Tuesday, February 28, 2017

FREE CURRENCY TIPS 6th SESSION : 1.3.2017

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1.00PM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.16 SL 67.05 Target 67.26 / 67.34 / 67.42
1.00PM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 67.00 SL 67.11 Target 66.90 / 66.82 / 66.74

1.00PM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 70.92 SL 70.81 Target 71.02 / 71.10 / 71.18
1.00PM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.76 SL 70.87 Target 70.66 / 70.58 / 70.50

1.00PM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.10 SL 82.99 Target 83.20 / 83.28 / 83.36
1.00PM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.94 SL 83.05 Target 82.84 / 82.76 / 82.68

1.00PM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.23 SL 59.12 Target 59.33 / 59.41 / 59.49
1.00PM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.07 SL 59.18 Target 58.97 / 58.89 / 58.81

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12.15PM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.16 SL 67.05 Target 67.26 / 67.34 / 67.42
12.15PM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 67.00 SL 67.11 Target 66.90 / 66.82 / 66.74

12.15PM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 71.01 SL 70.90 Target 71.11 / 71.19 / 71.27
12.15PM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.85 SL 70.96 Target 70.75 / 70.67 / 70.59

12.15PM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.09 SL 82.98 Target 83.19 / 83.27 / 83.35
12.15PM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.93 SL 83.04 Target 82.83 / 82.75 / 82.67

12.15PM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.23 SL 59.12 Target 59.33 / 59.41 / 59.49
12.15PM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.07 SL 59.18 Target 58.97 / 58.89 / 58.81

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USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.03.2017

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.03.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE



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USD/JPY. Pair after Opening at 112.69 made a low of 111.66 and reversed with a bullish candle with a lower wick on the down side signifying demand near the supports zone of 111.50 and bulls are back with some positivity so if the pair able to sustain the levels of 112 can head towards the recent swing high of 114.90 so utilize dips to enter the pair.

Fundamental Overview

Japanese Yen is trading at 113.00, depreciating against the US dollar after trading at 111.65 before the US FED members spoke yesterday. Chances of a rate hike from the US and the speech from the US President, in which, he promised tax cuts and infrastructure spending will keep the US dollar bid against the yen for the day. Equities will remain positive and is likely to be risk positive reducing the demand for Yen. Expect 112.00 to act as a floor for the days ahead.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
5:20 JPY Capital Spending (YoY) (Q4) 3.80% 0.60% -1.30%

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.02.2017

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.02.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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GBP/USD Pair after Opening 1.2436 and made a high of 1.2471 and saw the pair trading side wise till European session but at night the pair violated the strong supports of 1.24 and now trading below that if the pair not able to violate the levels of 1.2420 then we can expect further follow through to continue on the down side, so intraday traders can utilize rise to sell the pair.

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2386, continuing to fall from near the 1.25 levels which were seen yesterday. Pound continued to remain in a trading range between 1.2350 and 1.2550 in the last few week but that is likely to change after the events that unfolded in the US today. There was no data from the UK yesterday and today, we have the manufacturing output to be published. Unless there is some clarity on the Brexit issue, we recommend selling the GBPUSD pair on every rise.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
15:00 GBP Manufacturing PMI (Feb) 55.6 55.9

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.02.2017

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.02.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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EUR/USD. Pair after Opening at 1.0586 and bounced till the levels of 1.0630 where previous highs, and reversed but shorter time frame the pair has been stuck in the range of 1.05-1.0630 for past many days but as the medium to long term trend remains weak, so any rise shall be utilize to sell the pair can expect the pair to trade below 1.05 in coming days.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0585, losing the ground it gained against the US dollar after the FED members’ speech and is likely to remain under pressure during the day. German unemployment and EU manufacturing data is scheduled to be reported today. We expect the Euro to remain under pressure as divergent monetary policy drives the price action. Levels above 1.06 would act as a resistance for the pair and drive the pair lower in the near term.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
14:25 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Feb) 57 57
14:30 EUR German Unemployment Change (Feb) -10K -26K
14:30 EUR German Unemployment Rate (Feb) 5.90% 5.90%
14:30 EUR Manufacturing PMI (Feb) 55.5 55.5
16:05 EUR German 10-Year Bund Auction 0.33%
18:30 EUR German CPI (MoM) (Feb) 0.60% -0.60%
19:00 EUR German Buba President Weidmann Speaks

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USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.03.2017

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 01.03.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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USDINR, the pair after at 66.99 made a high of 67.03 The pair has been in the range for past many days of 66.60-67.05 in spot and likely to continue in the said range so intraday dips shall be utilized to buy the pair and the pair can head 67.00 spot levels in coming sessions if able to hold the support of 66.60 levels.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 101.35, bouncing from near the 100.65 levels that were seen yesterday. US dollar received a boost from FOMC members who have emphasized on the need to raise rates sooner than later. Add to this, the speech from Trump, which is going on when we were preparing this report, has been positive for the dollar. The president has spoken about infrastructure spending, immigration reforms and promised huge tax cuts. This speech can be considered positive and might help the US dollar break the recent ranges on the upside.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
1:30 USD FOMC Member Harker Speaks
2:00 USD FOMC Member Williams Speaks
5:20 USD FOMC Member Bullard Speaks
7:30 USD U.S. President Trump Speaks
19:00 USD Core PCE Price Index (YoY) (Jan) 1.80% 1.70%
19:00 USD Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (Jan) 0.20% 0.10%
19:00 USD Personal Spending (MoM) (Jan) 0.30% 0.50%
20:15 USD Manufacturing PMI (Feb) 54.4 54.3
20:30 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment (Feb) 55.9 56.1
20:30 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb) 56 56
23:30 USD FOMC Member Kaplan Speaks

Free Currency USDINR Tips - 01.03.2017

Free Currency USDINR Tips - 01.03.2017


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11.30AM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.15 SL 67.04 Target 67.25 / 67.33 / 67.41
11.30AM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.99 SL 67.10 Target 66.89 / 66.81 / 66.73

11.30AM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 71.00 SL 70.89 Target 71.10 / 71.18 / 71.26
11.30AM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.84 SL 70.95 Target 70.74 / 70.66 / 70.58

11.30AM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.14 SL 83.03 Target 83.24 / 83.32 / 83.40
11.30AM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.98 SL 83.09 Target 82.88 / 82.80 / 82.72

11.30AM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.28 SL 59.17 Target 59.38 / 59.46 / 59.54
11.30AM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.12 SL 59.23 Target 59.02 / 58.94 / 58.86

Rupee opens lower at 66.74 per dollar : 01.03.2017

Rupee opens lower at 66.74 per dollar : 01.03.2017
The USD-INR pair is expected to trade within a range of 66.60-66.80/dollar, HDFC Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : BUY ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : BUY ZONE


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The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 66.74 per dollar on Tuesday versus previous close 66.70. HDFC Bank said, "US pending home sales data for January was disappointing. The markets are also awaiting details of President Trump's tax related declarations. As a result, the dollar index has been below the 101 mark." "The USD-INR pair is expected to trade within a range of 66.60-66.80/dollar," he added. The dollar was slightly weaker against a basket of currencies as investors worried that a speech by US President Donald Trump would not provide many details on his economic agenda.

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10.45AM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.14 SL 67.03 Target 67.24 / 67.32 / 67.40
10.45AM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.98 SL 67.09 Target 66.88 / 66.80 / 66.72

10.45AM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 70.97 SL 70.86 Target 71.07 / 71.15 / 71.23
10.45AM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.81 SL 70.92 Target 70.71 / 70.63 / 70.55

10.45AM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.10 SL 82.99 Target 83.20 / 83.28 / 83.36
10.45AM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.94 SL 83.05 Target 82.84 / 82.76 / 82.68

10.45AM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.21 SL 59.10 Target 59.31 / 59.39 / 59.47
10.45AM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.05 SL 59.16 Target 58.95 / 58.87 / 58.79

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10.00AM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.13 SL 67.02 Target 67.23 / 67.31 / 67.39
10.00AM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.97 SL 67.08 Target 66.87 / 66.79 / 66.71

10.00AM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 70.97 SL 70.86 Target 71.07 / 71.15 / 71.23
10.00AM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.81 SL 70.92 Target 70.71 / 70.63 / 70.55

10.00AM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.12 SL 83.01 Target 83.22 / 83.30 / 83.38
10.00AM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.96 SL 83.07 Target 82.86 / 82.78 / 82.70

10.00AM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.25 SL 59.14 Target 59.35 / 59.43 / 59.51
10.00AM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.09 SL 59.20 Target 58.99 / 58.91 / 58.83

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9.15AM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.12 SL 67.01 Target 67.22 / 67.30 / 67.38
9.15AM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.96 SL 67.07 Target 66.86 / 66.78 / 66.70

9.15AM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 70.99 SL 70.88 Target 71.09 / 71.17 / 71.25
9.15AM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.83 SL 70.94 Target 70.73 / 70.65 / 70.57

9.15AM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.10 SL 82.99 Target 83.20 / 83.28 / 83.36
9.15AM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 82.94 SL 83.05 Target 82.84 / 82.76 / 82.68

9.15AM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.27 SL 59.16 Target 59.37 / 59.45 / 59.53
9.15AM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.11 SL 59.22 Target 59.01 / 58.93 / 58.85

Free Currency Tips - USDINR,EURINR,GBPINR,JPYINR : 01.03.2017

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Import and Export -Exim Currency Guide for Hedging : 01.03.2017

Import and Export -Exim Currency Guide for Hedging : 01.03.2017



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Hedging is a way for a company to minimize or eliminate foreign exchange risk. Two common hedges are forward contracts and options. A forward contract will lock in an exchange rate today at which the currency transaction will occur at the future date.

What is hedging in foreign exchange?
By using a forex hedge properly, a trader who is long a foreign currency pair can be protected from downside risk, while the trader who is short a foreign currency pair can protect against upside risk.

What is a money market hedge?
A money market hedge is a technique for hedging foreign exchange risk using the money market, the financial market in which highly liquid and short-term instruments like Treasury bills, bankers' acceptances and commercial paper are traded.

What is hedging in trading?
Hedging against investment risk means strategically using instruments in the market to offset the risk of any adverse price movements. In other words, investors hedge one investment by making another. Technically, to hedge you would invest in two securities with negative correlations

"Free Commodity Tips" "Free MCX Commodity Tips" : 01.03.2017

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TODAY CURRENCY NET PROFIT 51 Paise ( PREMIUM CORPORATE PACK)

TODAY CURRENCY NET PROFIT 51 Paise ( PREMIUM CORPORATE PACK)



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Short USDINR Sb 66.97 SL 67.09 Target 66.85 / 66.73 / 66.61(Profit 5 Paise per lot)
Short EURINR Sb 71.12 SL 71.24 Target 71.00 / 70.88 / 70.76(Profit 12 Paise per lot)
Short GBPINR Sb 83.42 SL 83.54 Target 83.30 / 83.18 / 83.06 (Profit 34 Paise per lot)

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TODAY STOCK OPTION PROFIT : Rs 24500 PREMIUM CORPORATE PACK)

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STRIKE 1240 : Buy RELIANCE (CE) Sa 36.8 SL 27.6 Target 46.0 / 55.2 / 64.4(Profit 2900 per lot)
STRIKE 480 : Buy TATASTEEL(PE) Sa 13.1 SL 9.8 Target 16.4 / 19.7 / 22.9(Profit 2500 per lot)
STRIKE 90 : Buy FEDERALBNK(CE) Sa 2.3 SL 1.2 Target 3.5 / 4.6 / 5.8(Profit 14300 per lot)
STRIKE 5800 : Buy MARUTI(PE) Sa 65.3 SL 55.5 Target 75.1 / 84.9 / 94.7(Profit 3200 per lot)
STRIKE 300 : Buy COALINDIA(PE) Sa 4.55 SL 2.5 Target 6.6 / 8.6 / 10.7 (Profit 1600 per lot)

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Buy BHEL FUT SA 154.0 SL 152.7 Target 155.3 / 156.6 / 157.9(Profit 51700 per lot)
Short COALINDIA FUT Sb 311.0 SL 313.6 Target 308.4 / 305.8 / 303.2(Profit 8800 per lot)
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Buy ADANIPORTS SA 297.0 SL 294.8 Target 299.2 / 301.5 / 303.7(TARGET 2)
Buy BHEL SA 153.6 SL 152.4 Target 154.8 / 155.9 / 157.1(TARGET 3)
Buy DLF SA 147.0 SL 145.9 Target 148.1 / 149.2 / 150.3(TARGET 3)
Short GAIL Sb 521.3 SL 525.2 Target 517.4 / 513.5 / 509.6(TARGET 2)
Short COALINDIA Sb 327.0 SL 329.5 Target 324.5 / 322.1 / 319.6(TARGET 2)

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FREE AUDUSD TIPS : 28.02.2017

INTERNATIONAL FOREX TIPS ( INDIAN STANDARD TIME ) 2:28 PM


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2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy EURUSD SA 1.0597 SL 1.0583 Target 1.0607 / 1.0618 / 1.0629
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell EURUSD SB 1.0571 SL 1.0585 Target 1.0561 / 1.0550 / 1.0539

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy GBPUSD SA 1.2445 SL 1.2431 Target 1.2455 / 1.2466 / 1.2477
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell GBPUSD SB 1.2419 SL 1.2433 Target 1.2409 / 1.2398 / 1.2387

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy USDCHF SA 1.0081 SL 1.0067 Target 1.0091 / 1.0102 / 1.0113
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell USDCHF SB 1.0055 SL 1.0069 Target 1.0045 / 1.0034 / 1.0023

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy USDJPY SA 112.52 SL 112.38 Target 112.62 / 112.73 / 112.84
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell USDJPY SB 112.26 SL 112.40 Target 112.16 / 112.05 / 111.94

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy USDCAD SA 1.3195 SL 1.3181 Target 1.3205 / 1.3216 / 1.3227
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell USDCAD SB 1.3169 SL 1.3183 Target 1.3159 / 1.3148 / 1.3137

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy AUDUSD SA 0.7690 SL 0.7676 Target 0.7700 / 0.7711 / 0.7722
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell AUDUSD SB 0.7664 SL 0.7678 Target 0.7654 / 0.7643 / 0.7632

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy EURGBP SA 0.8525 SL 0.8511 Target 0.8535 / 0.8546 / 0.8557
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell EURGBP SB 0.8499 SL 0.8513 Target 0.8489 / 0.8478 / 0.8467

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy EURAUD SA 1.3800 SL 1.3786 Target 1.3810 / 1.3821 / 1.3832
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell EURAUD SB 1.3774 SL 1.3788 Target 1.3764 / 1.3753 / 1.3742

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy EURCHF SA 1.0668 SL 1.0654 Target 1.0678 / 1.0689 / 1.0700
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell EURCHF SB 1.0642 SL 1.0656 Target 1.0632 / 1.0621 / 1.0610

2:28 PM INTRADAY Buy EURJPY SA 119.10 SL 118.96 Target 119.20 / 119.31 / 119.42
2:28 PM INTRADAY Sell EURJPY SB 118.84 SL 118.98 Target 118.74 / 118.63 / 118.52

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Currency Market Update : 28.02.2017 14:07

Currency Market Update : 28.02.2017 14:07
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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Currency Market Update
2/28/2017 14:07
USDINR:Trend-UP
EURINR:Trend-Down
GBPINR:Trend-UP
JPYINR:Trend-Down
EURUSD:Trend-Down
GBPUSD:Trend-Down
USDCHF:Trend-UP
USDJPY:Trend-Down
USDCAD:Trend-UP
AUDUSD:Trend-Down
EURGBP:Trend-Down
EURAUD:Trend-Down
EURCHF:Trend-Down
EURJPY:Trend-Down
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REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS 7th SESSION : 28.2.2017

 REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS - http://rupeedesk.in/rupeedeskfree-calls
 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )


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2.00PM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.03 SL 66.92 Target 67.13 / 67.21 / 67.29
2.00PM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.87 SL 66.98 Target 66.77 / 66.69 / 66.61

2.00PM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 71.08 SL 70.97 Target 71.18 / 71.26 / 71.34
2.00PM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.92 SL 71.03 Target 70.82 / 70.74 / 70.66

2.00PM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.38 SL 83.27 Target 83.48 / 83.56 / 83.64
2.00PM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 83.22 SL 83.33 Target 83.12 / 83.04 / 82.96

2.00PM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.68 SL 59.57 Target 59.78 / 59.86 / 59.94
2.00PM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.52 SL 59.63 Target 59.42 / 59.34 / 59.26

RBI Reference Rate as on 28.02.2017 - 01.30Pm

RBI Reference Rate as on 28.02.2017 - 01.30Pm



RBI reference exchange rate refers to the benchmark foreign exchange rates for Indian Rupee against major four foreign currencies, published by Reserve Bank of India on a daily basis. The Reserve Bank of India compiles and publishes on a daily basis, reference rates for four major currencies

What is the reference rate?

A reference rate is a rate that determines pay-offs in a financial contract and that is outside the control of the parties to the contract. It is often some form of LIBOR rate, but it can take many forms, such as a consumer price index, a house price index or an unemployment rate.

Monday, February 27, 2017

REGISTER FOR FREE CURRENCY TIPS 6th SESSION : 28.2.2017

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 ( Paper Trading Practice for Currency Segment USDINR/EURINR/GBPINR/JPYINR )


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1.00PM : Buy USDINR (MAR) SA 67.04 SL 66.93 Target 67.14 / 67.22 / 67.30
1.00PM : Sell USDINR (MAR) SB 66.88 SL 66.99 Target 66.78 / 66.70 / 66.62

1.00PM : Buy EURINR (MAR) SA 71.11 SL 71.00 Target 71.21 / 71.29 / 71.37
1.00PM : Sell EURINR (MAR) SB 70.95 SL 71.06 Target 70.85 / 70.77 / 70.69

1.00PM : Buy GBPINR (MAR) SA 83.33 SL 83.22 Target 83.43 / 83.51 / 83.59
1.00PM : Sell GBPINR (MAR) SB 83.17 SL 83.28 Target 83.07 / 82.99 / 82.91

1.00PM : Buy JPYINR (MAR) SA 59.71 SL 59.60 Target 59.81 / 59.89 / 59.97
1.00PM : Sell JPYINR (MAR) SB 59.55 SL 59.66 Target 59.45 / 59.37 / 59.29

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017

USD/JPY TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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USD/JPY. Pair after Opening at 112, the pair made a low 111.89 and saw the pair reverse from the lower levels and saw the pair making a strong bull candle signifying bulls are back and if holds that 111.50 levels in the near term likely to test the high levels of 114.95 that is the near term swing high.

Fundamental Overview

Japanese Yen is trading at 112.66, depreciating against US dollar. Hawkish speech from FOMC voting member Kaplan gave a spring board to the US dollar. Markets would be focusing on Trump speech later in the day where he is expected to announce his infrastructure spending plans and an expansive fiscal policy could give the US dollar its required boost. Japanese Industrial Production which was reported this morning was lower than expectations and Retails Sales were reported better than expected.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
5:20 JPY Industrial Production (MoM) (Jan) -0.80% 0.30% 0.70%
5:20 JPY Retail Sales (YoY) (Jan) 1.00% 0.90% 0.60%

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017

GBP/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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GBP/USD. Pair Opening at 1.2459 made a low of 1.2382 and made a hammer type of pattern on 30 min time frame signifying demand s at the said levels and prices are holding the supports of 1.24 so intraday if holds the said levels can expects some more bounce and the pair can test the levels of 1.2480 so utilize dips to buy the pair .

Fundamental Overview

Pound is trading at 1.2431, with limited movement for most of yesterday. There was no major economic data that was reported but the focus was on the news that, there could be another Scottish referendum in the coming month where Scotland would vote to decide if it wants to be part of the UK. Another referendum definitely adds to the uncertainty surrounding UK and will limit any gains. Focus for the day would be on Trump speech and we prefer selling pound on a rise.

Import and Export -Exim Currency Guide for Hedging : 28.02.2017

Import and Export -Exim Currency Guide for Hedging : 28.02.2017



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Hedging is a way for a company to minimize or eliminate foreign exchange risk. Two common hedges are forward contracts and options. A forward contract will lock in an exchange rate today at which the currency transaction will occur at the future date.

What is hedging in foreign exchange?
By using a forex hedge properly, a trader who is long a foreign currency pair can be protected from downside risk, while the trader who is short a foreign currency pair can protect against upside risk.

What is a money market hedge?
A money market hedge is a technique for hedging foreign exchange risk using the money market, the financial market in which highly liquid and short-term instruments like Treasury bills, bankers' acceptances and commercial paper are traded.

What is hedging in trading?
Hedging against investment risk means strategically using instruments in the market to offset the risk of any adverse price movements. In other words, investors hedge one investment by making another. Technically, to hedge you would invest in two securities with negative correlations

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017

EUR/USD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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EUR/USD. Pair after Opening at 1.0560 and a low of 1.0549 and bounce in the US session in and violated the previous highs of 1.0620 but could not sustain, need to wait how the pair reacts near 1.06 if sustain can bounce till levels of 1.0640 and but as medium term trend remains on the weaker side likely to supply coming in at higher levels.

Fundamental Overview

Euro is trading at 1.0580, failing to sustain above the 1.06 mark in the US session. Euro was boosted by the recent French poll results that showed Le Penn might not be able to win the second round of the French elections. This drove the pair higher but the longer term picture continues to remain weak for the euro with the divergence in monetary policy between the EU and US being the key driver.

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017

USDINR TECHNICAL OUTLOOK : 28.02.2017

NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE



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USDINR, the pair after at 67.00 made a high of 67.01 and during the day bounced from the lows of 66.88, and traded with a narrow range, the pair has taken a support of 66.60 and there is a divergence between price and indicator signifying bears are losing control and can expect pair can bounce till the levels of 67.00 levels so intraday dips can be utilize to buy the pair.

Fundamental Overview

US dollar index is trading at 101.16, remained close to the 101.00 mark for most of the trading session yesterday. Weaker than expected pending home sales data made the dollar drop lower but a hawkish speech from FOMC voting member Kaplan gave a spring board to the US dollar. Markets would be focusing on Trump speech later in the day where he is expected to announce his infrastructure spending plans and an expansive fiscal policy could give the US dollar its required boost.

Economic Data & News

TIME COUNTRY DATA ACTUAL SURV PREVIOUS
19:00 USD GDP (QoQ) (Q4) 2.10% 1.90%
19:00 USD GDP Price Index (QoQ) (Q4) 2.10% 2.10%
19:00 USD Goods Trade Balance (Jan) -66.00B -64.40B
19:30 USD S&P/CS HPI Composite - 20 n.s.a. (YoY) (Dec) 5.30% 5.30%
20:15 USD Chicago PMI (Feb) 53 50.3
20:30 USD CB Consumer Confidence (Feb) 111 111.8

Rupee opens lower at 66.74 per dollar : 28.02.2017

Rupee opens lower at 66.74 per dollar : 28.02.2017
The USD-INR pair is expected to trade within a range of 66.60-66.80/dollar, HDFC Bank.
NIFTY FUT  TREND             : SELL ZONE
BANKNIFTY FUT  TREND  : SELL ZONE


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The Indian rupee opened marginally lower at 66.74 per dollar on Tuesday versus previous close 66.70. HDFC Bank said, "US pending home sales data for January was disappointing. The markets are also awaiting details of President Trump's tax related declarations. As a result, the dollar index has been below the 101 mark." "The USD-INR pair is expected to trade within a range of 66.60-66.80/dollar," he added. The dollar was slightly weaker against a basket of currencies as investors worried that a speech by US President Donald Trump would not provide many details on his economic agenda.