======================================================================

RBI REFERENCE RATE

As on 19
.Aug.2016 at 12.00Pm Hrs(IST)

USDINR : 66.9296

EURINR : 75.8714
GBPINR : 87.9723
JPYINR  : 66.8200
=======================================================================

Trading Forex India Tips, 3rd Session: 19.Aug.2016

REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS - http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls 
 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR ) 

1.10 Pm : Buy USDINR (AUG) SA 67.15 SL 67.04 Target 67.25 / 67.33 / 67.41
1.10 Pm : Sell USDINR (AUG) SB 66.99 SL 67.10 Target 66.89 / 66.81 / 66.73
 USDINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.95 

1.10 Pm : Buy EURINR (AUG) SA 76.03 SL 75.92 Target 76.13 / 76.21 / 76.29
1.10 Pm : Sell EURINR (AUG) SB 75.87 SL 75.98 Target 75.77 / 75.69 / 75.61
 EURINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 75.80 

1.10 Pm : Buy GBPINR (AUG) SA 88.14 SL 88.03 Target 88.24 / 88.32 / 88.40
1.10 Pm : Sell GBPINR (AUG) SB 87.98 SL 88.09 Target 87.88 / 87.80 / 87.72
 GBPINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 87.90 

1.10 Pm : Buy JPYINR (AUG) SA 66.97 SL 66.86 Target 67.07 / 67.15 / 67.23
1.10 Pm : Sell JPYINR (AUG) SB 66.81 SL 66.92 Target 66.71 / 66.63 / 66.55
 JPYINR (AUG) : INTRADAY TREND : UP SL : 66.65